RADIO
Welcome to the final preseason edition of our fantasy football matchups and Start Em, Sit Em column. We hope everyone had a great offseason and is excited for one more week of preseason football before the 2022 season officially begins.
The first two weeks of the preseason have equipped us with a lot of information and insights we can apply to our drafts. Once again, I'll be analyzing these games providing you with names and positional battles to monitor so you can crush your drafts and assemble a championship-winning team!
For Week 3, I'll be covering the Thursday, Friday, and Saturday games. Join me as I preview the most important players to watch. If you have any additional questions, follow me on Twitter @JoshCon and feel free to ask away. Let's dive in!
Editor's Note: Our incredible team of writers received five total writing awards and 13 award nominations by the Fantasy Sports Writers Association, tops in the industry! Congrats to all the award winners and nominees including Best NFL Series, MLB Series, NBA Writer, PGA Writer and Player Notes writer of the year. Be sure to follow their analysis, rankings and advice all year long, and win big with RotoBaller! Read More!
Matchups Analysis - Thursday Games
Green Bay Packers at Kansas City Chiefs
Spread: Packers -1.5
Implied Total: Packers (19.25) vs. Chiefs (17.75)
Pace: Packers (32nd) vs. Chiefs (9th)
Packers Off. DVOA: 36.4% Pass (2nd), 3.5% Rush (8th)
Chiefs Off. DVOA: 34.7% Pass (3rd), 0.8% Rush (10th)
Packers Def. DVOA: 5.9% Pass (16th), -0.2% Rush (28th)
Chiefs Def. DVOA: 11.3% Pass (23rd), -5.6% Rush (20th)
Must-Watch Players:
Packers WRs
Another week of preseason means another touchdown grab for rookie Romeo Doubs. The hype continues to build for Doubs, although quarterback Aaron Rodgers may have provided a reality check last week when he described the receivers as still making sloppy mistakes and having a lot of work to do.
This is a harsh reminder that Rodgers tends to avoid targeting rookie wide receivers, which is further evidenced by the fact that the best rookie wide receiver season during his tenure as the starter was Davante Adams, who finished with 38 receptions for 446 yards and three touchdowns.
The hope is that Doubs is able to surpass that total out of necessity and talent so one more outing with a big performance would be beneficial. Allen Lazard, Sammy Watkins, and Randall Cobb are likely to be rested again and the timeline for rookie Christian Watson remains uncertain. Lazard is currently the player to target along with Doubs for his upside.
Chiefs RBs
Clyde Edwards-Helaire still projects to lead this backfield entering Week 1, followed by one or more of Ronald Jones, Jerick McKinnon, Derrick Gore, and rookie Isiah Pacheco. There have been reports that the Chiefs plan to enter the season with as few as three of these players, possibly four.
This would require someone to be cut, which seems to be Jones. Pacecho entered the game against the Commanders after Edwards-Helaire, which may signal a climb in the depth chart. There is still ambiguity here but Pacheco is looking more and more like the backup to target.
Chiefs WRs
Coincidentally, Kansas City also has an array of receiver options with an elite quarterback. Patrick Mahomes led the Chiefs on two straight scoring drives to begin the game against the Commanders. Both ended with a touchdown pass to tight end Jody Fortson but Marquez Valdes-Scantling and rookie Skyy Moore were the primary targets at receiver.
Neither made much of an impact statistically and the team was without both JuJu Smith-Schuster and Mecole Hardman, who were ruled out. Both are expected back over the next week or so with plenty of time for Week 1, but are unlikely to appear in their next game against the Packers. At full health, Smith-Schuster remains the favorite to lead this receiving corps with Moore as the upside pick.
Other Players:
Josiah Deguara (TE, GB)
Deguara has opened with the starters in two straight preseason games and appears in line to be the starter until Robert Tonyan returns. Deguara could make an impact given the ambiguity in the receiver depth chart and will be a player monitor entering the season.
