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Analyzing Recent FFPC ADP Trends at RB and WR

Examining the Average Draft Positions from the Fantasy Football Players Championship (FFPC) gives us a great snapshot of what high-stakes fantasy football players are thinking. The ADPs, which are housed in FantasyMojo.com’s deluxe shop of FFPC data, show you what some of the most competitive fantasy players in the world are thinking.

For this exercise, we consulted recent ADPs from the Footballguys Championship format in the FFPC, which includes a starting lineup of 1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 2 FLEX, 1 K and 1 Defense. The FFPC format is PPR with 1.5 points for TE receptions.

We specifically review and analyze some of the most interesting picks at RB and WR here.

 

Recent FFPC ADP Spotlight: RB and WR

OVERALL PLAYER POS ADP
1 Christian McCaffrey (13) RB1 1 (1.1)
2 Saquon Barkley (11) RB2 2 (1.2)
3 Ezekiel Elliott (10) RB3 3 (1.3)
4 Alvin Kamara (6) RB4 4 (1.4)
5 Michael Thomas (6) WR1 6 (1.6)
6 Dalvin Cook (7) RB5 6 (1.6)
7 Travis Kelce (10) TE1 8 (1.8)
8 Clyde Edwards-Helaire (10) RB6 8 (1.8)
9 Miles Sanders (9) RB7 9 (1.9)
10 Derrick Henry (7) RB8 10 (1.10)
11 Davante Adams (5) WR2 13 (2.1)
12 Joe Mixon (9) RB9 13 (2.1)
13 George Kittle (11) TE2 14 (2.2)
14 Kenyan Drake (8) RB10 14 (2.2)
15 Julio Jones (10) WR3 17 (2.5)
16 Josh Jacobs (6) RB11 17 (2.5)
17 Tyreek Hill (10) WR4 17 (2.5)
18 Nick Chubb (9) RB12 18 (2.6)
19 Austin Ekeler (10) RB13 18 (2.6)
20 DeAndre Hopkins (8) WR5 19 (2.7)
21 Aaron Jones (5) RB14 19 (2.7)
22 Chris Godwin (13) WR6 22 (2.10)
23 Lamar Jackson (8) QB1 25 (3.1)
24 Patrick Mahomes (10) QB2 25 (3.1)
25 Todd Gurley (10) RB15 27 (3.3)

The recent Top 25 overall in the FFPC Footballguys Championship via FantasyMojo

Clyde Edwards-Helaire (ADP of Round One, Pick 8, RB6): He is being taken as early as fourth overall after the recent opt-out by Damien Williams. High stakes players gun for upside more than others, so it was expected that he would be starting to rise up the board. Before you take CEH over a more experienced RB, though, remember that he had an abbreviated preseason with no exhibition games. He could start more slowly than expected and possibly even lead a committee early in the regular season.

Kenyan Drake (2/2, RB10): If you can get Drake early in the second round, that can turn out to be a good value. Kliff Kingsbury is going to let him fully be a lead RB for the first time in his career this season. Working with a dual-threat QB puts extra pressure on defenses that face the Arizona backfield. Drake is headed for the best year of his career so far, with fantasy RB1 production on the way.

Todd Gurley (3/3, RB15): The Rams had to manage Gurley’s reps last year and the Falcons are unlikely to overwork him, either. They may mix in Ito Smith and Qadree Ollison, who could cut into Gurley’s TD potential with the Falcons. His ADP is six slots ahead of Melvin Gordon and 16 ahead of Chris Carson, RBs who I definitely prefer to handle larger loads, and Gurley is too much of a risk at 25th overall.

Amari Cooper (4/1, WR13): Fantasy players everywhere seem to be cooling on Cooper because of his boom/bust rep and the addition of CeeDee Lamb. But with Lamb, Gallup and Ezekiel Elliott drawing away some defensive attention, Cooper could be in for a big year as the top receiving target for an offense that was No. 1 in the NFL in 2019.

Chris Carson (4/3, RB22): He basically missed the final two games last year and still finished fifth in the league in rushing yards. Carson plays at an RB1 level when healthy and bigger question marks such as Gurley and David Johnson (RB20) should not be picked ahead of him. Just make sure you get Carlos Hyde as injury protection when you take Carson.

Courtland Sutton (5/8, WR23): Yes, the Broncos added Jerry Jeudy and Noah Fant will improve. Sutton is the clear WR1 for the Broncos, though, and he played at a high-end fantasy WR2 level for the first half of last year. Drew Lock can stabilize the QB position over a full season this year and Sutton may perform in that range for much of 2020.

Cam Akers (5/8, RB27): This is a great value spot for a rookie who will be a featured back after a few weeks. Sean McVay wanted an RB just like Akers, who reads his blocks well and is decisive. The path is clear to the starting job in Los Angeles, it is just a matter of short time before Akers fully claims it.

DeVante Parker (6/2, WR26): Obviously, Parker still has lingering skeptics in the high stakes arena. I am a believer in his sudden resurgence last year. Parker had a renewed focus and was reborn mentally and physically, as he improved his conditioning. He should perform as a high-end Fantasy WR2 this year. Parker proved he can get it done in tough matchups. He scored over 20 fantasy points in his second meetings with the Bills and Patriots last year. Parker totaled 37 points in two games against the Bills.

Tyler Boyd (6/12, WR32): I will gladly take Boyd as a low-end WR3 every time if I can get him. He will prove to be the true No. 1 WR for the Bengals this season. He is coming off consecutive 1,000-yard campaigns and the offense should certainly improve once Joe Burrow gets rolling. Boyd can also pad his numbers when Cincinnati possibly plays from behind during the rookie’s adjustment period.

Antonio Gibson (8/12, RB36): I am not going to end up with Gibson on any rosters, because he won’t get enough quality touches to make much of an impact in seasonal leagues. Yes he is versatile and exciting, but he has limited experience and a lot to learn at RB without a normal preseason to boot. The Washington backfield will be crowded and Gibson will be eased in as an occasional playmaker. I wouldn’t even consider taking him until the 13th round or so.

Jalen Reagor (10/7, WR46): The learning curve will be steeper for most rookies this year as indicated, yet once the break-in period is over for Reagor, he can be a prime deep threat and one of the top WRs for the wideout-needy Eagles.

Sony Michel (11/3, RB49): He still has a significant role in the New England backfield until he is officially knocked out of the mix. Playing in a RPO offense with Cam Newton and knowing that Damien Harris is a threat could be two factors that lead to a Michel rebound campaign in 2020.



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