Hello everybody and welcome! The 2021 MLB season and alive and well and that means our new friends over at PrizePicks have a TON of great props we can look to take advantage of. PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win, and on the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
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PrizePicks has two types of games. The first type of game is known as Fantasy Score, which consists of selecting various players and trying to determine if they will go over or under their projected fantasy points in a game. The second game is known as Single Stat. For MLB, Single Stat consists of pitcher strikeout props in which you determine if the pitcher in question will go over or under their projected strikeout total. You can mix and match players from each type of game in your entry or select all of your plays from the same type of game. Once you have selected your players and props, you can choose the aforementioned flex play or power play option. For today's article, we are going to try and focus on the main board's Single Stat pitchers and explain why a pitcher will or will not go over their projected strikeout total. Let's see what the board offers today!
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Single Stat MLBP Totals
Carlos Rodon under 7.5 strikeouts - Rodon is coming off an absolute gem where he struck out 13 Yankees over six innings, but this contest is going to be a bit tougher for him vs. the St. Louis Cardinals. Currently, the Cardinals are posting the third-best K rate vs. left-handers over the previous 10 days with a rate of just 15.6%. On the season, they are also posting the second-best K rate vs. lefties with a rate of just 18.6%. They are also posting an 11.6% walk rate vs. lefties on the season and a very solid wRC+ of 124. Add in the fact that they will have a DH in this game and not the pitcher coming up to bat, and the under looks like a good play on Rodon in this one.
Griffin Canning under 6 strikeouts - While the Rangers have been striking out at an absurd rate against left-handed pitching recently, they have actually been pretty solid against right-handers as noted by their K rate of 23.0% over the previous 10 days, which is ranked 11th-best over that span. Canning has also failed to reach this total in five of eight starts on the season. Add in the fact that Texas is also walking at a 9.8% clip over the previous 10 days vs. righties and this could be a tough spot for Canning.
Dane Dunning over 4.5 strikeouts - Dunning has gone over this total in seven of his nine starts in 2021. He will be facing an Angels lineup that has been striking out at a rate of 29.5% vs. right-handers over the previous 10 days, which is ranked third-worst in baseball over that span. They are also posting an abysmal 5.9% walk rate over that same span, which is ranked dead last in baseball. Dunning should be able to cruise in this one and get over 4.5 strikeouts.
Domingo German under 5.5 strikeouts - German burned me in his last start against the Rangers as I had him pegged for over 5.5 in that one and he only managed to get five in seven innings pitched. The under looks a bit more solid in this one as the Blue Jays are only striking out at a rate of 22.5% vs. right-handers over the previous 10 days, which is ranked seventh-best in baseball. German also faced these Jays back on April fourth and only managed to strike out two. Add in the fact that the Jays are also posting the highest wRC+ vs. righties over the previous 10 days, and this could be a recipe for failure for German.
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