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has written 1571 articles so far, you can find them below.


Nick Mariano's Auction Draft Strategies and Tips (Premium Content)

All other Premium Tools can be accessed on the premium dashboard. Congratulations to you and your leaguemates for electing to play in the vastly superior format that is auction-based fantasy football, where luck of the draw doesn't determine draft position. I'm not here to drone about many basic how-to's, I want to get after winning... Read More

PREMIUM 4 months ago

Nick Mariano's 2020 Late-Round Fliers (Premium Content)

All other Premium Tools can be accessed on the premium dashboard. We’re intentionally sidestepping the term “sleeper" because I don’t want to get wrapped up in debates over these guys not being “under the radar” enough. I may still throw it into the SEO field, though...no regrets. Instead, let’s discuss some late-round fliers at running... Read More

PREMIUM 4 months ago

Nick Mariano's Early-Round Overvalued List (Premium Content)

All other Premium Tools can be accessed on the premium dashboard. Everyone loves to talk about sleepers and which late-round fliers are going to deliver them to the promised land, but those picks can only blossom when overvalued landmines are left for others to step on. Here we'll be looking at two players per position... Read More

PREMIUM 4 months ago

Nick Mariano's 2020 Sleepers List (Premium Content)

All other Premium Tools can be accessed on the premium dashboard. Sleeper has become a dirty word to me, as both writer and reader, but there's no doubting its place in our fantasy lexicon. I do think that everyone that uses it then needs to define what it means within the context of the article.... Read More

PREMIUM 4 months ago

Paul DeJong (SS, STL) - Fantasy Baseball Draft Sleeper

BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~175-185 CURRENT ADP: ~198 overall ANALYSIS: Paul DeJong had his first full MLB season in 2019, and it yielded 30 homers, 175 R+RBI, and nine steals for fortunate fantasy owners. You’re getting a nice speed contribution on top of stellar R+RBI stats given his position within the order at a spot... Read More

5 months ago


Josh Donaldson (3B, MIN) - Fantasy Baseball Draft Sleeper

BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~70-80 CURRENT ADP: ~88 overall ANALYSIS: Josh Donaldson is ready to feast within a monstrous Minnesota offense, and he comes with greater power numbers than a premium third-base target like Anthony Rendon. Of course, you trade roughly 50 points of batting average for the 70-pick discount on Donaldson, but the added... Read More

5 months ago

Luis Castillo (SP, CIN) - Fantasy Baseball Undervalued Target

BALLER MOVE: ESPN Only: Target ~40th CURRENT ADP: ESPN ADP of 58 overall ANALYSIS: Luis Castillo and his changeup brutalized many batters as he posted 226 strikeouts in 190 ⅔ IP with a 3.40 ERA/1.14 WHIP. He enjoyed the amplified whiffs in ‘19, illustrated by his swinging-strike rate going to 15.9% from 13.5% in ‘18,... Read More

5 months ago

Charlie Morton (SP, TB) - Fantasy Baseball Draft Target

BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~40 CURRENT ADP: ~53 overall ANALYSIS: Morton’s price may rise as more top-end starting pitchers succumb to injury, but his current discount is nearly a full round in most formats. That’s plenty of room for profit given his elite turnaround since adding velocity at the end of 2016. He was one... Read More

5 months ago

Man vs. Machine: Nick Mariano and ATC's Over/Undervalued Players

Welcome to Round 2 of Man vs. Machine, where one fantasy analyst goes toe-to-toe with one projection system for ranking supremacy. We here at RotoBaller are fortunate enough to have FantasyPros’ Most Accurate Fantasy Baseball Draft Ranker from both 2018 and 2019 on our roster in Nick Mariano and Ariel Cohen, respectively. Ariel also created... Read More

6 months ago

Finding Over/Undervalued Outfielders Using Expected Draft Values

A couple weeks ago, we introduced our Expected Draft Values and explained how they would help us identify both over and undervalued players of all types. Power, speed, power+speed, batting average+power, and so on, with pitchers as well. Today, we'll look at four outfielders and our site projections for them. Stay tuned over the next... Read More

6 months ago


Finding Over/Undervalued Shortstops Using Expected Draft Values

A couple weeks ago, we introduced our Expected Draft Values and explained how they would help us identify both over and undervalued players of all types. Power, speed, power+speed, batting average+power, and so on, with pitchers as well. Today, we'll look at four shortstops and our site projections for them. Stay tuned over the next... Read More

6 months ago

Finding Over/Undervalued Third Basemen Using Expected Draft Values

A couple weeks ago, we introduced our Expected Draft Values and explained how they would help us identify both over and undervalued players of all types. Power, speed, power+speed, batting average+power, and so on, with pitchers as well. Today, we'll look at four third basemen and our site projections for them. Stay tuned over the... Read More

7 months ago

Sean Doolittle (RP, WAS) - Fantasy Baseball Draft Sleepers

BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~140 CURRENT ADP: ~176 overall (From March 1st to present) ANALYSIS: Doolittle had a tumultuous 2019, proving effective but suffering from overuse before rebounding in the playoffs. Doolittle had a 2.72 ERA with a 51/11 K/BB ratio over 43 innings through July 24, when he notched the save in each game... Read More