Starters Being Rested:
Aaron Rodgers
Injuries:
Robert Tonyan (knee)
JuJu Smith-Schuster (knee)
Mecole Hardman (groin)
San Francisco 49ers at Houston Texans
Spread: 49ers -3.5
Implied Total: 49ers (22.5) vs. Texans (19)
Pace: 49ers (29th) vs. Texans (19th)
49ers Off. DVOA: 32.7% Pass (5th), 7.0% Rush (4th)
Texans Off. DVOA: -8.6% Pass (29th), -33.2% Rush (32nd)
49ers Def. DVOA: 6.8% Pass (18th), -8.2% Rush (15th)
Texans Def. DVOA: 11.1% Pass (22nd), -4.9% Rush (22nd)
Must-Watch Players:
Dameon Pierce (RB, HOU)
Pierce was reportedly given the veteran rest treatment in their Week 2 game against the Rams. Marlon Mack still seems the most likely candidate to receive the bulk of the touches entering the season but perhaps Pierce has overtaken him. Despite playing in a lower-tiered offense, the lead-back role will still offer top-30 production, particularly if it's mostly one player and the offense takes a step forward.
49ers RB2
Veteran Jeff Wilson Jr. sat out the second game against the Vikings while Trey Sermon, rookie Tyrion Davis-Price, and JaMycal Hasty competed for carries. Davis-Price produced the best numbers of the bunch but without Trey Lance leading the charge, the offense as a whole struggled. Wilson Jr. has flashed when given the opportunity and may very well get the first shot if Elijah Mitchell misses time; however, it's also likely that any or all of the other options mix in as well. Depending on how far each falls in your draft and how deep the league is, each warrants consideration but it's best not to overspend on any of them at the moment.
Other Players:
Nico Collins (WR, HOU)
Collins had a decent finish to his rookie campaign and currently projects to be the No. 2 option after Brandin Cooks. Collins has been making plays during the preseason and will be a player to zero in on later in your draft.
Brevin Jordan (TE, HOU)
Jordan is slated to be the third option on a bottom-half offense but because he's a tight end he'll still possess value. He's received a lot of praise during training camp and has produced the most of anyone at the position, making him a player to monitor that may go undrafted or require a very late pick.
Starters Being Rested:
None
Injuries:
Elijah Mitchell (hamstring)
Matchups Analysis - Friday Games
Buffalo Bills at Carolina Panthers
Spread: Panthers -6.0
Implied Total: Bills (18) vs. Panthers (24)
Pace: Bills (14th) vs. Panthers (17th)
Bills Off. DVOA: 20.7% Pass (13th), 2.8% Rush (9th)
Panthers Off. DVOA: -24.2% Pass (32nd), -11.5% Rush (21st)
Texans Def. DVOA: 11.1% Pass (22nd), -4.9% Rush (22nd)
Bills Def. DVOA: -23.0% Pass (1st), -11.9% Rush (11th)
Must-Watch Players:
Devin Singletary vs. Zack Moss vs. James Cook
The Bills obliterated the Broncos on Saturday, offering an opportunity for all three backs to get involved. Singletary took the field with the starters but it was Moss who hit pay dirt twice. When training camps opened, it seemed like a lock that Cook would be the backup but Moss continues to perform and add doubt to the situation. It'll be interesting to see how these three are deployed against the Panthers because getting pieces of this offense is a wise move for fantasy.
Bills WR3
Josh Allen's first completion of the game was to Isaiah McKenzie, who is battling with veteran Jamison Crowder and rookie Khalil Shakir to be the No. 3 option. Shakir was the most productive of the three but also played longer. McKenzie played more than 32% of the offensive snaps only one time in 2021, finishing with 11 receptions for 125 yards and a touchdown. While it would be unreasonable to expect this on a weekly basis, it does demonstrate the upside he possesses as a full-time starter.
D'Onta Foreman (RB, CAR) vs. Chuba Hubbard (RB, CAR)
While the injury concerns about Christian McCaffrey should not dissuade you from drafting him as the 1.01, it is prudent to know who the backup will be in the event he was to miss time. The competition between Foreman and Hubbard continues with no clear-cut winner. Foreman opened as the starter again against the Patriots and is increasingly likely to earn the insurance back role.
Other Players:
Panthers No. 2 Receiving Option
Although McCaffrey could finish with the second most targets behind D.J. Moore, someone else will be involved in this offense. Robbie Anderson struggled immensely last season along with Terrace Marshall Jr. Both will again have a chance to solidify themselves but it could also be sophomore tight end Tommy Tremble who emerges.
Neither member of this trio has received substantial hype during training camp, likely indicating no one has yet secured the role. This will be a receiving corps to monitor but not necessarily target in your draft unless someone emerges before it takes place.
