RADIO
Welcome to Week 15 of the NFL Season! The season is moving right along and has gotten very exciting and that means our friends at Monkey Knife Fight are offering some fantastic props for us to play.
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As always, there are some solid props we can look to take advantage of in a couple of these games including the Texans at Colts, 49ers at Cowboys, and an Early Game Star Shootout.
Texans @ Colts More or Less Contest
Recommended Prop Pick:
Philip Rivers less than 285.5 passing yards and Deshaun Watson more than 268.5 passing yards
Rivers faced this Texans' squad two weeks ago and threw for exactly 285 passing yards. While the Texans are bad against the pass, they have also been horrid against the run as noted by them allowing over 100 rushing yards per game to backs over the previous four weeks. Jonathan Taylor is beginning to emerge as he has rushed for 241 yards in the previous two games. I think this is a game where the Colts come out and establish the run early with Taylor, which ultimately leads to Rivers going under the total.
Deshaun Watson has eclipsed this total in four of his previous six games, including a 341 passing yards performance against these Colts two weeks ago. The Colts are allowing over 286 passing yards per game over the previous four weeks, which ranks third-worst in the league over that span. The Texans also struggle to run the ball from the running back position, which should help Watson get over this total. Add in the fact that the Texans are also underdogs in this game and you could certainly see some added passing from Watson in this one.
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49ers @ Cowboys More or Less Contest(s)
Recommended Prop Pick(s):
The props in this contest have moved around a bit this week, so I am going to provide my thoughts on a few players so you can hopefully mix and match over the weekend with a couple of plays.
Brandon Aiyuk more than 15.5 fantasy points: Aiyuk has been on an absolute tear in recent weeks. This is noted by the fact that he has posted at least 17 fantasy points in each of his previous five games. He has been able to do this thanks to his massive target share as he has earned an average of 10 targets per game over that five-game span. He will be facing off against a Cowboys' secondary that has allowed an average of over 34 fantasy points per game to the wide receiver position.
Amari Cooper more than 14.5 fantasy points: Cooper has scored at least 15 fantasy points in each of his previous three games. He is also the top target in Dallas as he has seen an average of nearly nine targets per game. The Niners have not been great vs. wide receivers in recent weeks either, as they have allowed an average of over 31 fantasy points per game to the position. They have, however, been stronger against running backs as they are only allowing an average of 14 fantasy points per game to them over the same span. The Cowboys being three-point underdogs should also help Cooper see some extra attention later in the game.
Nick Mullens more than 16.5 fantasy points: Mullens has had some solid performances at the helm for the Niners in 2020 and should be in line for another against the Cowboys on Sunday. The Cowboys are currently allowing an average of over 17 fantasy points per game to quarterbacks over the previous four weeks. They have also allowed quarterbacks to toss seven touchdown passes across that span, which is tied for 10th-worst in the league. Mullens should be able to find plenty of success moving the ball through the air in this one and is a solid candidate to go over 16.5 fantasy points.
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Star Shootout Early Games Touchdown Dance Contest
Recommended Prop Pick:
Jonathan Taylor, Brandon Aiyuk, and J.K. Dobbins more than 2.5 touchdowns
This is a fun contest because if you enter $5, you win a share of $5,000 if all three of your players score a touchdown and you win at least half of your buy-in if your players combine for three total touchdowns. Do keep an eye on this prop as the odds could jump to 2x instead of the current 1.5x.
We will start with Taylor, who has a superb matchup vs. the Texans. The Texans are allowing over 100 rushing yards per game and nearly five yards per carry over the previous four weeks, which could lead to some big gains. Most importantly, they have allowed five rushing touchdowns and one receiving touchdown across that same span. Taylor was given 20 carries last week at the Raiders and turned that into two touchdowns. A similar performance could certainly be in store this week.
Aiyuk is one of my favorite fantasy plays this week and rightfully so. He has scored in three of his last four and four of his last six games. The Cowboys have allowed six touchdowns to wide receivers over the previous four weeks, which ranks tied for second-worst in the league over that span. Aiyuk should see plenty of targets in this one as he has averaged 12 targets per game in his last four games, making him a must-play in this prop.
Dobbins has been in somewhat of a timeshare lately but has still been involved heavily in this Ravens' offense as he has seen an average of 13 carries per game across the Ravens' last three games. He will be facing a Jaguars Defense that has allowed an average of 167 rushing yards per game and 5.4 yards per carry over the previous four weeks. They have also allowed a total of five touchdowns to the position across the same span. Dobbins has found the end zone in his previous three games and should be able to find it against this defense as well.
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