RADIO
We have a nice six game slate to kick off the week. That means enough value plays to go along with the studs. We are coming down to the last ten games or so for most teams and this is the final push. Everyone knows that some players are being rested this late in the season, so be sure to check your sources on twitter to see if all you players are confirmed for playing. Some favorable match ups and a few narratives to take advantage of tonight.
In this article, I will be providing you with my daily fantasy basketball lineup picks for DraftKings on 3/27/17. The DFS lineup picks will range from some of the elite players to mid-priced options and value plays on DraftKings.
If you have any questions or comments, feel free to reach out to me on Twitter @DFS_Tom.
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DraftKings DFS Guards
George Hill - PG, vs NO ($5,900)
Hill isn't a player I normally rosters since he is on Utah who play at the slowest pace in the league, 93 possessions per game. I normally target players who are in high paced, high scoring games. Even though Utah plays at a slow pace, they are up against the Pelicans show are giving up 49 points per game to point guards, which is good for fourth worst in the NBA. That is the kind of match up you want to key in on and exploit. Hill has scored 30 DraftKings points or more in three of his last four games and will need 29 points tonight to hit 5x value. Really like him in this spot, but only for cash games. He is cheap, some what consistent of late, and has a great match up. Don't really see him as a fit in a GPP roster, since there is not a ton of big upside with him. Hill also has a usage rate of 25%, which is second highest on the Jazz.
DeMar DeRozan - SG, vs ORL ($8,600)
With Kyle Lowry still on the sidelines, DeRozan is the main offensive option for the Raptors and is holding down a 39% percent usage rate with Lowry not playing. That is a huge number and any time you can get a player who is going to see that many looks on offense for under 10k, I think that is a must play. DeRozan has scored 40 or more real points in two of his last three games and has a chance to do the same tonight. He is playing the Magic who give up 41 DraftKings points per game to shooting guards. DeRozan has scored 52 points or more in two of his last three games, so he is in the middle of a bit of a heater right now. And as they say, you never walk away from a heater. The Raptors are in the middle of a race for the number two seed in the Eastern Conference, so there is no slowing down for them, even though they have clinched a spot. DeRozan is a great option for GPP lineups, since he has tremendous upside due to all of his offensive usage. Lock him in tonight.
DraftKings DFS Forwards
Harrison Barnes - SF, vs OKC ($6,300)
Barnes is one of the younger players on Dallas and he is evolving into a real offensive threat. He has taken double digit shot attempts in nine of his last ten games and is averaging 30 DraftKings points per game to back that up. He is a great cash game option for tonight and has a good match up versus the Thunder who give up 40 points per game to small forwards. The one key thing about this game is the difference between the teams in terms of their pace. The Thunder's pace is 100 possessions per game and the Mavericks are only 94 possessions, which is second slowest in the league. So this is a case where a player, Barnes, will be playing up in pace, and his salary is not adjusted for that. The Mavs tend to play lower scoring games, but up against the Thunder, this game has the chance to be high scoring, and that means extra opportunities for Barnes to hit and smash value. Really like him in this spot tonight and will need 31 points to hit value.
Serge Ibaka - PF, vs ORL ($6,100)
If you love a good DFS narrative, then you want to take a look at this. Ibaka is playing the Magic tonight, for the first time since he was traded to the Raptors. Back in November when the Magic played the Thunder for the first time this season, it was Ibaka's first game playing them since he was traded in the off season. In that game, Ibaka put up 31 points, 9 rebounds, and 4 blocks. He had a huge game and I'm predicting we will see much of the same tonight. Ibaka has scored 24 points or more in four straight games and the Thunder are giving up 45 points per game to power forwards. This all seems to fall into place for being a good spot for him, and I think he could be used in either cash, since he is consistent, or in GPPs, since there is the revenge factor. Either way, should be fun to see how he plays.
DraftKings DFS Centers
Andre Drummond - C, @ NY ($7,600)
I feel like I've written about Drummond a few times lately, but if he is in a good spot, then I have to call it out. There is no hiding that the Pistons have been struggling lately, they have only three wins over their last ten games. They are only a few games out of the last playoff spot and have a chance to pick up a win tonight vs the Knicks. For them to win, they are going to need a big performance from their man in the middle, Drummond. He has scored 30 DraftKings points or more in four of his last five games and the Knicks are giving up 52 points per game to centers. So all this points to a really favorable match up for Drummond and should be an auto lock tonight.
Rudy Gobert - C, vs NO ($8,000)
Gobert is on some kind of hot streak right now, as he has scored 31 points or more in ten straight games, and he has also had double digit rebounds in nine of those ten games. Simply put, he is just getting it done regardless of match up. He is up against the Pelicans who are giving up 50 points per game to centers. This is a really nice spot to target him, since he has been so consistent of late and he is playing a weak opponent. It should also be noted that Gordon Hayward is listed as questionable with an injury. Not that having him off the court will impact Gobert's usage rate too much, but something to keep note of overall for their team dynamic.
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