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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Sunday September 11th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Red Sox vs. Orioles
The Red Sox take on the Orioles on Sunday September 11th at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Boston Red Sox (67-72) vs. Baltimore Orioles (73-65)
- Date: Sunday September 11th, 2022
- Time: 1:05 ET
- Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Red Sox vs. Orioles
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Boston Red Sox - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Boston Red Sox come into this road contest vs Baltimore with a below .500 record (67-72). In the AL East division standings, the team ranks 5th. The Red Sox hope to avoid dropping further below .500 when playing on the road, as they are currently 33-37. In their last game, the Red Sox picked up a 17-4 win over Baltimore. Currently, Boston has a below .500 record in their 45 series, coming in at 18-21-6.
Red Sox starter Rich Hill comes into the game with a record of just 6-6. With an ERA of 4.88, Hill has had his struggles on the mound. Currently, opponents have a batting average of 0.266 against him. So far, opponents have taken Hill over the fence 12 times across 97 innings pitched. Heading into the game, he has struck 19.0% of the batters he's faced. In his outings, Rich Hill is putting batters on through walks at an alarming rate, averaging 2.76 walks per 9 innings.
Entering today's action, Red Sox features the 8th ranked scoring unit, averaging 4.59 runs per game. Throughout the season, the team has been good at getting off to strong starts, ranking 2.11 in runs scored through the first four innings. The Red Sox have enjoyed success at the plate, as their team batting average of .260 ranks 4th. For the season, 36.6% of the team's hits have been in the form of extra bases. So far, the team is the 20th-rated home run hitting team, averaging 0.95 per game. For the season, the team has one of the best hard-hit rates in the league at 41.1%. To date, Boston has the MLB's 6th best OBP at .321. So far, the team has a walk rate of 7.6%.
Baltimore Orioles - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
As the Baltimore Orioles host the Boston Red Sox, they have a record of 73-65, placing them 4th in the AL East division. When playing at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, the Orioles have played well, posting a record of 40-29. Baltimore is hoping to get back on track after dropping their last game to the Red Sox by a score of 17-4. Overall, the team has won over half of their 46 series played, going 23-18-5.
Orioles starter Kyle Bradish comes into the game with a record of just 3-5. Against the Red Sox, Bradish is hoping to improve on his current ERA of 5.30. In today's game, he will look to do a better job limiting base runners, as his batting average allowed sits at .290. Per 9 innings, Bradish is giving up an average of 1.6 home runs, well above the MLB average. In his previous outings, Bradish has a K/BB rate of 2.56, this includes averaging 4.8 K's per appearance.
On offense, Baltimore comes into the game averaging 4.19 runs per game, placing them in a group of teams near the league average. The team's total run differential sits at 2. So far, the Orioles have combined for a team batting average of .236, placing them 21st in the league. On average, the team is coming up with 7.9 hits per game. Per game, the team is averaging 1.06 home runs, placing them 15th. So far, their hard hit rate of 39.1 is near the MLB average. Baltimore's overall OBP of .303 puts them 25th in the league. While their WOBA of .304 is one of the lowest figures in the league.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Red Sox vs. Orioles
Heading into today's matchup between Boston and Baltimore, the Orioles are the betting favorite at -132 on the moneyline. Baltimore's implied win probability sits at 56.9%. The MLB predictive model shows today's best bet being the Red Sox to pull off the upset. It is recommended to take Boston on the moneyline.
Recommended Betting Pick: Boston Moneyline
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