BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~pick 410
CURRENT ADP: ~431 overall
ANALYSIS: The Rays pulled off a shocking trade this offseason, sending former AL Cy Young Award winner Blake Snell to San Diego. As part of the return, the Rays landed Luis Patiño, an intriguing arm that could fit perfectly in Tampa Bay’s tactical oeuvre. Patiño, still just 21 years old, earned a big league debut with San Diego in the shortened 2020 season. He appeared in 11 games, making one start and posting a 5.19 ERA. His downfall last year was his control. Patiño posted a cringy 16.5% walk-rate in his MLB debut. However, during his minor league career, Patiño showcased much better control, with walk-rates in the single digits at most stops.
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I think Tampa Bay will likely use him in a similar fashion. RotoBaller’s Premium Cutter projections having him working 93 innings this season with a 4.60 ERA and 1.36 WHIP, while striking out more than a batter per inning. I might take the under on the ERA and WHIP, as I believe his control will come back into line with his minor league numbers.
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