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The 2021 NBA season is finally underway and that means our new friends over at PrizePicks have a TON of great props we can look to take advantage of. PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win, and on the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
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PrizePicks has two types of games. The first type of game is known as Fantasy Score, which consists of selecting various players and trying to determine if they will go over or under their projected fantasy points in a game. The second game is known as Single Stat. For NBA, Single Stat consists of points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers made, and free throws made, in which you determine if the player in question will go over or under their projected total. You can mix and match players from each type of game in your entry or select all of your plays from the same type of game. Once you have selected your players and props, you can choose the aforementioned flex play or power play option. Today, we will look at some single-stat scores for tonight, December 9th.
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Single Stat NBA Totals
Editor's Note: Prize Picks prop totals are not always available first thing in the morning, so check back during the day as other props may be added during the day.
Russell Westbrook OVER 18.5 Points - We cashed in on Westbrook's points prop on Tuesday, and we'll go back to it again tonight despite it being raised a point. Russ has hit this number at a 68% clip on the year, including eight of his last ten and four of his last five. He now gets a matchup with Memphis on a back-to-back, who are 24th in team points allowed this season. They're solid against point guards, allowing 0.91 points per game under the league average, but I still think Westbrook rides the hot hand. My projections have Westbrook scoring 20.4 points tonight, so there's good value here.
Anthony Davis OVER 2.5 Assists - We have decent Vegas value here, as they have this prop at -122. Davis has hit this number in four of his last five, seven of his last ten, and at a 62.5% clip this season. He gets a very strong matchup against Memphis tonight who is 27th in assists allowed per game and allows 1.12 assists per game over the league average this season. I have Davis projected for 3.2 assists tonight, so another nice value play on both PrizePicks and the sportsbook.
Dejounte Murray OVER 7.5 Assists - Closing out the picks tonight will be Dejounte Murray's assist prop. Murray has hit this number at a respectable rate, hitting the number in three of five games, six of ten games, and at a 56.5% clip this season. He gets a decent matchup tonight against the Nuggets, who are middle of the pack in assists allowed per game. They do, however, allow 1.13 assists per game over the league average against point guards this season. My projections have Murray at 8.4 assists tonight, so you're getting solid value here as well.
Other Recommendations - Derrick White OVER 4.5 Assists, LeBron James OVER 6.5 Assists, Jakob Poeltl UNDER 11.5 Points
Overall recommendation for this play: FLEX
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