Starters Being Rested:
Christian McCaffrey
Josh Allen
Injuries:
Robbie Anderson (quadriceps)
Los Angeles Chargers at New Orleans Saints
Spread: Saints -3.0
Implied Total: Chargers (16.75) vs. Saints (19.75)
Pace: Chargers (1st) vs. Saints (25th)
Chargers Off. DVOA: 33.7% Pass (4th), -4.2% Rush (14th)
Saints Off. DVOA: 7.0% Pass (18th), -18.4% Rush (28th)
Chargers Def. DVOA: 7.0% Pass (19th), 2.4% Rush (30th)
Saints Def. DVOA: -7.2% Pass (4th), -26.8% Rush (1st)
Must-Watch Players:
Joshua Palmer (WR, LAC)
Palmer has consistently impressed during training camp and put forth a standout performance against the Cowboys, finishing with three catches for 75 yards and a touchdown. One more solid outing from Palmer should lock him into a starting role for this fast-paced paced, high-flying offense. Palmer is becoming a must-draft player, especially considering Keenan Allen is entering his age 30 season and Mike Williams frequently struggles with minor injuries.
Chris Olave (WR, NO)
Olave hauled in his first career touchdown against the Packers and continues to gain momentum. Michael Thomas was reported to be at full health and looking like "his old self," until he was reported on Sunday as dealing with "a little bit of a hamstring issue."
Thomas's last game was on December 13th, 2020, which is about 20 months ago. Moreover, Jarvis Landry is a 29-year-old possession receiver whose skill set may not align with quarterback Jameis Winston. Olave is a great player to acquire who could really make some noise this season.
Other Players:
Chargers RB2
None of Joshua Kelley, sophomore Larry Rountree III, or rookie Isaiah Spiller have been able to separate themselves during the preseason. This increases the probability of Austin Ekeler maintaining the goal-line he had in 2021 that led to 12 rushing touchdowns. Spiller, who possessed the most excitement as a rookie, unfortunately suffered an ankle injury during Saturday's preseason game against the Cowboys. You can expect someone to emerge as an insurance back worth rostering but drafting any of them under the current circumstances is likely to end in disappointment.
Saints Backup RB
Mark Ingram II continues to tighten his stranglehold on this job while the reports keep coming that Alvin Kamara is unlikely to be suspended this season. This combination equates to a backup role to avoid for fantasy during the draft season and instead monitor once the season begins.
Starters Being Rested:
None
Injuries:
Isaiah Spiller (ankle)
Donald Parham Jr. (hamstring)
Joshua Palmer (concussion)
Michael Thomas (hamstring)
Seattle Seahawks at Dallas Cowboys
Spread: Seahawks -7.0
Implied Total: Seahawks (22.25) vs. Cowboys (15.25)
Pace: Seahawks (6th) vs. Cowboys (3rd)
Seahawks Off. DVOA: 25.9% Pass (8th), 6.2% Rush (6th)
Cowboys Off. DVOA: 32.0% Pass (6th), -4.0% Rush (13th)
Seahawks Def. DVOA: 17.6% Pass (26th), -14.4% Rush (8th)
Cowboys Def. DVOA: -20.5% Pass (2nd), -7.0% Rush (16th)
Must-Watch Players:
Seahawks RBs
This running back room is a mess right now. Rashaad Penny has been dealing with a groin issue but did return to practice, while Kenneth Walker III underwent a procedure for a hernia. Penny has a lengthy injury history so seeing him sidelined in the preseason is not a good sign.
Walker III is hopeful to return for Week 1 but it's unlikely he receives a substantial workload to begin the year coming off this procedure. Penny remains the better option, at least to open the season, but it's also possible Travis Homer or DeeJay Dallas steal some work. Drafting Penny comes with significant risk so it's best to take him at or below ADP and consider other options around him.
Jalen Tolbert (WR, DAL)
Tolbert was targeted early in their game against the Chargers and again paced the team with four targets. He remains an integral part of this powerful offense that led the league in points scored in 2021 and projects to be top-10 in 2022. Michael Gallup is still recovering from his ACL injury and won't be ready for Week 1, making Tolbert the de facto No. 2 receiver and a player that can slot right into your fantasy lineup to open the year.
Other Players:
Geno Smith (QB, SEA) vs. Drew Lock (QB, SEA)
Lock was scheduled to play with the first-team offense this past week but unfortunately contracted COVID-19. This kept him out of their game against the Bears, allowing Smith to receive his second straight start. Smith could not find the end zone and finished with average statistics, leaving a small opportunity for Lock to impress against the Cowboys. Neither quarterback figures to contribute much for fantasy themselves but the impact they have on the superstar receiver duo of D.K. Metcalf and Tyler Lockett is important.
