RADIO
BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~ 80
CURRENT ADP: ~95 overall
ANALYSIS: Marcell Ozuna is a fresh face on a new squad in 2020; yet, his draft stock remains modest despite the upgrade in surroundings. After five years as a Marlin and two as a Cardinal, Ozuna is Atlanta’s likely cleanup hitter just as their youth movement hits its stride. Josh Donaldson racked up 190 R+RBI there despite hitting “only” .259 in the role last year.
I say “only” because Ozuna should exceed that, and more batted balls mean more Ronald Acuna Jr. and Ozzie Albies touching home. After posting BABIPs of .296 or higher in his first six seasons (career .314), a .257 BABIP dragged his average down to .241 on the year. He compensated with a career-best 11.3% walk rate to post an .800 OPS despite the poor fortune. Most projection systems agree on an average around .275-.280 for Ozuna in ‘20, which blows past the expectation here.
Then there’s the sneaky speed he tapped into last season, going 12-of-14 (85.7%) on the basepaths after a 14-for-25 (56%) start to his career. That’ll play! Going from an expectation of 2-3 bags to potentially 10 is clutch in today’s climate.
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