RADIO
Julio Teheran took a few sizeable steps back in 2015 after an impressive first two full years in the majors for the Braves. Many people could see that the regression police was hot on Teheran’s trail after last year.
It’s one thing to have your surface stats catch up to your peripherals, but his peripherals also imploded. Here’s what happened from 2014 to 2015: ERA: 2.89 to 4.04, WHIP: 1.07 to 1.31, FIP: 3.49 to 4.40, first strike %: 60.3% to 57.3%, BB/9: 2.08 to 3.27, Line Drive%: 21.3% to 24%. That’s ugly, really ugly.
Hitters laid off his offerings, he couldn’t paint the corners nearly as effectively, and when he did throw it in the zone, batters connected. According to NFBC’s ADP data, he’s being taken as the 49th starting pitcher off the board, ahead of guys I’d much rather own like John Lackey and Patrick Corbin.
If he is successful in correcting some things then he can look more like the Teheran we’ve seen in years past, but with the Braves’ weak lineup supporting him and his rocky 2015 in tow, he’s definitely a risky buy.
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