Starters Being Rested:
None
Injuries:
Michael Gallup (knee)
Kenneth Walker III (abdomen)
New England Patriots at Las Vegas Raiders
Spread: Raiders -1.5
Implied Total: Patriots (19.5) vs. Raiders (18)
Pace: Patriots (24th) vs. Raiders (22nd)
Patriots Off. DVOA: 24.7% Pass (10th), 4.9% Rush (7th)
Raiders Off. DVOA: 12.2% Pass (17th), -15.8% Rush (25th)
Patriots Def. DVOA: -12.6% Pass (3rd), -13.1% Rush (10th)
Raiders Def. DVOA: 10.3% Pass (21st), -13.4% Rush (9th)
Must-Watch Players:
Patriots WRs
Sadly, rookie Tyquan Thornton suffered a collarbone injury in their game against the Panthers and is expected to miss about eight weeks. This is too bad for the rookie who looked good and was becoming a potential sleeper to target.
This does remove one player from the equation, leaving Jakobi Meyers, Nelson Agholor, or Kendrick Bourne to join DeVante Parker as the team's top options. Bourne had a recent scuffle in practice and is currently fourth on the depth chart, meaning Agholor and Meyers are currently locked into a starting role. Parker still possesses the most upside but Agholor also offers big play potential as an intriguing late-round pick.
Patriots Receiving Back
The Patriots struggled to sustain drives early in their game against the Panthers, limiting the production of all their starters. While Damien Harris remains the lead back and continues to receive the goal-line role, the receiving role is still uncertain. Harris received only 21 targets last year and does not profile as a pass-catcher so he's unlikely to be utilized. This leaves Rhamondre Stevenson and rookies Pierre Strong Jr. and Kevin Harris. Stevenson is the leading candidate and will also be involved in their rushing attack, making him a player to set your sights on in the middle of your draft.
Other Players:
Raiders RBs
The Raiders caught many of us by surprise when they announced they are planning to cut Kenyan Drake. This ends the landslide of negative news for Josh Jacobs and further fuels the fire for rookie Zamir White. It could also benefit veterans Ameer Abdullah and Brandon Bolden. This adds some much-needed clarity to the situation and makes Jacobs and White both draftable, as members of a timeshare in what is expected to be an improved offense with lots of scoring opportunities.
Starters Being Rested:
None
Injuries:
Tyquan Thornton (collarbone)
Matchups Analysis - Saturday Games
Jacksonville Jaguars at Atlanta Falcons
Spread: Even
Implied Total: Jaguars (18.5) vs Falcons (18.5)
Pace: Jaguars (3rd) vs. Falcons (18th)
Jaguars Off. DVOA: -10.3% Pass (30th), -8.9% Rush (18th)
Falcons Off. DVOA: -3.5% Pass (25th), -25.5% Rush (31st)
Jaguars Def. DVOA: 27.2% Pass (31st), -5.9% Rush (19th)
Falcons Def. DVOA: 20.2% Pass (29th), 0.7% Rush (29th)
Must-Watch Players:
Jaguars WR2
Christian Kirk signed a massive deal this offseason that seemingly reset the market for wide receivers. The Jaguars also brought in Zay Jones to bolster their receiving corps that consisted of Marvin Jones Jr. and Laviska Shenault Jr. Quarterback Trevor Lawrence has showcased his athleticism and superior arm strength in the preseason, providing optimism he will take this offense to the next level and could support multiple fantasy-relevant receivers in 2022.
Marvin Jones Jr. is 32-years-old and has made an impact on downfield passes with his elite speed, which is unlikely to be sustainable, so drafting (Zay) Jones late in your draft is the better decision.
Tyler Allgeier (RB, ATL)
Damien Williams was first up in their game against the Jets and Cordarrelle Patterson sat out. Patterson is too talented as a receiver to completely be removed from the equation so the best-case scenario for Allgeier is securing the rushing workload with occasional receptions. This caps his ceiling in an offense that will struggle to score points and be forced to throw a lot, making him more of a stash.
