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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Sunday September 11th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Mets vs. Marlins
The Mets take on the Marlins on Sunday September 11th at LoanDepot park, Miami. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: New York Mets (87-52) vs. Miami Marlins (57-80)
- Date: Sunday September 11th, 2022
- Time: 1:40 ET
- Venue: LoanDepot park, Miami
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Mets vs. Marlins
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New York Mets - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The New York Mets enter play ranked 2nd in the NL East division, with an overall record of 87-52. In their 71 games on the road, the Mets have a strong record of 42-29. The team is hoping to add on another win, as they are coming off an 11-3 win over Miami. Overall, the team has won over half of their 44 series played, going 31-9-4.
For New York, Taijuan Walker gets the start, currently holding a record of 10-4. Currently, Walker's ERA is 3.60. To date, he has a batting average allowed of .243. Per 9 innings pitched, Walker is averaging just 0.78 home runs allowed. Taijuan Walker takes the mound with a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.4. This has come while striking out 18.0% of the batters he's faced.
New York comes into this game with a strong offensive unit, averaging 4.69 runs per game, good for 7th in the MLB. Over their last 3 games, the team has an average run differential of 15. The Mets are enjoying offensive success as their team batting average ranks 6th, at .258. For the season, 33.4% of the team's hits have been in the form of extra bases. So far, the team is the 16th-rated home run hitting team, averaging 1.01 per game. Throughout the season, New York's batters have been excellent at getting on base, posting the 2nd best OBP of .329. So far, the team has a walk rate of 8.1%.
Miami Marlins - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Miami Marlins take on the New York hoping to improve on their record of just 57-80, placing them 4th in the NL East division. The Marlins hope to avoid dropping further below .500 at home, as they are currently 27-39 at LoanDepot park. Miami are hoping to get back on track after dropping their last game to the Mets by a score of 11-3. To start the year, the team has picked up just 12 series wins, going 12-27-6.
Jesus Luzardo gets the start for the Marlins with a below .500 record at 3-6. Currently, Luzardo's ERA is 3.36. Jesus Luzardo has shown the ability to limit base runners, as he has a WHIP of just 1.01. Opponents have had a tough time against the left-hander, as they are batting just .179 against him. Across his previous outings, Luzardo has a SLG% allowed of .319. In total, he has given up 6 home runs. Heading into the game, Luzardo has struck 28.9% of the batters he's faced.
On offense, Miami has struggled to bring runners across the plate, averaging just 3.56 runs per game. In the team's 66 games at home, their run differential is 15. Through 137 games, the Marlins have the 27th ranked batting average at .229. On average, the team is coming up with 7.63 hits per game. So far, home runs have been hard to come by for the team, as they are averaging just .88 per game (25th). Currently, the team has one of the lowest average exit velocities in baseball. Miami's overall OBP of .294 puts them 27th in the league. While their wOBA of .290 is one of the lowest figures in the league.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Mets vs. Marlins
Heading into today's matchup between New York and Miami, the Mets are the betting favorite at -148 on the moneyline. New York's implied win probability sits at 59.68%. The MLB predictive model shows New York picking up the win. For aggresive bettors, there is enough of an edge to take the Mets on the runline.
Recommended Betting Pick: Mets Runline
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