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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Saturday September 10th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Mets vs. Marlins
The Mets take on the Marlins on Saturday, September 10th at LoanDepot park, Miami. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: New York Mets (87-52) vs. Miami Marlins (57-80)
- Date: Saturday September 10th, 2022
- Time: 6:10 ET
- Venue: LoanDepot park, Miami
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Mets vs. Marlins
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New York Mets - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The New York Mets enter play ranked 2nd in the NL East division, with an overall record of 87-52. When playing away from home, the Mets have played well posting a record of 41-29. In their previous games, the Mets lost by a score of 6-3 to Miami. New York's overall series record is above .500, sitting at 31-10-3.
For New York, Carlos Carrasco gets the start, currently holding a record of 13-6. Carrasco will take the mound with an ERA of 3.84, placing him near the MLB average. Currently, opponents have a batting average of .271 against him. Through 129 innings of work, Carrasco has a HR/9 figure of 1.05, placing him near the league average. For the season, Carlos Carrasco has averaged 3.6 strikeouts for every walk. This has come on a K rate of 23.0%.
On offense, New York will look to continue their strong play, as they rank 7th in runs scored, averaging 4.65 runs per game. This includes posting a season long run differential of 126. As a team, the Mets are batting a healthy .257, placing them 6th in the league. Over their last three games, the team is hitting .309. In terms of home runs, New York ranks 18th, averaging 1.00 home runs per contest. So far, their hard hit rate of 37.2 is near the MLB average. New York's offense has done a good job getting on base, ranking 3rd with an OBP of .328. On average, the team generates walks at a rate of 8.0%.
Miami Marlins - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Miami Marlins come into this road contest vs New York with a below .500 record (57-80). In the NL East division standings, the team ranks 4th. Miami will be looking to move closer to above .500 at home, as they are currently 27-38 at LoanDepot park. Miami is hoping to add on another win, as they are coming off a 6-3 win over the Mets. To start the year, the team has picked up just 13 series wins, going 13-27-5.
Marlins starter Pablo Lopez comes into the game with a record of just 8-9. Currently, Lopez's ERA is 3.72. To date, he has a batting average allowed of .234. So far, opponents have taken Lopez over the fence 18 times across 150 innings pitched. Pablo Lopez takes the mound with a K/BB ratio of 3.24. This has come while striking out 24.0% of the batters he's faced.
On offense, Miami has struggled to bring runners across the plate, averaging just 3.56 runs per game. The team's total run differential sits at -90. Through 137 games, the Marlins have struggled to string together hits, ranking 27th in team batting average (.229). On average, the team is coming up with 7.62 hits per game. So far, home runs have been hard to come by for the team, as they are averaging just .88 per game (25th). Thus far, the team has put together an average rate similar to the league average (7.1%). Miami's OBP of .294 places them 26th in the league. The team is generating walks at a rate of 7.5%.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Mets vs. Marlins
Heading into today's matchup between New York and Miami, the Mets are the heavy favorite at -164 on the moneyline. New York's implied win probability sits at 62.12%. The MLB predictive model shows New York having enough of an advantage to take them to cover the runline (-1.5).
Recommended Betting Pick: Mets Runline
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