Other Players:
James Robinson (RB, JAX)
Robinson continues to receive positive reports and remains on schedule for a Week 1 return. Travis Etienne Jr. figures to take over the receiving role but Robinson may keep the goal-line role, which could have significant value in an offense that has nowhere to go but up. These two will limit one another's potential but betting on Etienne to be more explosive and eventually gain more work as the season progresses is the right approach. His draft cost rose quite high but is beginning to dip with the recent news about Robinson, so if he's still available after the top-36 picks have been made, he's definitely a player to consider.
Marcus Mariota (QB, ATL)
Mariota led the Falcons on two consecutive successful drives to open the game, one ending in a field goal and the other in a touchdown. He also hit players for chunk plays, including a 52-yard catch and run to tight end Kyle Pitts. Mariota is talented enough to enable Pitts and rookie receiver Drake London to have solid fantasy seasons while simultaneously offering weekly streaming consideration himself.
Starters Being Rested:
None
Injuries:
Drake London (knee)
James Robinson (knee)
Los Angeles Rams at Cincinnati Bengals
Spread: Bengals -2.0
Implied Total: Rams (18) vs. Bengals (20)
Pace: Rams (11th) vs. Bengals (30th)
Rams Off. DVOA: 26.6% Pass (7th), -3.9% Rush (12th)
Bengals Off. DVOA: 16.5% Pass (15th), -10.7% Rush (20th)
Rams Def. DVOA: -1.2% Pass (6th), -18.1% Rush (5th)
Bengals Def. DVOA: 11.6% Pass (24th), -9.8% Rush (13th)
Must-Watch Players:
Cam Akers (RB, LAR) vs. Darrell Henderson (RB, LAR)
Head coach Sean McVay has been hesitant to anoint Akers as a workhorse back, referring to the two as sharing the role. Akers returned from an Achilles injury in time for the playoffs but did not look himself. Presumably, the offseason has enabled him to reach full health but he does possess a level of uncertainty regarding his efficiency and explosiveness.
Henderson put together seven productive games for fantasy during their first 11 games in 2021 before dealing with injuries as well. The primary back in this offense has been an elite fantasy asset throughout the McVay era.
That said, it's fair to question whether two backs can thrive sharing the workload. Akers is being drafted in the same range as several very interesting receiver options so taking the multi-round discount Henderson offers is the way to go.
Bengals RB2
Sophomore Chris Evans was first to touch the ball in their game against the Giants, seeing a handful of carries in addition to his three targets. Veteran Samaje Perine did not participate and is trending towards being the No. 2 option behind starter Joe Mixon. The Bengals frequently provided Mixon with rest on third downs in 2021 and are expected to employ that strategy again this season, which offers a small amount of standalone value to the backup in addition to the opportunity they would receive if Mixon misses time.
Other Players:
Hayden Hurst (TE, CIN)
Hurst sports a 6-foot-4 frame, weighing in at 250 pounds. This sets him up as a huge target in the red zone for quarterback Joe Burrow. Hurst will struggle to sustain volume playing behind their talented trio of receivers but could produce some multi-touchdowns weeks that help you win your matchup. Once you are past the top-10 tight ends, you are aiming for players who have touchdown upside at the position, which very much applies to Hurst.
Starters Being Rested:
None
Injuries:
Van Jefferson (knee)
Tee Higgins (shoulder)
Chicago Bears at Cleveland Browns
Spread: Browns -4.5
Implied Total: Bears () vs. Browns ()
Pace: Bears (21st) vs. Browns (26th)
Bears Off. DVOA: -5.3% Pass (26th), -13.5% Rush (23rd)
Browns Off. DVOA: 6.8% Pass (19th), 11.1% Rush (1st)
Bears Def. DVOA: 2.3% Pass (12th), -4.3% Rush (24th)
Browns Def. DVOA: -0.8% Pass (7th), -4.8% Rush (23rd)
Must-Watch Players:
Khalil Herbert (RB, CHI)
Herbert became a top-15 fantasy option when David Montgomery missed time in 2021. He is also one of the more talented offensive weapons on the roster, which could lead to a bump in his receptions to accompany his baseline of carries. He is one of the more proven insurance backs who may also possess sufficient standalone value to play him as a top-36 weekly option, making him a must-draft backup.
Velus Jones Jr. (WR, CHI)
Chicago selected Jones Jr. in the third round of the NFL draft surprising many individuals, myself included. Jones Jr. is already 25-years-old, which is quite old for a rookie wide receiver. All that aside, he joins a receiving corps void of proven talent other than Darnell Mooney.
