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Titans @ Colts: Touchdown Dance Contest
Recommended Prop Pick:
Derrick Henry, A.J. Brown, and Jonathan Taylor to combine for more than 1.5 touchdowns
Let's get Sunday's slate started with a touchdown dance and a shot at the $5,000 prize pool if we hit on all three of these guys.
Derrick Henry is a no-brainer selection here as he has found the end zone 10 times through the Titans' first seven games. He has already faced this Colts' defense once back in Week 3 and ran for 113 yards on 28 carries. Henry has averaged over 27 carries per game this season and has been involved in the passing game as noted by his 18 receptions. He should be able to find success against a defense that has allowed the previous two backfields they have faced to get over 100 rushing yards.
A.J. Brown had a solid resurgence last week against the Chiefs as he hauled in eight of nine targets for 133 yards and a touchdown. He will likely be a primary focus in the passing game against a Colts' defense that has allowed wide receivers to put up an average of 157 receiving yards per game over the previous four weeks, and this also takes into account that sloppy game last week in San Francisco where the passing games were almost non-existent. The Colts have also allowed an average of one receiving touchdown per game to wideouts over that span, so Brown should definitely have some opportunities in this one.
Taylor is the workhorse for this Colts' offense and has seen an average of 15 carries per game while also earning three targets per game thus far. He has also managed to get in the end zone in each of the Colts' previous four games. He will be going up against a Titans' defense that has allowed an average of nearly 4.7 yards per carry over the previous four weeks and have also allowed an average of four receptions per game to the running back position.
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Titans @ Colts: Rush Hour Contest
Recommended Prop Pick:
Derrick Henry and Jonathan Taylor to combine for more than 213.5 rushing yards
I am going to stick with the same game here in a spot where both running backs could have solid days and combine to get over this total.
We all know Derrick Henry is a beast and is capable of going over this total almost on his own. He has averaged over 27 carries per game this season and has rushed for 130 or more yards in four of his six previous games. This is a Colts' defense that has allowed four of the seven backfields they have faced to rush for over 100 yards and a fifth backfield to rush for 99 yards. The game is expected to be close, so the Titans will want to control the tempo as much as possible, and feeding Henry is a great way to do this.
Taylor is turning into another workhorse back in this league as he has averaged 15 carries per game this season and now has 100 or more rushing yards in three of his previous four games. This Titans' defense has struggled against the run as aforementioned as they are allowing over 4.7 yards per carry. They recently allowed James Robinson to rip off 149 rushing yards on 18 carries and Taylor himself averaged 6.9 yards per carry in their last meeting. Seeing as this spread is super tight, the Colts will likely also try to establish the run with Taylor and control the game this way. Taylor makes for a solid complement to Henry in this contest and they have a solid shot at hitting the more than 213.5 rushing yards required.
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Jaguars @ Seahawks: More or Less Contest
Recommended Prop Pick:
Trevor Lawrence more than 250.5 passing yards and Geno Smith more than 190.5 passing yards
Lawrence has started to warm up in recent weeks as he has eclipsed 270 passing yards in both of his previous two games. he will now get a solid matchup against the Seattle Seahawks who have allowed four of the seven teams they have faced to throw for over 300 passing yards. This is also a game where the Jaguars are 3.5-point underdogs and Lawrence could be throwing a bit more later in the game in an attempt to come back.
This number is set rather low for Geno Smith as he has already reached this total in one of his two starts while the second game took place against a tough Saints defense in some pretty rough weather. This game takes place against the Jaguars who have had their hands full against pretty much every quarterback they have faced. On the season, they have allowed five of the six starting quarterbacks they have faced to throw for 290 or more yards and four of those six threw for over 300 yards. This is a prime spot for Smith to have his best game as a starter in 2021 and should be able to take advantage of soft matchups on D.K. Metcalf and Tyler Lockett to get more than this total.
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