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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Wednesday June 29th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Braves vs. Phillies
The Braves take on the Phillies on Wednesday June 29th at Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Atlanta Braves (43-32) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (39-36)
- Date: Wednesday June 29th, 2022
- Time: 7:05 ET
- Venue: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Braves vs. Phillies
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Atlanta Braves - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
At 43-32, the Atlanta Braves travel to take on the Philadelphia Phillies, ranked 2nd in the NL East division. When playing away from home, the Braves have played well, posting a record of 19-15. The team will look to tack on another victory as they defeated the Phillies by a score of 5-3. For the year, Atlanta has played a total of 24 series, going 10-9-5.
Making the start for Atlanta is Kyle Wright. So far, Wright has a record of 8-4. Through 14 outings, Wright has an ERA sitting at 3.18, on a batting average allowed of .232. Per 9 innings pitched, Wright is averaging just 0.53 home runs allowed. Heading into the game, he has struck 27.0% of the batters he's faced. In terms of walks, Kyle Wright's BB/9 figure of 2.86 is slightly above the league average for a starting pitcher.
Offensively, the Braves have had no problem putting up runs, as their scoring average of 4.72 runs per game ranks 9th in the MLB. This includes posting a season-long run differential of +46. As a team, the Braves are batting a healthy .247, placing them 11th in the league. Per game, the team is averaging 8.39 hits. The team's lineup is also hitting for power at an above-average rate, averaging 1.51 home runs per game (2nd). For the season, the team has one of the best hard hit rates in the league at 43.4%. Throughout the season, Atlanta is ranked 17th in OBP (.313), coming on a walk rate of 7.9%.
Philadelphia Phillies - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Philadelphia Phillies enter play ranked 3rd in the NL East division, with an overall record of 39-36. In their 37 games at Citizens Bank Park, the Phillies have a strong record of 19-18. In their previous games, Philadelphia lost by a score of 5-3 to the Braves. So far, the team has won less than half of their series, going just 10-13-1.
For Philadelphia, Ranger Suarez gets the start, currently holding a record of 6-4. With an ERA of 4.23, Suarez has had his struggles on the mound. Compared to other pitchers, he has an elevated batting average allowed (.268). Through 72 innings of work, Suarez has an HR/9 figure of 1.00, placing him near the league average. Ranger Suarez takes the mound with a K/BB ratio of 1.84 while striking out 18.0% of the batters he's faced.
Philadelphia comes into this game with a strong offensive unit, averaging 4.73 runs per game, good for 8th in the MLB. In the team's last 3 contests, their run differential comes in at +3. The Phillies are enjoying offensive success as their team batting average ranks 12th, at .247. This includes batting .272 over their last 3 games. So far, Philadelphia's lineup has also been able to hit for power, as their average of 1.24 home runs per game ranks 7th. To date, Philadelphia has the MLB's 15th rated OBP, sitting at .316, coming on a walk rate of 8.6%.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Braves vs. Phillies
Heading into today's matchup between Atlanta and Philadelphia, the Braves are the betting favorite at -142 on the moneyline. Atlanta's implied win probability sits at 58.68%. The MLB predictive model shows Atlanta picking up the win. It is recommended to stick to the moneyline for today's action.
Recommended Betting Pick: Braves Moneyline
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