7 months ago

Yahoo ADP Comparison - Overpriced / Underpriced Players

Average Draft Position (ADP) is a must-have piece of information when it comes to drafting. While every league is different and may have a particularly aggressive or conservative group of owners when it comes to certain players, it’s the best tool we have when analyzing players’ value. Now, instead of just talking about total ADP... Read More

7 months ago

Finding Over/Undervalued Second Basemen Using Expected Draft Values

A couple weeks ago, we introduced our Expected Draft Values and explained how they would help us identify both over and undervalued players of all types. Power, speed, power+speed, batting average+power, and so on, with pitchers as well. Today, we'll look at four "power" hitters, as identified by our site projections. Stay tuned over the... Read More

7 months ago


Niko Goodrum (1B/2B/SS/OF, DET) - Fantasy Baseball Draft Sleeper

BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~260-270 CURRENT ADP: ~284 overall ANALYSIS: Niko Goodrum is on pace to start the year as Detroit’s everyday shortstop, but has insane versatility that allows him to fill in wherever needed. Goodrum delivered a 12 home run/12 stolen base season in just 112 games last year, with 15/15 available on the cheap... Read More

7 months ago

ESPN ADP Comparison - Overpriced / Underpriced Players

Average Draft Position (ADP) is a must-have piece of information when it comes to drafting. While every league is different and may have a particularly aggressive or conservative group of owners when it comes to certain players, it’s the best tool we have when analyzing players’ value. Now, instead of just talking about total ADP... Read More

7 months ago

Finding Over/Undervalued First Basemen Using Expected Draft Values

A couple weeks ago, we introduced our Expected Draft Values and explained how they would help us identify both over and undervalued players of all types. Power, speed, power+speed, batting average+power, and so on, with pitchers as well. Today, we'll look at four "power" hitters, as identified by our site projections. Stay tuned over the... Read More

7 months ago

Using Expected Draft Values to Find Over and Undervalued Speed Hitters

A couple weeks ago, we introduced our Expected Draft Values and explained how they would help us identify both over and undervalued players of all types. Power, speed, power+speed, batting average+power, and so on, with pitchers as well. Today, we'll look at four "speed" players as identified by our site projections. Stay tuned over the... Read More

7 months ago

Nelson Cruz (UT, MIN) - Fantasy Baseball Draft Sleeper

BALLER MOVE: Target ~40s CURRENT ADP: ~86 overall ANALYSIS: Many people let Nelson Cruz fall in drafts because he can only slot into the UTIL spot, but you can make DH-only work when it’s Cruz. His Statcast profile is painted red from wall to wall, with 99th percentile exit velocity and the best xSLG of... Read More

7 months ago


Finding Over/Undervalued Power Hitters Using Expected Draft Values

A couple weeks ago, we introduced our Expected Draft Values and explained how they would help us identify both over and undervalued players of all types. Power, speed, power+speed, batting average+power, and so on, with pitchers as well. Today, we'll look at four "power" hitters, as identified by our site projections. Stay tuned over the... Read More

7 months ago

Austin Hays (OF, BAL) - Fantasy Baseball Draft Sleepers

BALLER MOVE: Target ~240s CURRENT ADP: ~268 overall ANALYSIS: Austin Hays has been a name on fantasy players’ radars since he had a brief debut with the Orioles in 2017, but, despite the major league club not being relatively competitive, the organization chose to delay his call-up after injuries waylaid his ‘18 and ‘19 campaigns.... Read More

7 months ago

Dylan Cease (SP, CHW) - Fantasy Draft Sleeper

BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~250 (around Adrian Houser, Anthony DeSclafani, Sandy Alcantara) CURRENT ADP: ~283 overall ANALYSIS: The White Sox have a few young arms of intrigue in Cease, Michael Kopech and Reynaldo Lopez. However, Cease may have the most upside for 2020. He has elite stuff, with a curveball that seemed electric last season and, according to... Read More

7 months ago

Ian Happ (OF/2B, CHC) - Fantasy Baseball Sleeper

BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~280 CURRENT ADP: ~323 overall ANALYSIS: Ian Happ burst onto the scene in 2017, hitting 24 home runs in 115 games, and many people were ready to anoint him as a long-time legitimate fantasy asset. Then his swing-and-miss tendencies got the better of him in 2018,  he wound up in the... Read More

7 months ago

2020 RotoBaller Fantasy Baseball Mock Draft Reactions

Over the last couple weeks, RotoBaller's roster has grown with several new faces to join our esteemed veteran corps. We figured it would be nice to roll out the welcome wagon with a February fantasy baseball mock draft, putting six "RotoNewbs" with six RotoVets. It was a snake draft hosted on Fantrax, a traditional 5x5 format with... Read More

8 months ago


2020 Saves+Holds Rankings - Fantasy Baseball Mixed Leagues

To any reader who thinks they don't have a voice here at RotoBaller, let it be known that this article came from a simple Reddit comment about how those seeking Saves+Holds reliever ranks were often overlooked. Poof, and here we are. Allow me, Nick Mariano, 2018's most accurate draft expert and sharer of names with... Read More

