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Welcome to Week 5 of the NFL Season! The season is moving right along and has gotten very exciting and that means our friends at Monkey Knife Fight are offering some fantastic props for us to play.
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As always, there are some solid props we can look to take advantage of in a couple of these games including the Panthers at Falcons and Colts at Browns.
Panthers @ Falcons More or Less Contest
Recommended Prop Pick:
Matt Ryan more than 300.5 passing yards and Teddy Bridgewater more than 294.5 passing yards
Matt Ryan is averaging 311.5 passing yards per game and is always a threat to go over 300 yards thanks to the atrocious defense in Atlanta. He will be facing a Panthers Defense that has been somewhat strong against the pass as they currently rank inside the top 10 in terms of passing yards allowed to quarterbacks, but they have yet to face an offense like this. Thus far, the Panthers have faced Derek Carr, Tom Brady, Justin Herbert, and Kyler Murray. None of these quarterbacks possess the ability to throw for massive totals quite like Ryan. This game has a projected total of 54.5, which means there should be plenty of back and forth action, especially with the lack of ability of the aforementioned Falcons Defense.
Teddy Bridgewater should have a field day against this defense. The Falcons are currently allowing 353.75 passing yards per game to quarterbacks, which is ranked second-worst in the league. Bridgewater should be able to find success throwing the ball to Mike Davis especially. The Falcons are allowing running backs an average of over 64 receiving yards per game, which is ranked third-worst in the league. Davis has seen 23 targets and hauled in 21 for 140 yards since taking over for the injured Christian McCaffrey. Davis is just one of the reasons I like the more than here. Atlanta is also allowing the fourth-most yards to receivers as well, which means DJ Moore and Robby Anderson are definitely in play for Bridgewater as well. While it may be surprising that the Panthers are three-point underdogs, this should also help Teddy get over the total Sunday.
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Panthers @ Falcons Fantasy Challenge
Recommended Prop Pick:
Mike Davis, Robby Anderson, and Calvin Ridley more than 59.5 fantasy points
Mike Davis is in a great spot to start with this prop pick as he has essentially taken over the role of Christian McCaffrey in the Panthers' offense. Since taking over the lead back role in Carolina, Davis has been a machine in the passing game as he has hauled in 26 receptions for 146 receiving yards and a score. The Falcons are one of the worst teams in terms of receptions allowed to backs as they have given up 34 receptions for 257 yards and three scores. Add in the fact that Davis will be the lead ball carrier for Carolina in this game, and he makes for a smash play in this scenario.
The Falcons woes in their pass defense are well-noted as they have given up the fourth-most receiving yards to wide receivers thus far in 2020 by allowing 822 yards. Robby Anderson is quickly becoming a favorite target of Teddy Bridgewater as he has earned 34 targets through the first four games and turned those into 377 receiving yards and a score. He has also gone over 100 receiving yards in the previous two games and racked up 99 receiving yards Week 1. He is another must-use in this sport for me.
Calvin Ridley laid an egg on Monday Night Football, but I am not ready to abandon ship on him for this week's matchup. Julio Jones has missed time this season for an injured hamstring, and as of this writing, he has yet to practice this week. This will make Ridley the top-dog in Atlanta and he should be able to have success vs. a defense that has yet to face an offense as high-powered as Atlanta's. Ridley has also secured 21 of his 40 targets thus far for 349 receiving yards and four touchdowns. Even if Julio does play, I still like Ridley to capitalize in a game that current;y has the third-highest total on the board at 54.5.
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Colts @ Browns More or Less Contest
Recommended Prop Pick:
Philip Rivers less than 240.5 passing yards and Baker Mayfield less than 246.5 passing yards
This game could be a defensive struggle as both teams come in with solid defenses. While the Browns are allowing the third-most passing yards per game to quarterbacks, that number is heavily skewed as Dak Prescott threw for over 500 passing yards last week while attempting a furious comeback at home. Before that game, the Browns were only allowing 245 passing yards per game to quarterbacks. Rivers is not the same Rivers of old and he also is not loaded with weapons at the receiver position as he has lost Parris Campbell and T.Y. Hilton is a shell of his former self thus far. On the whole, Rivers is averaging just 246 passing yards per game, and this total is also skewed thanks to a Week 1 performance where he threw for 363 yards against Jacksonville. I think the Colts come out and try to run the ball as well as get the tight ends involved in this game, which could result in a low-scoring affair and Rivers going under the total.
Baker Mayfield will have a tall task before him on Sunday afternoon. He will be going up against a Colts Defense that is ranked first overall in the league in terms of passing yards allowed to quarterbacks as they are only allowing 176 yards per game. Mayfield is also averaging just 182 passing yards per game on the season. While the Browns did lose Nick Chubb to injury last week and could rely a bit more on the passing game this week, this total is just a bit too much to ask from Mayfield vs. this defense. Just last week, Mayfield faced the Cowboys awful secondary and only managed to throw for 165 yards. In fact, he has only gone over the 200-yard threshold once this season, so it is not likely he eclipses this total here vs. this Colts Defense.
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