RADIO
Welcome back, RotoBallers! I am Mark and this is my second season writing MLB content on RotoBaller. In this article, I'll be providing my favorite betting picks MLB games on Wednesday, June 22, 2022.
This article will be focused on sides and totals. I am a huge baseball fan and baseball has been my bread and butter for the last couple of decades. Hopefully, I can help you win some pizza money! I occasionally will post some ideas and picks with bets, DFS, and other things on my Twitter account. You can follow me at @Mark_Kieffer.
Attention fellow sports bettors! We have some exciting news to share as we are now officially partnered with various sportsbooks and have some sweet sports betting promo offers! Get your deposit bonus, as well as a year of free RotoBaller Premium access, when you sign up with a new account today! After you're signed up, use our picks in this article for spreads, totals, and props to win big.
Featured Promo: Want a free RotoBaller Premium Pass? Check out these sports betting promo offers from the top sportsbooks! All new sign-ups get a free bonus offer on their first deposit, and a free year of RotoBaller's Premium Pass for all sports ($450 value)! Sign Up Now!
Mark's 2022 MLB Betting Picks
With these articles, I am 24-34-4 overall on the season, down 3.6 units. I have been starting small and conservative because it's a long season. But it's now June and now I am opening things up a bit and trying to make more than just a couple of bets a day.
Today's MLB Betting Picks - Nationals @ Orioles
O/U: 9 | Moneyline: BAL -145
WSN: Patrick Corbin| BAL: Tyler Wells
Patrick Corbin and the Washington Nationals face off against Tyler Wells and the Baltimore Orioles in this regional matchup. Generally, these are pitchers that cause us to pick the other side of the game, but what about when these two face each other? Patrick Corbin has a 4.47 SIERA, a 17% strikeout rate, and an 8.1% walk rate. Tyler Wells has a 4.72 SIERA, a 15.1% strikeout rate, and a 5% walk rate. These starting pitchers are dead even, with a slight edge to Patrick Corbin as he has the better SIERA than Wells.
As far as offenses go, Baltimore has scored the 23rd-most runs in the league. They are also 18th in ISO and 24th in OBP. Overall they are not a great offense. Washington has scored the 17th-most runs in the league. They are 28th in ISO and tied for 11th in OBP. Washington does a better job of getting on base; they struggle to score runs. Because they have scored more than Baltimore and have a better on-base percentage, they have the edge here as well.
With bullpens, Baltimore has the 20th-best SIERA at 3.75 while Washington's is 22nd at 3.87. All in all very close. A slight edge goes to Baltimore but these bullpens are virtually the same.
We have starting pitchers that are virtually the same, bullpens that are virtually the same, and two below-average offenses. In a game like this, I am going to favor any kind of an underdog if there are decent plus odds. In this case, there is +130 to Washington and that is my bet today.
Pick: Washington Moneyline (+130), DraftKings Sportsbook 0.5 units
Sports Betting Promo Offers
All new sign-ups also get a free year of RotoBaller's all sports Premium Pass ($450 value)!
| Sportsbook | Bonus Offer | Promo |
| Caesars | Risk-Free First Bet Up To $1,500 | CLAIM OFFER |
| PointsBet | 2 Risk-Free Bets Up To $2,000 | CLAIM OFFER |
| BetMGM | Risk-Free First Bet Up To $1,000 | CLAIM OFFER |
| FanDuel | Risk-Free First Bet Up To $1,000 | CLAIM OFFER |
| DraftKings | Deposit Bonus Booster Up To $1,000 | CLAIM OFFER |
Featured Promo
Offer is only valid for new users
All new sportsbook sign-ups get a free year of RotoBaller Premium access ($450 value)!
1. Just sign up for a new account
2. Make a minimum deposit of $20 and place any bet
3. Be sure to claim your bonus offer from the sportsbook
4. Email us at [email protected] with your new account details
5. Boom - that's it! We'll email you with your year-long RotoBaller Premium Pass
Today's MLB Betting Picks - Tigers @ Red Sox
O/U: 8.5 | Moneyline: BOS -130
DET: Tarik Skubal| BOS: Michael Wacha
Detroit and Boston play their final game of a series that was interesting while Detroit tries to avoid getting swept. The Tigers have their best pitcher on the mound, Tarik Skubal, going today. Skubal has a 3.10 SIERA, a 26.7% strikeout rate, and a 4.7% walk rate. Wacha has a 4.50 SIERA, a 17.4% strikeout rate, and a 7.2% walk rate. Detroit clearly has the advantage here with the starting pitching.
With the bullpens, Detroit has a 3.59 SIERA which is 13th best in baseball. Boston's is 3.60 which is tied for 14th best. Basically, these bullpen units are performing similarly.
As far as offenses go, on the season Boston is way better. If you look at the stats over the last week or so, Detroit has been performing closer to average with their offensive metrics. At the end of the day, Boston has the superior lineup, no question.
The issue for me, is the starting pitching is so lopsided that while Boston has the better lineup, they are batting to a potential Cy Young winner one day. And while Detroit is average at best offensively, they are pitching to one of the worst pitchers on the slate, who does not strike out many batters.
I am going to go back to Detroit here and also take under the total as this series has been lower scoring than anticipated with one really good pitcher and two good bullpens.
Pick: Detroit Moneyline (+120), DraftKings Sportsbook, 0.5 units; UNDER 8.5 Runs (+100), PointsBet Sportsbook, 0.5 units
Good luck, RotoBallers! Stay tuned for more great DFS and betting content throughout the week!
Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App
Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy baseball app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, sleepers, prospects & more. All free!
More Fantasy Baseball Analysis