8 months ago

Nick Mariano's 2020 Late-Round Fliers List (Premium Content)

All other Premium Tools can be accessed on the premium dashboard. Howdy, RotoBallers! I hope you're ready to take chances, make mistakes and get messy. We’re here to dig a little deeper into the draft room and look for players that would be wise to take a flier on in the late rounds. It can... Read More

PREMIUM 9 months ago

Nick Mariano's Auction Draft Strategies and Tips (Premium Content)

All other Premium Tools can be accessed on the premium dashboard. Congratulations to you and your leaguemates for electing to play in the vastly superior format that is auction-based fantasy baseball. I'm not here to wax poetic about basic how-to's, rather to help you go from the foundation to the very top. We're here to... Read More

PREMIUM 9 months ago

Nick Mariano's 2020 Early-Round Overvalued List (Premium Content)

All other Premium Tools can be accessed on the premium dashboard. Fantasy baseball drafts (and their articles) are almost all about finding the next superstar and unearthing talent late, but we can't forget that surrendering value by over-drafting can be just as crucial. In order to evaluate overvalued players here, we're going to utilize Average... Read More

PREMIUM 9 months ago

Nick Mariano's 2020 Draft Sleepers List (Premium Content)

All other Premium Tools can be accessed on the premium dashboard. Sleeper has become a polarizing term in fantasy sports, becoming an SEO must for articles despite no real consensus on what it means. So let's get my definition out of the way first. Sleepers are not necessarily meant to be names that no one else... Read More

PREMIUM 9 months ago


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Skills-Interactive ERA (or SIERA) has been around since 2011 when it was introduced at Baseball Prospectus by Matt Swartz and Eric Seidman before moving to its current home at Fangraphs. Much like xFIP, SIERA attempts to quantify the skills that underpin a pitcher's ERA, albeit in a different manner. Although technically a backward-looking evaluator,  SIERA... Read More


Later-Round WHIP Warriors

Every season, fantasy owners across head-to-head leagues are faced with a tough decision on draft day. Do they load up on crummy starting pitchers at the end of the draft to amass wins and strikeouts? Or do they opt to only roster good starters and spend late-round draft picks on relievers to help with ERA... Read More


Minnesota Twins: Top 12 Dynasty Prospects

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Hitters Ready To Break Out Late

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Pittsburgh Pirates: Top 10 Dynasty Prospects

The Pittsburgh Pirates will be our next stop on the farm to evaluate the best prospects on each MLB team. Once the 2020 MLB season begins, it may turn out that Minor League systems will be more important than usual. Franchises are losing money during the pandemic layoff, so many teams will be looking for... Read More


ADP Risers: The Injured and the Young

Over the last few days, there have been rumors circulating of a baseball season starting in early July. This is music to all our fantasy baseball ears. With news of the game we love returning, that also means it will be time to start drafting again.  During draft season most people love looking at the... Read More


Deeper Draft Sleepers - Shortstop

In shallow or even standard fantasy baseball leagues, there is a common tenet that the end of drafts is for taking chances. Since there is normally not much difference between a player that gets selected at the end of a draft and a player who is left for waivers, taking a large, figurative swing on... Read More


Chicago White Sox: Top 10 Dynasty Prospects

The Chicago White Sox will be our next stop on the farm to evaluate the best prospects on each MLB team. Once the 2020 MLB season begins, it may turn out that Minor League systems will be more important than usual. Franchises are losing money during the pandemic layoff, so many teams will be looking... Read More


Three Hitters Ready to Breakout Earlier Than Their Prime

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Third Basemen Likely to Return a Loss in 2020

So far we've covered some possible players to avoid at both 1B and 2B, so now we'll finish up by looking at 3B. Just as a refresher, my goal is these articles is to point out players who I believe won't match the value necessary for their current ADP. We frequently want to label these players... Read More


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Nick Mariano's Auction Draft Strategies and Tips (Premium Content)

All other Premium Tools can be accessed on the premium dashboard. Congratulations to you and your leaguemates for electing to play in the vastly superior format that is auction-based fantasy football, where luck of the draw doesn't determine draft position. I'm not here to drone about many basic how-to's, I want to get after winning... Read More


The King's One-Man Mock (Post NFL Draft)

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Updated Dynasty Rookie Rankings: Post-NFL Draft Risers and Fallers

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2020 IDP Rankings - Top 120 Defensive Players for Fantasy Football

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Josh Hayes' 2020 Best Ball Avoids (Premium Content)

All other Premium Tools can be accessed on the premium dashboard. The fantasy football season upon us! For those fantasy players looking to get an edge on their 2020 leagues, best ball formats are an awesome way to get an early look at where players are being drafted in terms of ADP, and which players... Read More


Nick Mariano's 2020 Late-Round Fliers (Premium Content)

All other Premium Tools can be accessed on the premium dashboard. We’re intentionally sidestepping the term “sleeper" because I don’t want to get wrapped up in debates over these guys not being “under the radar” enough. I may still throw it into the SEO field, though...no regrets. Instead, let’s discuss some late-round fliers at running... Read More


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