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The 2021 NBA season is finally underway and that means our new friends over at PrizePicks have a TON of great props we can look to take advantage of. PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win, and on the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
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PrizePicks has two types of games. The first type of game is known as Fantasy Score, which consists of selecting various players and trying to determine if they will go over or under their projected fantasy points in a game. The second game is known as Single Stat. For NBA, Single Stat consists of points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers made, and free throws made, in which you determine if the player in question will go over or under their projected total. You can mix and match players from each type of game in your entry or select all of your plays from the same type of game. Once you have selected your players and props, you can choose the aforementioned flex play or power play option. Today, we will look at some single-stat scores for tonight, November 16th.
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Single Stat NBA Totals
Editor's Note: Prize Picks prop totals are not always available first thing in the morning, so check back during the day as other props may be added during the day.
Tobias Harris OVER 19.5 Points - I have Tobias has the third-highest scorer on this slate, projected at 23.4 points. This gives us a nice value bump from his line on PrizePicks. In his last ten road games with two days' rest, Harris has had 20+ points in seven of them. The matchup against Utah isn't fantastic from a scoring perspective, generally speaking, they do allow +3.71 points per game over the average against the power forward position, where Harris should line up with Joel Embiid out.
Donovan Mitchell OVER 4.5 Assists - On the other side of this game we have Donovan Mitchell. Mitchell has hit this number in both games against the Sixers game last year and has kept it rolling this year. He's had five or more assists in three of his last five games and seven of his last ten games. The matchup with the Sixers is strong as well, as the Sixers have allowed +1.72 assists per game over the average against shooting guards. I have Mitchell projected for 5.3 assists tonight.
Reggie Jackson OVER 3.5 Assists - Reggie Jackson has played extremely well this season, averaging 17.8 points, 3.3 rebounds, and 4.1 assists on the year. He's been picking up the assists lately as well, having at least four assists in each of his last four games. This is weighed into my projections, and I have him projected for 4.3 assists tonight. Jackson has a fair matchup against the Spurs, who allow -0.81 assists per game against point guards, but I'm riding with the projections and recent trends on this one.
Other Recommendations - Tobias Harris OVER 7.5 Rebounds, Mike Conley OVER 5.5 Assists, Drew Eubanks OVER 6.5 Rebounds
Overall recommendation for this play: FLEX
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