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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Tuesday August 16th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Padres vs. Marlins
The Padres take on the Marlins on Tuesday August 16th at LoanDepot park, Miami. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: San Diego Padres (65-53) vs. Miami Marlins (51-65)
- Date: Tuesday August 16th, 2022
- Time: 6:40 ET
- Venue: LoanDepot park, Miami
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Padres vs. Marlins
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San Diego Padres - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
As the San Diego Padres travel to take on the Miami Marlins with a record of 65-53, placing them 2nd in the NL West division. In their 61 as the road team, San Diego has put together a record of 32-29. The Padres will be looking to bounce back after falling to the Marlins by a score of 3-0. Overall, the team has won over half of their 37 series played, going 19-13-5.
Padres starter Sean Manaea comes into the game with a record of just 6-6. Against the Padres, Manaea is hoping to improve on his current ERA of 4.76. His batting average allowed of .249 compared to other pitchers. Per 9 innings, Manaea is giving up an average of 1.44 home runs, well above the MLB average. Heading into the game, he has struck 24.0% of the batters he's faced. Thus far, Sean Manaea has had problems with walks, averaging 3.33 per 9 innings.
Offensively, San Diego is scoring at a rate near the MLB average, at 4.44 runs per game. So far, the team ranks 18th in runs scored in the 8th and 9th innings of action. Through 118 games, the Padres have the 17th ranked batting average at .242. Over their last three games, the team is hitting 0.214. For the season, the team has struggled in the power department, ranking 24th in the league at 0.89 home runs per contest. The team's current slugging percentage of .381 ranks near the league average. To date, San Diego has the MLB's 10th best OBP at .318. So far, the team has a walk rate of 9.2%.
Miami Marlins - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
Heading into today's game against San Diego, the Marlins have a record of just 51-65. This places the team 4th in the NL East division. Heading into play, the Marlins are a below .500 team at home, sitting at 24-32. Miami is hoping to add on another win, as they are coming off a 3-0 win over the Padres. To start the year, the team has picked up just 11 series wins, going 11-22-5.
Miami starter Edward Cabrera takes the mound with an overall record of 3-1. Coming into the game, Cabrera has been tough on opposing hitters, posting an era of just 2.05. Edward Cabrera has shown the ability to limit base runners, as he has a WHIP of just 1.03. Opponents have had a tough time against the right-hander, as they are batting just .144 against him. Across his previous outings, Cabrera has a SLG% allowed of .233. In total, he has given up 2 home runs and has a strikeout percentage of 27.0%.
This year, runs have been hard to come by for Miami's offense, as they are the 27th ranked scoring team at 3.73. In the team's last 3 contests, their run differential comes in at -3. So far, the Marlins have combined for a team batting average of just .235, placing them 24th in the league. On average, the team is coming up with 7.84 hits per game. Per game, the team is averaging .91 home runs, placing them 21st. Miami's offense currently ranks 26th in OBP, coming in at .298. So far, the team has a walk rate of 7.4%.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Padres vs. Marlins
Heading into today's matchup between San Diego and Miami, the Padres are the heavy favorite at -162 on the moneyline. San Diego's implied win probability sits at 61.83%. However, the MLB predictive model sees Edward Cabrera pitching a good enough game to take the Marlins to cover the runline.
Recommended Betting Pick: Marlins Runline
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