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Hello everybody and welcome! The 2021 MLB season and alive and well and that means our new friends over at PrizePicks have a TON of great props we can look to take advantage of. PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win, and on the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
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PrizePicks has two types of games. The first type of game is known as Fantasy Score, which consists of selecting various players and trying to determine if they will go over or under their projected fantasy points in a game. The second game is known as Single Stat. For MLB, Single Stat consists of pitcher strikeout props in which you determine if the pitcher in question will go over or under their projected strikeout total. You can mix and match players from each type of game in your entry or select all of your plays from the same type of game. Once you have selected your players and props, you can choose the aforementioned flex play or power play option. For today's article, we are going to try and focus on the main board's Single Stat pitchers and explain why a pitcher will or will not go over their projected strikeout total. Let's see what the board offers today!
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Single Stat MLBP Totals
Nathan Eovaldi over 5.5 strikeouts - Eovaldi has looked solid in his previous two starts as he has only allowed two earned runs while striking out 11 across 10 2/3 innings pitched. He will be facing a Yankees squad that is currently posting a K rate of 29% against right-handers over the previous 10 days, which is ranked second-worst in baseball. Eovaldi has managed to go over 5.5 strikeouts in two of his previous three starts as well.
Zack Greinke under 4.5 strikeouts - Greinke has a tough matchup against the Toronto Blue Jays in this one. Currently, the Jays are posting a K rate of just 21.3% against right-handers over the previous 10 days, which is ranked seventh-best in baseball over that span. They are also posting a wRC+ mark of 156 and a walk rate near 10% vs. right-handers over that same span. Put simply, the Jays are absolutely raking and should give Greinke a hard time in this one.
Blake Snell under 7 strikeouts - Snell has only gone over seven strikeouts three times on the season and two of those were at the very beginning of the season as he has only done it once since April 7th. He will have his hands full vs. this Mets squad as they are posting a K rate of just 18.9% against lefties over the previous 10 days. On the season, the Mets are also posting just a 23% rate vs. lefties. They are also posting a strong 157 wRC+ mark vs. lefties over the previous 10 days. This will be a tough matchup for Snell and he could implode early as he has been known to do in tough situations.
Freddy Peralta over 7 strikeouts - While the Dbacks have been solid against lefties in 2021, they have struggled a bit more vs. right-handers and they are currently posting the 11th-worst K rate over the previous 10 days with a rate of 25.3%. Peralta is an absolute flamethrower and has reached at least seven strikeouts in all but one game this season and that was his first start. He has also gone over seven strikeouts in three of his previous five starts. This feels like a super safe play on Peralta as he should at least push to the total.
Spencer Turnbull over 5 strikeouts - This is a bit riskier as the White Sox have a very explosive offense, but they are also striking out at a clip of 27.6% over the previous 10 days, which is ranked seventh-worst in baseball. We just got Casey Mize over the hump yesterday and today could be Turnbull's time as he has gone over five strikeouts in three of his previous four starts and is fresh off a six strikeouts performance against the New York Yankees. Throw him in a flex play for tonight.
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