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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Miami Marlins vs. Houston Astros, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Friday June 10th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Marlins vs. Astros
The Marlins take on the Astros on Friday June 10th at Minute Maid Park, Houston. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Miami Marlins (25-30-0) vs. Houston Astros (36-21-0)
- Date: Friday June 10th, 2022
- Time: 8:10 ET
- Venue: Minute Maid Park, Houston
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Marlins vs. Astros
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Miami Marlins - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Miami Marlins come into this road contest vs Houston, with a below .500 record (25-30-0). In the NL East division standings, the team ranks 4th. Heading into play, the Marlins have won half of their 26 road games, sitting at 10-16. In their last game, the Marlins picked up a 7-4 win over the Nationals. So far, Miami has won less than half of their series, going just 6-11-1.
Miami pitcher Pablo Lopez gets the start, looking to pick up another win, as his current record sits at 4-2. Lopez boasts an outstanding ERA of 2.32. On the season, he has held opposing hitters to a batting average of just 0.196. Across 66 innings pitched, Lopez has allowed just 6 home runs. Heading into the game, he has struck 26.0% of the batters he's faced. Pablo Lopez is putting batters on base through walks at a clip of 2.32% per 9 innings.
Miami comes into this game with a strong offensive unit, averaging 4.47 runs per game, good for 11th in the MLB. This includes posting a season-long run differential of 21. The Marlins have enjoyed success at the plate, as their team batting average of 0.247 ranks 11th. For the season, 33.7% of the team's hits have been in the form of extra bases. The team's lineup is hitting home runs at a rate of 1.07 per game, good for 14th in the league. Throughout the season, Miami's batters have been excellent at getting on base, posting the 11th-best OBP of 0.319. While their current WOBA of 0.316 is similar to the league average.
Houston Astros - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Houston Astros enter play ranked 1st in the AL West division, with an overall record of 36-21-0. Through 23 home contests, the Astros come in with a mark of 15-8. In their previous games, Houston lost by a score of 6-3 to Mariners. Overall, the team has won over half of their 18 series played, going 10-7-1.
Luis Garcia gets the starting nod for Houston, looking to improve his overall record of 3-4. Coming into play, Garcia has put together an ERA of 3.07. Garcia's WHIP of just 1.02 compares favorably to other MLB starters. On the season, he has held opposing hitters to a batting average of just 0.199. Across his previous outings, Garcia has a SLG% allowed of 0.369. In total, he has given up 8 home runs. Compared to other pitchers, Garcia has a strikeout percentage of 23%, placing him near the MLB average.
Houston's offense comes into this game averaging 4.11 runs per game, placing them near the MLB average. So far, the team has struggled late in games, ranking 27th in runs scored in the 8th and 9th innings. Through 57 games, the Astros have the 22nd-ranked batting average at 0.235. On average the team is coming up with 7.75 hits per game. The team's lineup is hitting for power at an above-average rate, averaging 1.28 home runs per game (4th). For the season, the team has one of the best hard hit rates in the league at 40.7%. Houston's overall OBP of 0.313, puts them 16th in the league. While their current WOBA of 0.317 is similar to the MLB average.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Marlins vs. Astros
Heading into today's matchup between Miami and Houston, the Astros are the heavy favorite at -162 on the moneyline. Houston's implied win probability sits at 61.83%. The MLB predictive model sees this being a closer game than expected, with the best bet being Miami on the runline (+1.5).
Recommended Betting Pick: Astros +1.5 Runline
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