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As always, there are some solid props we can look to take advantage on this special Saturday edition between the Rams at Packers and Ravens at Bills.
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Rams @ Packers
Recommended Prop Picks:
Davante Adams more than 97.5 receiving yards: Adams is the focal point of this Packers offense and he will be heavily targeted in this game despite going against Jalen Ramsey. He is averaging 10 targets per game over the Packers' last five games and has amassed 466 receiving yards over that span. He has faced some tough corners over this span as well as noted by his 121 receiving yards against the Eagles' Darius Slay in Week 13 and his 142 receiving yards against the Titans' Malcolm Butler in Week 16.
Jared Goff less than 220.5 passing yards: Jared Goff may or may not be fully healthy when he suits up on Saturday afternoon, but I would go less than on this prop regardless. He has failed to throw for over 220 passing yards in three of his previous four starts. He will be facing a Packers Defense that only allowed an average of 237 passing yards per game. This is also a Rams team that looks determined to try and establish the run as they pounded the rock 43 times last week at Seattle and gave the ball to Cam Akers 28 times. This is a Packers team that has been vulnerable at times to running backs and I would expect the Rams to continue moving the ball on the ground.
Aaron Jones less than 72.5 rushing yards: The Rams rush defense has been stout. Other than Chris Carson running for 77 yards last week, the Rams have not allowed a running back to hit 73 rushing yards since Week 2 when Miles Sanders rushed for 95 yards. They are allowing just 3.8 yards per carry, which would make it very difficult on Jones to reach the total as he has seen just 21 total carries over the previous two weeks and averages just 14 per game as he shares time with Jamaal Williams who has snagged nearly nine carries per game on the season.
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Ravens @ Bills
Recommended Prop Picks:
J.K. Dobbins more than 65.5 rushing yards: The Ravens love to run the ball and J.K. Dobbins has been a big part of that lately as he has rushed for over 65.5 yards in five of his previous seven games. He will be facing a Bills Defense that just allowed Jonathan Taylor and Nyheim Hines to combine for 153 rushing yards a week ago. They have allowed an average of 4.5 yards per carry on the season to running backs and have given up an average of 96 rushing yards per game to backs on the season. This seems like a great spot to get Dobbins going.
Cole Beasley more than 59.5 receiving yards: I am going to make a recommendation for Beasley instead of Diggs here because the Diggs prop at 99.5 receiving yards is an absolute ball buster that could go either way. It is likely Beasley goes over the total here as he has seen 43 targets in his previous five games and has amassed 357 receiving yards in those games. Most of the focus for the Ravens in this one should be on Diggs who has gone over 100 receiving yards in four of his previous five games, which should leave Beasley with more opportunities to hit this prop. Beasley, as aforementioned, has been heavily involved in the offense recently and all season, and I would expect that to continue this week in a must-win playoff game.
Mark Andrews more than 53.5 receiving yards: This might be my favorite prop in this game as Andrews was second on the Ravens in targets with 88. Andrews has gone over this total in five of the Raven's previous seven games. This week, he gets a matchup vs. the Bills who have allowed the second-most receiving yards to tight ends with 993 allowed. This averages out to over 62 yards per game. Just last week, the Bills allowed a whopping 136 receiving yards combined to Jack Doyle, Trey Burton, and Mo Alie-Cox. This feels like a great spot for Andrews.
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