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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Saturday September 17th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Marlins vs. Nationals
The Marlins take on the Nationals on Saturday September 17th at Nationals Park, Washington. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Miami Marlins (59-86) vs. Washington Nationals (50-94)
- Date: Saturday September 17th, 2022
- Time: 4:05 ET
- Venue: Nationals Park, Washington
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Marlins vs. Nationals
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Miami Marlins - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Miami Marlins come into this road contest vs Washington with a below .500 record (59-86). In the NL East division standings, the team ranks 4th. Heading into play, the Marlins have won less than half of their 73 road games, sitting at 30-43. In their previous games, the Marlins lost by a score of 5-4 to Washington. So far, Miami has won less than half of their series, going just 12-30-6.
Trevor Rogers gets the start for the Marlins with a below .500 record at 4-11. Rogers will be looking to bring down an ERA of 5.35. His batting average allowed of .271 is high compared to other pitchers. Per 9 innings, Rogers is giving up an average of 1.19 home runs, well above the MLB average. Heading into the game, he has struck 22.0% of the batters he's faced. Trevor Rogers's per 9 walk average of 3.74 has been a problem for the left.
This season, runs have been hard to come by for Miami, as they are the 28th ranked scoring team, averaging 3.57 runs per game. So far, the team's offense has struggled to score late, ranking 30th in runs scored in the 8th and 9th innings. So far, the Marlins have combined for a team batting average of just .229, placing them 28th in the league. Over their last three games, the team is hitting .265. In addition, the team's lineup has had problems hitting for power, ranking just 25th in the league, at 0.88 home runs per contest. Thus far, the team has put together an average rate similar to the league average (7.2%). Miami's overall OBP of .294, puts them 27th in the league. While their WOBA of .289 is one of the lowest figures in the league.
Washington Nationals - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Washington Nationals travel to take on the Miami Marlins hoping to find the win column as they have an overall record of just 50-94, placing the team 5th in the NL East division. On the season, the Nationals have been one of the worst performing road teams, going 23-49. Washington is coming off a winning effort over the Marlins by a score of 5-4. So far, the team has won less than half of their series, going just 11-30-5.
For Washington, Erick Fedde will look to pick up a win over Miami, as he has a record of 6-10. Compared to other starting pitchers, Fedde has one of the higher ERA's in the league at 5.24. Erick Fedde's WHIP of 1.55 comes in as one of the higher marks among MLB starters. Across his previous outings, Fedde has a SLG% allowed of .433. In total, he has given up 16 home runs. Overall, Fedde has notched 83 strikeouts on a K rate of 17.0%. Thus far, Erick Fedde has had problems with walks, averaging 4.42 BB/9.
On offense, Washington has struggled to bring runners across the plate, averaging just 3.85 runs per game. So far, the team has struggled to score early, ranking 25th in runs scored through 4 innings. Despite their mediocre scoring average, the Nationals have combined to hit .252, which ranks 10th in the league. For the season, 30.1% of the team's hits have been in the form of extra bases. On average, the team has hit just .85 home runs per game, placing them 27th in the league. Leading into the game, the team's slugging percentage is just .382. Washington's overall OBP of .315, puts them 15th in the league. So far, the team has a walk rate of 7.6%.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Marlins vs. Nationals
Heading into today's matchup between Miami and Washington, the Marlins are the betting favorite at -136 on the moneyline. Miami's implied win probability sits at 57.63%. The MLB predictive model shows the Nationals pulling off the upset over Miami. It is recommended to take Washington on the moneyline.
Recommended Betting Pick: Nationals Moneyline
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