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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the New York Mets vs. Houston Astros, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Tuesday June 21st, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Mets vs. Astros
The Mets take on the Astros on Tuesday June 21st at Minute Maid Park, Houston. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: New York Mets (44-24) vs. Houston Astros (41-25)
- Date: Tuesday June 21st, 2022
- Time: 8:10 ET
- Venue: Minute Maid Park, Houston
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Mets vs. Astros
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New York Mets - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Mets get set to take on the Houston Astros, with an overall record of 44-24, placing them 1st in the NL East division. In their 35 games as the road team, New York has put together a record of 21-14. The team will look to tack on another victory as they defeated the Marlins by a score of 6-0. So far, New York has won 16 out of their first 21 series, 16-3-2.
The Mets will send Trevor Williams to the mound with an overall record of 1-3. Williams will take the mound with an ERA of 3.53, placing him near the MLB average. On average, Williams is allowing 1.23 base runners per inning (WHIP), and a BA allowed of .254. In total, he has given up 4 home runs, leading to an opponent SLG% of .394. Compared to other pitchers, his strikeout percentage of 22.0% places him near the MLB average.
Entering today's action, the Mets features the 2nd ranked scoring unit, averaging 5.04 runs per game. Over their last 3 games, the team has an average run differential of +3. As a team, the Mets are batting a healthy .261, placing them 1st in the league. For the season, 30.2% of the team's hits have been in the form of extra bases. Per game, the team is averaging 0.93 home runs, placing them 20th. So far, their hard hit rate of 37% is near the MLB average. Up to this point, New York has been one of the MLB's better teams at getting on base, ranking 1st in OBP (.334). While the team's wOBA is one of the best in the league at .325.
Houston Astros - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
At 41-25, the Houston Astros will host Houston, currently ranked 1st in the AL West division. On the season, the Astros have an above .500 home record, going 18-11 at Minute Maid Park. Houston is hoping to add on another win, as they are coming off a 4-3 win over the White Sox. So far, the team has won 12 out of their first 21 series, 12-8-1.
Starting for the Astros will be Jose Urquidy, with an overall record of 5-3. Against the Mets, Urquidy is hoping to improve on his current ERA of 4.99. Jose Urquidy has had problems limiting base runners, made evident by a WHIP of 1.52. Across his previous outings, he has a SLG% allowed of .527, including 12 home runs allowed. Heading into the game, Urquidy has struck out 17.0% of the batters he's faced and a walk rate of 4.0%.
Houston's offense enters play with the 18th-ranked scoring offense, averaging 4.26 runs per game. In the team's 29 games at home, their run differential is +3. Together, the Astros offense has the 19th ranked batting average, at .238. For the season, 38.7% of the team's hits have been in the form of extra bases. The team's lineup is hitting for power at an above-average rate, averaging 1.32 home runs per game (3rd), while their current combined exit velocity of 40.2 MPH comes in near the MLB average. Houston's offense currently ranks 14th in OBP (.315), while the team's wOBA is among the best in the league at .320.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Mets vs. Astros
Heading into today's matchup between New York and Houston, the Astros are the betting favorite at -134 on the moneyline. Houston's implied win probability sits at 57.26%. The MLB predictive model shows today's best bet being the Mets to pull off the upset. It is recommended to take New York on the moneyline.
Recommended Betting Pick: Mets Moneyline
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