While the Bears' offense looks suspect entering the season, particularly their offensive line, Justin Fields has elite arm strength that pairs perfectly with the 4.3 speed Jones Jr. possesses. He'll be another inconsistent player that offers big weekly output, making him an intriguing late-round pick in your draft.
Other Players:
David Bell (WR, CLE)
Bell has continued to impress and excite during the preseason, coming away with three receptions for 46 yards against the Eagles. Deshaun Watson has been suspended for 11 games now, which means Jacoby Brissett will lead this team for most of the season. This makes investing in a Browns secondary receiver difficult, but Bell is still worth adding to your watch list or stashing in deeper leagues.
Harrison Bryant (TE, CLE)
Much like Bell, Bryant will be backing up David Njoku entering the season. He also has excellent talent and ability as another name to keep on your radar or stash in tight-end premium and deeper leagues.
Starters Being Rested:
None
Injuries:
None
Arizona Cardinals at Tennessee Titans
Spread: Titans -3.0
Implied Total: Cardinals (16) vs. Titans (19)
Pace: Cardinals (12th) vs. Titans (27th)
Cardinals Off. DVOA: 24.8% Pass (9th), -11.8% Rush (22nd)
Titans Off. DVOA: 5.8% Pass (21st), -6.5% Rush (17th)
Cardinals Def. DVOA: -2.3% Pass (5th), -16.6% Rush (6th)
Titans Def. DVOA: 1.0% Pass (10th), -13.1% Rush (10th)
Must-Watch Players:
Cardinals Backup RB
Eno Benjamin was in with the starters against the Ravens, followed by Darrel Williams, Jonathan Ward, and rookie Keaontay Ingram. Benjamin has received a lot of praise during training camp and appears to be the backup at the moment. He does have familiarity with the coaching staff and this system but has yet to actualize his potential when handed an opportunity. James Conner will dominate touches in this backfield; however, his history of injuries and the Cardinals' desire to run the ball in the red zone is why the backup role is so highly coveted.
Titans Backup RBs
Veteran Dontrell Hilliard was the first to play in their game against the Buccaneers, then the undrafted rookie Julius Chestnut actually came in ahead of rookie Hassan Haskins. Chestnut and Haskins had comparable output creating mild concern for the fourth-round rookie's likeliness to climb the depth chart.
Hilliard has managed to hold off Haskins to this point but it would not be surprising to see Haskins supplant him early in the season. This makes it more difficult to trust either as the insurance back, shifting the approach to more of a wait-and-see situation.
Treylon Burks (WR, TEN)
Burks managed to find his way onto the stat sheet with a reception against the Buccaneers, though unfortunately that was his only reception from a total of three targets. Deciding to draft Burks now comes with the caveat that he won't be someone you can plug into your lineup immediately, you may have to wait multiple weeks for him to earn a significant role.
Other Players:
Rondale Moore (WR, ARI)
Moore did not participate in their game against the Ravens, likely indicating he'll have a starting role to open the year alongside Marquise Brown and A.J. Green, at least until DeAndre Hopkins returns from his suspension. His inability to overtake Green or Kirk while ceding snaps to Antoine Wesley in 2021 is still a concern.
This is a high-powered offense that will generate a lot of points and may manufacture touches for Moore, so acquiring him in the later portion of your draft makes sense, just be aware that his role is not guaranteed, especially once Hopkins returns.
Starters Being Rested:
None
Injuries:
Zach Ertz (calf)
Philadelphia Eagles at Miami Dolphins
Spread: Dolphins -3.5
Implied Total: Eagles (16.75) vs. Dolphins (19.25)
Pace: Eagles (16th) vs. Dolphins (15th)
Eagles Off. DVOA: 18.0% Pass (14th), 7.0% Rush (3rd)
Dolphins Off. DVOA: 4.8% Pass (23rd), -23.1% Rush (29th)
Eagles Def. DVOA: 13.1% Pass (25th), -6.3% Rush (18th)
Dolphins Def. DVOA: -0.3% Pass (9th), -6.6% Rush (17th)
Must-Watch Players:
Eagles RBs
Miles Sanders has taken fantasy managers on quite the adventure this offseason, even going as far as telling them not to draft him. He finished 2021 with zero touchdowns and his role as the lead back is now in question. Boston Scott was a thorn in his side during the second half of the season, piling up seven rushing touchdowns and frequently stealing away goal-line carries.
