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We're in Week 17 of the NFL season, and our friends at Monkey Knife Fight are offering some of the coolest, and easiest to win, NFL DFS games in the industry.
On MKF, there are no massive tournaments where you have to get ridiculously lucky just to cash. You're just playing against the house, and the dudes at MKF have fallen all over themselves to give you really attractive opportunities to make some money.
As always, there are some solid props we can look to take advantage of in a couple of these games including the Eagles at Giants and 49ers at Seahawks.
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Eagles @ Giants
More or Less Contest
Recommended Prop Pick: Carson Wentz over 257.5 passing yards and Daniel Jones over 232.5 passing yards.
The total on this game is only 45, which is the sixth-highest on the board, but I think it has sneaky shootout potential given that both teams will want to win this game. The Eagles are fighting for their playoff lives and the Giants would like nothing more than to help squash those hopes. Both of these defenses have been absolutely awful vs. the pass over the course of the season and have been bad in recent weeks as well.
The Giants have allowed 1,086 passing yards over the previous four weeks, which ranks sixth-worst in the league over that span. They have also allowed the most passing touchdowns over that span with 11 to go along with zero interceptions. Pair this with the fact that they have been stronger vs. the run by only allowing 327 rushing yards over the previous four weeks and you have a recipe for passing success with Carson Wentz. Wentz has also thrown for over 300 passing yards in three of his previous four games, so the precedent is there as well.
The Eagles have given up 1,050 passing yards over the previous four weeks, which is good for eighth-worst in the league. They have allowed seven passing touchdowns over this same timeframe, which is good for 12th-worst in the league. Add in the fact that they have been second-best against the run in the last four weeks by only allowing 213 rushing yards and you have the same recipe for success with Daniel Jones. In his return from injury last week, Jones torched the Redskins for 352 passing yards and five touchdowns. While it is unrealistic to expect a repeat performance for Jones, he should certainly be able to eclipse this prop total.
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49ers @ Seahawks
More or Less Contest
Recommended Prop Pick: Jimmy Garoppolo under 283.5 passing yards and Russell Wilson over 246.5 passing yards
This game has a total of 47, which is the third-highest total on the board. this game also has a ton of meaning, because the winner will win the NFC West. There is no question both teams will be extremely motivated in this one and will use whatever means necessary to win. I think this likely sets up for the 49ers to run the ball vs. a recently suspect Seahawks Defense and Seattle to throw the ball vs. a 49ers team that has somewhat struggled to stop the pass in recent weeks.
Seattle has allowed 407 rushing yards to backs over the previous four weeks, which ranks ninth-worst in the league. The 49ers will almost certainly look to exploit this as they currently rank second in the league in rushing with 145.1 rushing yards per game. Jimmy G has also only eclipsed this total four times this season, the last of which game against a horrible and banged up Saints' secondary in Week 14. Also, in his last meeting with Seattle, Garoppolo only managed to throw for 248 passing yards
The 49ers have been suspect vs. the pass in recent weeks as they have allowed 997 passing yards over the previous four weeks, which ranks 15th-worst in the league. While this is not necessarily that putrid, they have been superb against the run by only allowing backs to rush for 281 yards over that span, which ranks fifth-best in the league. Seattle recently lost Chris Carson to injury and will now rely on the likes of Marshawn Lynch and Robert Turbin to carry the load. this is not an ideal situation for Seattle and likely means they will have the rely on Wilson's arm if they wish to have success this week and into the playoffs. Wilson has eclipsed this total six times this season and came up just 15 yards shy in his last matchup vs. the 49ers in Week 10. In that matchup, Carson was able to shoulder the load by carrying the ball 25 times for 89 rushing yards. Wilson will not have that luxury this week and this ultimately should lead to him going over the total.
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