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Hello everybody and welcome! The 2021 NFL season has finally reached the playoffs and that means our new friends over at PrizePicks still have a TON of great props we can look to take advantage of. PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win, and on the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
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PrizePicks has two types of games. The first type of game is known as Fantasy Score, which consists of selecting various players and trying to determine if they will go over or under their projected fantasy points in a game. The second game is known as Single Stat. For NFL, Single Stat consists of quarterback passing yards, running back rushing yards, and wide receiver receiving yards in which you determine if the player in question will go over or under their projected total. You can mix and match players from each type of game in your entry or select all of your plays from the same type of game. Once you have selected your players and props, you can choose the aforementioned flex play or power play option. Today, we will look at some single-stat scores for the NFL's Divisional Round games scheduled for Sunday, January 23rd.
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Single Stat NFL Totals
Matthew Stafford over 272.5 passing yards - The Rams had plenty of success on the ground Monday night against the Cardinals, which kept Stafford to just 202 passing yards. That should not be the case this week. In 2021, the Bucs ranked first in the league in terms of rushing yards allowed to running backs, which should help them keep Cam Akers and Sony Michel in check. They did, however, allow quarterbacks to average 253 passing yards per game, which ranked 13th-worst in the league. These two teams also met back in Week 3 and Stafford threw for 343 passing yards. The Rams are also slight underdogs in this game, which could lead to some additional passing.
Cooper Kupp over 95.5 receiving yards - We rarely get a prop total this low on Kupp and it is likely due to the fact that he only went for 61 receiving yards last week in a blowout win against the Cardinals. That being said, this game should be much closer with the Bucs, and the matchup is a good one. Tampa Bay has allowed an average of nearly 160 receiving yards per game to wide receivers, which ranks in the bottom half of the league. Kupp has also eclipsed this total in five of his previous seven games while averaging over 10 targets per game in that span. As aforementioned, this Bucs defense is stout against the run as well, which should lead to Kupp seeing a similar target share in this one.
Stefon Diggs over 67.5 receiving yards - Diggs has gone over this in two of his four previous games and likely would have hit it last week (making it three of four) had the Bills not just run away with the game. He is averaging 10 targets per game over his previous four games and should be heavily relied upon in a game against the Chiefs with a current total sitting at 54. The Chiefs have stumbled against top-end wide receivers recently as well as J'Marr Chase torched them for 266 receiving yards back in Week 17 while Hunter Renfrow and Keenan Allen combined for nearly 200 receiving yards in Weeks 14 and 15, respectively.
Patrick Mahomes over 20.5 rushing yards - Quite frankly, this number is set a bit too low on Mahomes. He has gone for over this total in four of his previous five games and has also hit it in five of his previous seven playoff games. This is a Bills defense that gave up 18 rushing yards to Mac Jones a week ago and also allowed six quarterbacks to go over this total on the season, including a 61-yard rushing performance from Mahomes back in Week 5.
Other Recommendations - Tyler Johnson over 27.5 receiving yards, Devin Singletary over .5 touchdowns
Overall recommendation for this play: FLEX
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