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The 2021 NBA season is finally underway and that means our new friends over at PrizePicks have a TON of great props we can look to take advantage of. PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win, and on the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
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PrizePicks has two types of games. The first type of game is known as Fantasy Score, which consists of selecting various players and trying to determine if they will go over or under their projected fantasy points in a game. The second game is known as Single Stat. For NBA, Single Stat consists of points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers made, and free throws made, in which you determine if the player in question will go over or under their projected total. You can mix and match players from each type of game in your entry or select all of your plays from the same type of game. Once you have selected your players and props, you can choose the aforementioned flex play or power play option. Today, we will look at some single-stat scores for tonight, December 16th.
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Single Stat NBA Totals
Editor's Note: Prize Picks prop totals are not always available first thing in the morning, so check back during the day as other props may be added during the day.
Chris Paul OVER 9.5 Assists - I'll start today's props with the "point gods" assist prop. Vegas has this number at -150 right now, so we very well could see this move to 10.5 shortly. CP3 has hit this number in just three of his last five, but he's cashed it in seven of his last 10 and at a 67% clip on the season. The Wizards rank 9th in point guard efficiency but allow +0.6 assists over the league average to point guards on the season. My early numbers have Paul at 10.2 assists, so we're getting decent value on this now.
Alec Burks OVER 2.5 Assists - Burks has played well for the Knicks this season and has been hitting this number at a decent rate. While he's only cashed this number at a 44% clip on the year, he's hit it in three of his last five and seven of his last ten. The Rockets are solid at keeping shooting guards and small forwards from picking up assists, but my early projections have Burks projected for three assists even, so there's decent value here. With Houston banged up and on a back-to-back, I have to think that Burks hits this number early on in what should be a blowout.
Jae Crowder OVER 4.5 Rebounds - Back to the Suns on this one, Crowder has hit this number in four of his last five and seven of his last ten, as well as at a 59% clip on the season. Crowder has been lining up at the four for Phoenix this season, and the Wizards struggle there coming into this one 27th in power forward efficiency. They've been relatively solid at preventing PF rebounds though, allowing -0.3 rebounds under average on the year. However, my early projections have Crowder grabbing 5.9 boards in this one, so there's really solid value here.
Other Recommendations - Cade Cunningham OVER 4.5 Assists, Saddiq Bey OVER 13.5 Points, Derrick Rose OVER 1.5 Three-Pointers Made
Overall recommendation for this play: FLEX
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