Scott was at it again on Sunday in Cleveland, with a one-yard touchdown run. Sophomore Kenneth Gainwell also found the end zone and has received a lot of buzz during training camp. Gainwell is dynamic in the passing game, providing him with the highest ceiling. When you include Jalen Hurts vulturing carries though, this becomes a backfield likely to frustrate fantasy managers most weeks.
Chase Edmonds (RB, MIA)
Edmonds stood alongside Tua Tagovailoa to begin the game and made several impressive plays throughout, further cementing him as the most talented running back on the roster. Raheem Mostert and Sony Michel will take on some of the early down work but Edmonds is by far the best receiver and the player to pursue in fantasy. Edmonds is regularly being drafted outside of the top 70-80 players, allowing you to select him after nearly every other starting running back.
Other Players:
Tua Tagovailoa (QB, MIA)
Tagovailoa led his team on two drives, one that ended with a punt and another that led to a field goal. However, he did not have his starting receivers to throw to so it's unfair to make any determinations based on this performance. He remains a hopeful breakout candidate that could propel both Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle into the top-24 if he evolves as a starter.
Starters Being Rested:
None
Injuries:
None
Washington Commanders at Baltimore Ravens
Spread: Ravens -6.5
Implied Total: Commanders (16.5) vs. Ravens (23)
Pace: Commanders (23rd) vs. Ravens (20th)
Commanders Off. DVOA: 5.4% Pass (22nd), -10.2% Rush (19th)
Ravens Off. DVOA: 12.5% Pass (16th), -1.5% Rush (11th)
Commanders Def. DVOA: 18.9% Pass (28th), -14.5% Rush (7th)
Ravens Def. DVOA: 27.0% Pass (30th), -18.4% Rush (4th)
Must-Watch Players:
Brian Robinson (RB, WAS)
Robinson went from having a questionable role to being speculated as the No. 1 back. Antonio Gibson, who struggled with fumbles last year, fumbled again in the preseason opener. He was then relegated to special teams in practice and returned the opening kickoff in their second game against the Chiefs.
He did join the team on their first drive with a carry, adding one more carry and three receptions throughout the contest. It's possible Robinson has overtaken Gibson but that does not mean it won't continue to be a timeshare that includes J.D. McKissic as the primary receiving back. This offense is unlikely to produce three valuable running backs and instead more apt to end up with none, barring an injury or change in role.
Jahan Dotson (WR, WAS)
While Robinson has received all the hype, Dotson is going under the radar as a talented first-round pick with upside. Terry McLaurin is the obvious alpha for this team but the competition for Dotson after him is minimal. As a team that will find themselves in negative game scripts where they are forced to throw the ball, Dotson will see plenty of volume with a sufficient touchdown total to finish as a top-36 receiver, making him a bargain at his current ADP.
Ravens RB2
It looks more doubtful each week that Gus Edwards will suit up against the Jets to open the regular season, which creates a void for one of Mike Davis, Justice Hill, or rookie Tyler Badie to fill. Unsurprisingly, the veteran Davis is leading the pack, fitting with the Ravens' preference for capable veterans over young ball carriers. Davis was unable to make an impact when handed the job in 2021 with Atlanta, which could open the door for Badie long-term but does not bode well for drafting either of them to begin the year.
Other Players:
Ravens WRs
The Ravens signed Demarcus Robinson to a one-year deal to bolster their very thin receiving corps. Robinson himself is unlikely to be a consistent fantasy asset, although he could produce the odd spike week. However, he will take away volume from Devin Duvernay and James Proche II. This further complicates the fantasy value of all the receivers except Rashod Bateman, who is now the only receiver to focus on outside of deeper leagues.
Isaiah Likely (TE, BAL)
Likely had his coming-out party this week against the Cardinals with a massive first half that included eight receptions for 100 yards and a touchdown. As discussed above, the Ravens added Robinson because of their need for pass-catching weapons, which is exactly what Likely can be.
Rookie tight ends tend to struggle in Year 1 but there is a distinct path to fantasy relevance because the offense regularly utilizes two tight end sets and targets them in the passing game. Likely will go undrafted in most leagues, allowing you to add him off the waiver wire as a streaming candidate.
