NFL Futures Receiving Yards - DFS Prop Picks for PrizePicks

Hello everybody and welcome! The 2021 NFL Preseason kicked off with the Hall of Fame Game last week and that means our new friends over at PrizePicks have a TON of great props we can look to take advantage of. PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win, and on the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.

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PrizePicks has two types of games. The first type of game is known as Fantasy Score, which consists of selecting various players and trying to determine if they will go over or under their projected fantasy points in a game. The second game is known as Single Stat. For NFL, Single Stat consists of quarterback passing yards, running back rushing yards, and wide receiver receiving yards in which you determine if the player in question will go over or under their projected total. You can mix and match players from each type of game in your entry or select all of your plays from the same type of game. Once you have selected your players and props, you can choose the aforementioned flex play or power play option.

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Single Stat NFL_FUT Totals

Stefon Diggs over 1,350.5 receiving yards - This is a number Diggs went over by nearly 200 yards in 2020 as he hauled in 127 balls for 1,535 receiving yards in 16 games. In 2021, he will have 17 games to get over this total and has a solid schedule to help him get there. He will have six games combined against the Dolphins Jets and Patriots. These teams ranked eighth-worst, 11th-worst, and ninth-best in terms of receiving yards allowed to the position in 2020. Although the Patriots were ranked ninth-best, Diggs still managed to rack up 237 receiving yards in his two games against them in 2021. Outside the division, Diggs will have soft matchups against the Falcons, Colts, Texans, Titans, Jaguars, and Panthers. These teams ranked worst, fourth-worst, sixth-worst, seventh-worst, 12th-worst, and 14th-worst, respectively in terms of receiving yards allowed to the position. Diggs, as long as he stays healthy, should certainly eclipse this total.

Calvin Ridley under 1,350 receiving yards - Many people are very high on Ridley coming into 2021 after he caught 90 balls for 1,374 receiving yards and nine touchdowns in 2020. He may have an outstanding season, but I think the loss of Julio Jones is will draw stronger coverages toward him from defenses. Matt Ryan being a year older does not help him either, but this is a lot about those defenses he will be facing as are most props in this article. It starts within the division where he will be facing two teams in the Bucs and the Saints who ranked in the top half of the league in terms of receiving yards allowed to the position, and the Bucs ranked third-best by allowing just 130.8 receiving yards per game to wideouts. Outside the division, Ridley will face four more teams ranked inside the top 10 in terms of receiving yards allowed in the Bills (fourth-best), Giants (sixth-best), Washington Football Team (eighth-best), and Patriots (ninth-best). he will also go up against the 14th and 15th-best defenses in terms of receiving yards allowed in the Eagles and 49ers, respectively. Overall, this is a tough road to the over, and of course, and missed games during the season would certainly be a setback as well.

Tyreek Hill under 1,350.5 receiving yards - This is going to be a very unpopular opinion, but I have to stick with it here. This season marks the third season Mecole Hardman will be with the Chiefs, and we all know that receivers can have great breakout campaigns in their third season. Hardman increased his targets, receptions, and yards from his rookie campaign to his second season and could cut into some of Tyreek's production in 2021. Hill managed to haul in 87 balls for 1,276 receiving yards in 2020, so if his production is cut even slightly (even in a 17 game season), he could certainly miss the mark on this prop. Aside from the possible emergence of Hardman, is the fact that the Chiefs will go up against some tough pass defenses in 2021. They will have two against the Chargers who ranked seventh-best in the league in terms of yards allowed to the wide receiver position. They will also face five teams that ranked inside the top 10 in terms of yards allowed to the position in the Bills (fourth-best), Steelers (fifth-best), Giants (sixth-best), Washington Football Team (eighth-best), and the Packers (10th-best).

Other recommended plays: Davante Adams over 1,300.5 receiving yards, Allen Robinson over 1,090.5 receiving yards, Travis Kelce under 1,300.5 receiving yards.

Overall recommendation for this play: FLEX

 

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