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The 2021 NBA season is underway and that means our new friends over at PrizePicks have a TON of great props we can look to take advantage of. PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win, and on the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
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PrizePicks has two types of games. The first type of game is known as Fantasy Score, which consists of selecting various players and trying to determine if they will go over or under their projected fantasy points in a game. The second game is known as Single Stat. For NBA, Single Stat consists of points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers made, and free throws made, in which you determine if the player in question will go over or under their projected total. You can mix and match players from each type of game in your entry or select all of your plays from the same type of game. Once you have selected your players and props, you can choose the aforementioned flex play or power play option. Today, we will look at some single-stat scores for tonight, December 30th.
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Single Stat NBA Totals
Editor's Note: Prize Picks prop totals are not always available first thing in the morning, so check back during the day as other props may be added during the day.
Gary Harris OVER 13.5 Points - I start off tonight's recommendations with Gary Harris's points prop. I had Harris as an "other recommendation" on Monday when his number was at 14.5, where he finished just under the mark at 13. I'll have no problem going back to the well here in a rematch against the Bucks, as I have Harris projected for 15.8 points tonight. The Magic will be without Cole Anthony and Jalen Suggs, and Harris has hit the 14-point mark in four of the five games he's played without those two. It's a classic "run-back rule" situation here for me, so I'll take it.
Wendell Carter Jr. Under 14.5 Points - It hurts me a bit to do this as Wendell Carter Jr. is my guy, but I do like the value here. Mo Bamba should return to the lineup tonight, so it's best we get this number early. As I mentioned with Gary Harris, the Magic will be without both Cole Anthony and Jalen Suggs. In this situation, Carter has scored at least 15 points just once in three games, logging four and eight points in the other two games, respectively. Bamba and Carter split duties at the five spot when both are playing, and the Bucks come into this one allowing -2 points under league average to centers on the season. My early projections have Carter scoring just 13.4 points tonight, so we're getting good value here.
Steph Curry Under 6.5 Assists - It's rare for me to take one under, let alone two, but that's exactly what I'm doing tonight. While my projections actually have Curry logging 6.7 assists tonight, I have to go with his recent trends on this one. Curry hasn't logged seven assists in any of his last nine games, and while Denver comes into this one 23rd in point guard efficiency, I'd have to think that this benefits Curry's points rather than assists. The number is just too high for me here, and the lack of production in recent games (from an assists perspective), creates solid value on this play.
Other Recommendations - Nikola Jokic OVER 7.5 Assists, Khris Middleton OVER 4.5 Assists, Kevon Looney UNDER 6.5 Points, Jeff Green UNDER 10.5 Points
Overall recommendation for this play: FLEX
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