RADIO
Fourth of July, a day that is synonymous with baseball to me from when I was a kid into now my adult years. Perhaps you want to watch some games and throw down a couple of bets to sweat the action? In this article, I'll be providing my favorite betting picks MLB games on Monday, July 4, 2022.
This article will be focused on sides and totals. I am a huge baseball fan and baseball has been my bread and butter for the last couple of decades. Hopefully, I can help you win some pizza money! I occasionally will post some ideas and picks with bets, DFS, and other things on my Twitter account. You can follow me at @Mark_Kieffer.
Attention fellow sports bettors! We have some exciting news to share as we are now officially partnered with various sportsbooks and have some sweet sports betting promo offers! Get your deposit bonus, as well as a year of free RotoBaller Premium access, when you sign up with a new account today! After you're signed up, use our picks in this article for spreads, totals, and props to win big.
Featured Promo: Want a free RotoBaller Premium Pass? Check out these sports betting promo offers from the top sportsbooks! All new sign-ups get a free bonus offer on their first deposit, and a free year of RotoBaller's Premium Pass for all sports ($450 value)! Sign Up Now!
Today's MLB Betting Picks - Cubs @ Brewers
O/U: 9 | Moneyline: MIL -145
CHC: Justin Steele| MIL: Eric Lauer
In this game, I like the Chicago Cubs. Justin Steele has a 4.16 SIERA while Eric Lauer has a 3.85 SIERA. These pitchers are pretty close skill-wise. Chicago is 14th runs score, Milwaukee is 9th. Chicago has the third-best OBP in the league while Milwaukee has the fifth-best ISO in the league. One team scores their runs by getting on base often while the other team scores most of their runs off of power hitting. Justin Steele is only allowing 0.65 HR/9 and doing a great job of limiting power. When there are two average pitchers going, in a hitters park, I will go with the underdog if they are juiced up.
Pick: Cubs Moneyline (+130), DraftKings Sportsbook 0.5 units
Sports Betting Promo Offers
All new sign-ups also get a free year of RotoBaller's all sports Premium Pass ($450 value)!
| Sportsbook | Bonus Offer | Promo |
| Caesars | Risk-Free First Bet Up To $1,500 | CLAIM OFFER |
| PointsBet | 2 Risk-Free Bets Up To $2,000 | CLAIM OFFER |
| BetMGM | Risk-Free First Bet Up To $1,000 | CLAIM OFFER |
| FanDuel | Risk-Free First Bet Up To $1,000 | CLAIM OFFER |
| DraftKings | Deposit Bonus Booster Up To $1,000 | CLAIM OFFER |
Featured Promo
Offer is only valid for new users
All new sportsbook sign-ups get a free year of RotoBaller Premium access ($450 value)!
1. Just sign up for a new account
2. Make a minimum deposit of $20 and place any bet
3. Be sure to claim your bonus offer from the sportsbook
4. Email us at [email protected] with your new account details
5. Boom - that's it! We'll email you with your year-long RotoBaller Premium Pass
Today's MLB Betting Picks - Twins @ White Sox
O/U: 9 | Moneyline: CHW -122
MIN: Dylan Bundy| CHW: Johnny Cueto
Tonight we have Dylan Bundy and Johnny Cueto facing off on the Southside. On paper, Cueto is the better pitcher. He has a 3.99 SIERA while Bundy's is 4.40. I view these pitchers much closer together. Bundy has a 12.2% K-BB% while Cueto's is 14.6%. Bundy allows 1.38 HR/9 while Cueto allows 1.33 HR/9. I look at this game similar to the one above, except these pitchers to me are below average. Two below average pitchers, in a good hitting environment could mean a lot of runs scored. Minnesota is 12th in runs scored, 8th in ISO, and 8th in OBP. Chicago is in the bottom third of the league in each of those categories. If I am going to back a team in a high scoring game, I am going to back the better offense.
Pick: Twins Moneyline (+110), FanDuel Sportsbook 0.5 units
Good luck, RotoBallers! Stay tuned for more great DFS and betting content throughout the week!
Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App
Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy baseball app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, sleepers, prospects & more. All free!
More Fantasy Baseball Analysis
