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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Thursday September 15th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Phillies vs. Marlins
The Phillies take on the Marlins on Thursday September 15th at LoanDepot park, Miami. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Philadelphia Phillies (80-62) vs. Miami Marlins (58-85)
- Date: Thursday September 15th, 2022
- Time: 6:40 ET
- Venue: LoanDepot park, Miami
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Phillies vs. Marlins
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Philadelphia Phillies - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
As the Philadelphia Phillies travel to take on the Miami Marlins with a record of 80-62, placing them 3rd in the NL East division. When playing away from home, the Phillies have played well posting a record of 36-31. The unit is coming off a winning effort over Miami by a score of 6-1. Overall, the team has won over half of their 45 series played, going 23-19-3.
The Phillies will send Noah Syndergaard to the mound with an overall record of 5-8. Heading into action, his ERA comes in at 3.82. The right-hander has a batting average allowed of .244. So far, opponents have taken Syndergaard over the fence 9 times across 80 innings pitched. Overall, he has notched 64 strikeouts on a strikeout percentage of 19.0%. In his outings, Noah Syndergaard is putting batters on through walks at an alarming rate, averaging 2.48 walks per 9 innings.
Offensively, the Phillies have had no problem putting up runs, as their scoring average of 4.71 runs per game, which ranks 5th in the MLB. Throughout the season, the team has been good at getting off to strong starts, ranking 2.25 in runs scored through the first four innings. The Phillies are enjoying offensive success as their team batting average ranks 8th, at .255. Per game, the team is averaging 8.68 hits. The team's lineup is also hitting for power at an above-average rate, averaging 1.28 home runs per game (6th). For the season, the team has one of the best hard-hit rates in the league at 41.6%. Philadelphia's overall OBP of .318 is good for 11th in the league. On average, the team generates walks at a rate of 7.8%.
Miami Marlins - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Miami Marlins take on the Philadelphia, hoping to improve on their record of just 58-85, placing them 4th in the NL East division. Heading into play, the Marlins have won less than half of their 71 home games, sitting at 28-43. In their previous games, Miami lost by a score of 6-1 to the Phillies. Currently, the team has a below .500 record in their 47 series, coming in at 12-29-6.
Pablo Lopez gets the starting nod for Miami, looking to improve his overall record of 8-10. Compared to other starting pitchers, Lopez has one of the higher ERA's in the league at 4.10. So far, Pablo Lopez has put together a WHIP of 1.24. So far, Pablo Lopez has a SLG% allowed .416, including giving up 18 home runs. Heading into the game, Lopez has struck 24.0% of the batters he's faced. Walks have been a problem for Pablo Lopez as his BB/9 figure is 2.87.
This year, runs have been hard to come by for Miami's offense, as they are the 28th ranked scoring team at 3.55. The team's total run differential sits at -107. Through 143 games, the Marlins have struggled to string together hits, ranking 28th in team batting average (.228). On average, the team is coming up with 7.59 hits per game. In terms of home runs, the team is struggling to generate power at just .87 deep shots per game (25th. Leading into the game, the team's slugging percentage is just .360. Miami's offense currently ranks 27th in OBP, coming in at .293. While their wOBA of .289 is one of the lowest figures in the league.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Phillies vs. Marlins
Heading into today's matchup between Philadelphia and Miami, the Phillies are the betting favorite at -142 on the moneyline. Philadelphia's implied win probability sits at 58.68%. The MLB predictive model shows Philadelphia picking up the win. For aggresive bettors, there is enough of an edge to take the Phillies on the runline.
Recommended Betting Pick: Phillies Runline
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