Starters Being Rested:
None
Injuries:
Gus Edwards (knee)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Indianapolis Colts
Spread: Colts -5.5
Implied Total: Buccaneers (17.5) vs. Colts (23)
Pace: Buccaneers (4th) vs. Colts (31st)
Buccaneers Off. DVOA: 43.9% Pass (1st), 6.9% Rush (5th)
Colts Off. DVOA: 6.2% Pass (20th), 10.4% Rush (2nd)
Buccaneers Def. DVOA: 1.8% Pass (11th), -9.2% Rush (14th)
Colts Def. DVOA: -5.9% Pass (17th), -21.6% Rush (3rd)
Must-Watch Players:
Rachaad White (RB, TB)
White was next in line after Leonard Fournette against the Titans, providing another indication he has earned the backup role. White was again involved in the receiving game, which is where he'll excel once the season begins. He's one of a small group of insurance backs that will also have enough standalone value you can consider starting him each week, making him an upside backup to spend high on.
Other Players:
Nyheim Hines (RB, IND)
The Colts sat all their starters against the Lions so Hines did not see any action but fellow running mate Phillip Lindsay did. Lindsay was brought in this offseason along with Ty'Son Williams as depth pieces behind Hines and superstar Jonathan Taylor. Hines is an excellent receiver, which is a personnel group the Colts are lacking, This will provide an opportunity for him to be on the field even when Taylor is lined up as a runner. Hines has a weekly top-36 appeal that is not in any way tied to Taylor's role or health, separating him from many of the other secondary backs.
Alec Pierce (WR, IND)
As referenced above, the receiving corps has a steep fall-off after Michael Pittman Jr. The rookie Pierce has flashed in training camp and will battle with tight end Mo Alie-Cox as the No. 2 receiving option in this offense. Matt Ryan is a definite upgrade for this team His presence increases the ceiling for all the offensive weapons including Pierce, making him a late-round receiver to take a shot on.
Starters Being Rested:
None
Injuries:
Chris Godwin (knee)
Mike Evans (hamstring)
Russell Gage (leg)
Minnesota Vikings at Denver Broncos
Spread: Vikings -1.0
Implied Total: Vikings (17.5) vs. Broncos (18.5)
Pace: Vikings (8th) vs. Broncos (28th)
Vikings Off. DVOA: 23.4% Pass (12th), -17.4% Rush (27th)
Broncos Off. DVOA: 23.4% Pass (11th), -6.1% Rush (16th)
Vikings Def. DVOA: 2.8% Pass (13th), -3.o% Rush (25th)
Broncos Off. DVOA: 23.4% Pass (11th), -6.1% Rush (16th)
Must-Watch Players:
Albert Okwuegbunam (TE, DEN)
Okwuegbunam was very involved in their preseason game against the Bills, catching four of his five targets for 32 yards. This did raise some eyebrows because the other starters were rested but all indications are that he continues to have the upper hand over rookie Greg Dulcich, who is presently dealing with a hamstring injury.
Additionally, he'll have an opportunity to move up the depth chart as a result of a season-ending injury to wide receiver Tim Patrick. Russell Wilson has a propensity for targeting tight ends, which could equate to a big season for Okwuegbunam. He's someone who warrants a pick in the later rounds, especially if you pass on the position early.
Other Players:
K.J. Hamler (WR, DEN)
Hamler has returned to practice and is expected to be at full health to begin the year. Hamler is a speedy deep threat who has drawn comparisons to Lockett, and the role he had in Seattle with Wilson. Hamler will provide you with sporadic week-winning performances and could become more consistent depending on the extent of his role. He'll be available very late in drafts as a boom-bust option you can add to your team.
Irv Smith Jr. (TE, MIN)
Smith Jr. successfully underwent thumb surgery and is reportedly on track for Week 1. He's a very talented red zone threat that slots in as the fourth target behind Justin Jefferson, Adam Thielen, and Dalvin Cook. He may be eased into the offense entering the season but offers top-12 upside once fully integrated. Therefore, grabbing a tight end very late or off waivers to pair with Smith Jr. and stream for the first week or two would be a nice strategy.
K.J. Osborn (WR, MIN)
Much like Smith Jr., Osborn has an opportunity to make his mark, in what is rumored to be a completely revamped offense that will feature more creativity and passing volume. There's also reason to be concerned about Thielen's health and reliability as he'll enter his age 32 season. Osborn requires a bet on the offense and isn't someone to spend up on in your draft but once the more exciting receiver options have been selected, he'll be a valuable pick that could have sneaky upside.
Started Being Rested:
None
Injuries:
Greg Dulcich (hamstring)
Irv Smith Jr. (thumb)
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