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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Tuesday August 30th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Orioles vs. Guardians
The Orioles take on the Guardians on Tuesday August 30th at Progressive Field, Cleveland. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Baltimore Orioles (67-60) vs. Cleveland Guardians (67-59)
- Date: Tuesday August 30th, 2022
- Time: 6:10 ET
- Venue: Progressive Field, Cleveland
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Orioles vs. Guardians
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Baltimore Orioles - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
At 67-60, the Baltimore Orioles travel to take on the Cleveland Guardians, ranked 4th in the AL East division. Baltimore will be looking to move their record on the road closer to .500, as they are currently 30-36 away from home. The Orioles will be looking to bounce back after falling to Houston by a score of 3-1. So far, Baltimore has won 21 out of their first 42 series, 21-17-4.
Orioles starter Spenser Watkins comes into the game with a record of just 4-4. With an ERA of 3.96, Watkins has had his struggles on the mound. His batting average allowed of .262 compared to other pitchers. So far, opponents have taken Watkins over the fence 9 times across 84 innings pitched. In terms of strikeouts, he profiles as an average pitcher, coming in with a total of 53 K's. Averaging 5.68 per 9 innings. Thus far, Spenser Watkins has had problems with walks, averaging 2.57 per 9 innings.
Baltimore enters play with the 20th ranked scoring offense, averaging 4.24 runs per game. So far, the team ranks 14th in runs scored in the 8th and 9th innings of action. Together, the Orioles offense has the 21st ranked batting average, at .237. Per game, the team is averaging 7.98 hits. So far, the team is the 15th-rated home run hitting team, averaging 1.04 per game. So far, their hard hit rate of 38.9% is near the MLB average. Up to this point, Baltimore has been getting on base at a rate of just .305, placing them 25th in all of baseball. While their wOBA of .305 is one of the lowest figures in the league.
Cleveland Guardians - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
As the Cleveland Guardians host the Baltimore Orioles, they have a record of 67-59, placing them 1st in the AL Central division. When playing at Progressive Field, the Guardians have played well, posting a record of 32-25. Cleveland will be looking to bounce back after falling to the Mariners by a score of 4-0. Overall, the team has won over half of their 40 series played, going 18-12-10.
For Cleveland, Cal Quantrill gets the start, currently holding a record of 10-5 and an ERA 3.59. So far, Cal Quantrill has put together a WHIP of 1.21. Compared to other pitchers, he has an elevated batting average allowed (.252). So far, Cal Quantrill has a SLG% allowed .396, including giving up 17 home runs. Overall, Quantrill has notched 94 strikeouts on a K rate of 16.0%.
Cleveland's offense comes into this game averaging 4.27 runs per game, placing them near the MLB average. In the team's last 3 contests, their run differential comes in at -4. The Guardians offense comes into this matchup ranked 10th in the league, at .250. On average, the team is coming up with 8.54 hits per game. Although the team is hitting for a high batting average, they have struggled to generate power, ranking 29th in the league at .79 home runs per contest. Before today's game, the team has one of the worst barrel rates in the league at 5.1%. Cleveland's OBP of .312 places them 18th in the league. So far, the team has a walk rate of 7.3%.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Orioles vs. Guardians
Heading into today's matchup between Baltimore and Cleveland, the Guardians are the heavy favorite at -156 on the moneyline. Cleveland's implied win probability sits at 60.94%. Even with the odds strongly in favor of Cleveland, the MLB predictive model shows the best bet for this contest being the Orioles on the runline (+1.5).
Recommended Betting Pick: Orioles +1.5 Runline
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