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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Mets, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Thursday September 15th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Pirates vs. Mets
The Pirates take on the Mets on Thursday September 15th at Citi Field, New York. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Pittsburgh Pirates (55-88) vs. New York Mets (89-55)
- Date: Thursday September 15th, 2022
- Time: 7:20 ET
- Venue: Citi Field, New York
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Pirates vs. Mets
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Pittsburgh Pirates - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
Heading into today's game against New York, the Pirates have a record of just 55-88. This places the team 5th in the NL Central division. The Pirates will need a win in today's game to improve their record on the road (27-45) above the .500 mark. The team is hoping to add on another win, as they are coming off a 10-4 win over Cincinnati. To start the year, Pittsburgh has picked up just 10 series wins, going 10-29-7.
Pirates starter JT Brubaker comes into the game with a record of just 3-11. Brubaker will be looking to bring down an ERA of 4.36. Currently, opponents have a batting average of .264 against him. Through 138 innings of work, Brubaker has an HR/9 figure of 1.04, placing him near the league average. Overall, he has notched 140 strikeouts on a strikeout percentage of 23.0%. JT Brubaker's per 9 walk average of 3.32 has been a problem for the right.
Pittsburgh comes into this game averaging just 3.60 runs per game, placing them 27th in the MLB. When playing on the road, the team has a run differential of 12. So far, the Pirates have combined for a team batting average of just .223, placing them 29th in the league. Per game, the team is averaging 7.34 hits. The team's lineup is hitting home runs at a rate of 1.01 per game, good for 17th in the league. Leading into the game, the team's slugging percentage is just .366. Pittsburgh's overall OBP of .289, puts them 28th in the league. While their wOBA of .287 is one of the lowest figures in the league.
New York Mets - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
At 89-55, the New York Mets will host New York, currently ranked 1st in the NL East division. Through 72 home contests, the Mets come in with a mark of 46-26 at Citi Field. In their previous games, New York lost by a score of 6-3 to the Cubs. For the year, the team has played a total of 45 series, going 32-10-3.
Making the start for New York is Carlos Carrasco, with a record of 14-6. Across 25 appearances, Carrasco has a combined ERA of 3.73. Currently, opponents have a batting average of .268 against him. Through 135 innings of work, Carrasco has HR/9 figure of 1.0, placing him near the league average. In his previous outings, Carrasco has a K/BB rate of 3.77, this includes averaging 5.28 K's per appearance.
New York enters play averaging 4.67 runs per game, placing them 7th in the MLB. So far, the team ranks 18th in runs scored in the 8th and 9th innings. The Mets have been able to drive in runs at an above-average rate as their team batting average of .258, which ranks 5th in the league. On average, the team is coming up with 8.73 hits per game. The team's lineup is hitting home runs at a rate of 1.03 per game, good for 16th in the league. So far, their hard hit rate of 37.2% is near the MLB average. To date, New York has the MLB's 2nd best OBP at .329. While the team's wOBA is one of the best in the league at .324.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Pirates vs. Mets
Heading into today's matchup between Pittsburgh and New York, the Mets are the heavy favorite at -255 on the moneyline. New York's implied win probability sits at 71.83%. The MLB predictive model shows New York having enough of an edge on offense and on the mound to take the Mets on the runline (-1.5).
Recommended Betting Pick: Mets Runline
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