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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Cleveland Guardians vs. San Diego Padres, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Tuesday August 23rd, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Guardians vs. Padres
The Guardians take on the Padres on Tuesday August 23rd at Petco Park, San Diego. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Cleveland Guardians (64-56) vs. San Diego Padres (68-56)
- Date: Tuesday August 23rd, 2022
- Time: 9:40 ET
- Venue: Petco Park, San Diego
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Guardians vs. Padres
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Cleveland Guardians - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
At 64-56, the Cleveland Guardians travel to take on the San Diego Padres, ranked 1st in the AL Central division. On the season, the Guardians have an above .500 road record, at 32-31. In their previous games, the Guardians lost by a score of 2-0 to the Chi Sox. For the year, Cleveland has played a total of 38 series, going 17-11-10.
The Guardians will send Aaron Civale to the mound with an overall record of 2-5. Against the Guardians, Civale is hoping to improve on his current ERA of 5.62. Currently, opponents have a batting average of .277 against him. Through 64 innings of work, Civale has a HR/9 figure of 1.12, placing him near the league average. Aaron Civale takes the mound with a strikeout to walk ratio of 4.12. This has come while striking out 24.0% of the batters he's faced.
Cleveland enters play with the 16th ranked scoring offense, averaging 4.34 runs per game. When playing on the road, the team has a run differential of 5. The Guardians have combined to hit .252, which ranks 8th in the league. For the season, 32.3% of the team's hits have been in the form of extra bases. So far, home runs have been elusive for the team, as they rank 29th in the league, at .78 home runs per contest. Before today's game, the team has one of the worst barrel rates in the league at 5.2%. Cleveland's overall OBP of .315, puts them 14th in the MLB. While their current wOBA of 0.307 is similar to the league average.
San Diego Padres - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
As the San Diego Padres host the Cleveland Guardians, they have a record of 68-56, placing them 2nd in the NL West division. So far, San Diego has been tough at Petco Park, putting together a mark of 35-26. San Diego is coming off a winning effort over the Nationals by a score of 2-1. Overall, the team has won over half of their 38 series played, going 19-13-6.
The Padres will send Mike Clevinger to the mound with an overall record of 4-4. Heading into action, Clevinger has an ERA of 3.63. On average, Clevinger is allowing 1.2 base runners per inning (WHIP). So far, he has a SLG% allowed .371, including giving up 9 home runs. Heading into the game, Clevinger has struck 21.0% of the batters he's faced. Thus far, Mike Clevinger has had problems with walks, averaging 3.03 BB/9.
Offensively, San Diego is scoring at a rate near the MLB average, at 4.40 runs per game. The team's total run differential sits at 50. The Padres' combined batting average currently sits at .241, placing them 17th in the league. This includes batting .196 over their last 3 games. On average, the team has hit just .89 home runs per game, placing them 24th in the league. San Diego's strong OBP of .320 is 7th best in the league. The team is generating walks at a rate of 9.5%.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Guardians vs. Padres
Heading into today's matchup between Cleveland and San Diego, the Padres are the heavy favorite at -154 on the moneyline. San Diego's implied win probability sits at 60.63%. Even with the odds strongly in favor of San Diego, the MLB predictive model shows the best bet for this contest being the Guardians on the runline (+1.5).
Recommended Betting Pick: Guardians +1.5 Runline
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