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The 2021 NBA season is finally underway and that means our new friends over at PrizePicks have a TON of great props we can look to take advantage of. PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win, and on the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
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PrizePicks has two types of games. The first type of game is known as Fantasy Score, which consists of selecting various players and trying to determine if they will go over or under their projected fantasy points in a game. The second game is known as Single Stat. For NBA, Single Stat consists of points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers made, and free throws made, in which you determine if the player in question will go over or under their projected total. You can mix and match players from each type of game in your entry or select all of your plays from the same type of game. Once you have selected your players and props, you can choose the aforementioned flex play or power play option. Today, we will look at some single-stat scores for tonight, December 2nd.
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Single Stat NBA Totals
Editor's Note: Prize Picks prop totals are not always available first thing in the morning, so check back during the day as other props may be added during the day.
Lonzo Ball OVER 4.5 Assists - I start today off with Lonzo Ball's assists. This is the same number that the sportsbooks have for him tonight, priced at -142. He's hit this number in four out of his last five games, as well as seven out of his last ten. The Knicks are roughly middle of the pack in regards to assists allowed per game to point guards, just -0.18 below league average. It shouldn't be enough to matter though, and my early projections have Ball at 5.4 assists tonight.
DeMar DeRozan OVER 4.5 Rebounds - I see some value with Lonzo's teammate, DeMar DeRozan's rebound prop. Sportsbooks have this number at -124 early, and like Lonzo, DeRozan has hit this number in four of five as well as seven of ten. The Knicks are among the worst in the league at allowing rebounds to both shooting guards and small forwards, allowing +0.94 rebounds among league average. My early projections have DeRozan at 5.7 rebounds tonight.
Derrick White OVER 4.5 Assists - Another solid value play here, as sportsbooks have this number priced at -142. White has been hitting this number at a 60% clip this entire season and has hit it six times in his last ten games, including each of his last two games. The Blazers allow +1.27 assists per game over the league average to point guards and +0.31 assists per game over league average to shooting guards. My early projections have White at 5.2 assists. We'll run with the 4.5s tonight, good luck!
Other Recommendations - Zach LaVine OVER 23.5 Points, Alec Burks UNDER 16.5 Points, Afernee Simons UNDER 3.5 Assists, Cade Cunningham OVER 4.5 Assists
Overall recommendation for this play: FLEX
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