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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Seattle Mariners vs. Cleveland Guardians, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Friday September 2nd, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Mariners vs. Guardians
The Mariners take on the Guardians on Friday September 2nd at Progressive Field, Cleveland. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Seattle Mariners (73-58) vs. Cleveland Guardians (68-61)
- Date: Friday September 2nd, 2022
- Time: 7:10 ET
- Venue: Progressive Field, Cleveland
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Mariners vs. Guardians
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Seattle Mariners - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
At 73-58, the Seattle Mariners travel to take on the Cleveland Guardians, ranked 2nd in the AL West division. Through 68 road contests, the Mariners come in with a mark of 38-30. The unit is coming off a winning effort over Detroit by a score of 7-0. Seattle's overall series record is above .500, sitting at 22-16-3.
The Mariners will send Luis Castillo to the mound with an overall record of 4-4. In his 14 appearances, Castillo has an ERA of 2.86. Currently, opponents are batting just .201 against the right-hander. So far, Castillo has given up just 7 home runs. Averaging just 0.74 allowed per 9 innings. For the season, Luis Castillo has averaged 3.21 strikeouts for every walk. This has come on a K rate of 26.0%.
Seattle enters play with the 22nd ranked scoring offense, averaging 4.18 runs per game. So far, the team ranks 14th in runs scored through 4 innings. Through 131 games, the Mariners have the 25th ranked batting average at .231. For the season, 35.4% of the team's hits have been in the form of extra bases. On average the team is hitting 1.16 home runs per game (11th), making up for their struggles in the batting average department. Thus far, the team has put together an average rate similar to the league average (7.8%). Throughout the season, Seattle is ranked 16th in OBP (.313). While their current WOBA of .308 is similar to the league average.
Cleveland Guardians - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
At 68-61, the Cleveland Guardians will host Cleveland, currently ranked 1st in the AL Central division. Through 60 home contests, the Guardians come in with a mark of 33-27 at Progressive Field. In their previous games, Cleveland lost by a score of 3-0 to the Orioles. Overall, the team has won over half of their 41 series played, going 18-13-10.
For Cleveland, Zach Plesac will look to pick up a win over Seattle, as he has a record of 3-11. Against the Mariners, Plesac is hoping to improve on his current ERA of 4.32, while his WHIP of 1.30 comes in as one of the higher marks among MLB starters. So far, Zach Plesac has a SLG% allowed .421, including giving up 19 home runs. Heading into the game, Plesac has struck 18.0% of the batters he's faced. Thus far, Zach Plesac has had problems with walks, averaging 2.62 BB/9.
Offensively, Cleveland is scoring at a rate near the MLB average, at 4.21 runs per game. The Guardians have combined to hit .249, which ranks 11th in the league. This includes batting .174 over their last 3 games. So far, home runs have been hard to come by for the team, as they are averaging just .78 per game (29th). Up to this point, they have one of the lowest hard-hit rates in the MLB at 34.0%. Cleveland's OBP of .310 places them 19th in the league. While their wOBA of .304 is one of the lowest figures in the league.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Mariners vs. Guardians
Heading into today's matchup between Seattle and Cleveland, the Mariners are the betting favorite at -142 on the moneyline. Seattle's implied win probability sits at 58.68%. The MLB predictive models shows the best bet for today's game being taking Seattle on the moneyline, as they have the advantage both at the plate and on the mound.
Recommended Betting Pick: Mariners Moneyline
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