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The 2021 NBA season is finally underway and that means our new friends over at PrizePicks have a TON of great props we can look to take advantage of. PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win, and on the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
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PrizePicks has two types of games. The first type of game is known as Fantasy Score, which consists of selecting various players and trying to determine if they will go over or under their projected fantasy points in a game. The second game is known as Single Stat. For NBA, Single Stat consists of points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers made, and free throws made, in which you determine if the player in question will go over or under their projected total. You can mix and match players from each type of game in your entry or select all of your plays from the same type of game. Once you have selected your players and props, you can choose the aforementioned flex play or power play option. Today, we will look at some single-stat scores for tonight, December 7th.
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Single Stat NBA Totals
Editor's Note: Prize Picks prop totals are not always available first thing in the morning, so check back during the day as other props may be added during the day.
Russell Westbrook OVER 17.5 Points - I start today off with Russell Westbrook's points prop. Russ has hit this in four out of his last five games, eight out of his last ten, and in 16 of 24 overall games this season. The Celtics have trouble keeping point guards off the scoreboard, allowing one point per game over the league average this season. We're getting good value here, and my projections have Westbrook slated for 18.4 points tonight.
Al Horford OVER 6.5 Rebounds - On the other side of this matchup, we have Al Horford. Vegas has this same number listed at -130. Horford has hit this number in three of his last five, and six of his last ten, a slight regression from the 70% clip he has on the season. However, the Lakers are 26th in rebounds allowed, and allow 0.63 rebounds over average to the power forward position. My early projections have Horford at 8.2 boards tonight, so I'm really digging this play.
James Harden Under 21.5 Points - It's rare you see me put an under in my top three recommendations. A wise man once said that "life is too short to bet the under". I do see solid value on this play, though, as Harden has hit this just number just once in his last five games, four times in his last ten, and is hitting this number at just a 30% clip on the season. He also draws a seemingly tough matchup with the Mavericks, who allow -2.04 points under the league average to shooting guards. My early projections have Harden at just 18.9 points, making this a fantastic 'under' number on PrizePicks.
Other Recommendations - Russell Westbrook OVER 7.5 Assists, Anthony Davis OVER 2.5 Assists, Patty Mills UNDER 2.5 Assists
Overall recommendation for this play: FLEX
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