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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Tuesday September 6th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Marlins vs. Phillies
The Marlins take on the Phillies on Tuesday, September 6th at Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Miami Marlins (55-78) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (73-61)
- Date: Tuesday September 6th, 2022
- Time: 6:45 ET
- Venue: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Marlins vs. Phillies
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Miami Marlins - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Miami Marlins come into this road contest vs. Philadelphia with a below .500 record (55-78). In the NL East division standings, the team ranks 4th. Miami will be looking to move their record on the road closer to .500, as they are currently 29-40 away from home. The Marlins will be looking to bounce back after falling to Atlanta by a score of 7-1. Currently, Miami has a below .500 record in their 43 series, coming in at 12-26-5.
Marlins starter Jesus Luzardo comes into the game with a record of just 3-6. Luzardo will take the mound with an ERA of 3.44, placing him near the MLB average. On the season, he has held opposing hitters to a batting average of just .179. Per 9 innings pitched, Luzardo is averaging just 0.69 home runs allowed. In his previous outings, Luzardo has struck out 2.92 batters for every issued walk. This includes averaging 6.1 K's per game.
This year, runs have been hard to come by for Miami's offense, as they are the 27th ranked scoring team at 3.54. So far, the team's offense has struggled to score late, ranking 30th in runs scored in the 8th and 9th innings. Through 133 games, the Marlins have struggled to string together hits, ranking 28th in team batting average (.227). Per game, the team is averaging 7.57 hits. Not only is the team struggling in batting average, they are also ranked just 24th in home runs, averaging just 0.87 per contest. Leading into the game, the team's slugging percentage is just .360. Miami's overall OBP of .293 puts them 27th in the league. While their wOBA of .288 is one of the lowest figures in the league.
Philadelphia Phillies - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Philadelphia Phillies enter play ranked 3rd in the NL East division, with an overall record of 73-61. Through 69 home contests, the Phillies come in with a mark of 39-30 at Citizens Bank Park. Philadelphia will be looking to bounce back after falling to the Giants by a score of 5-3. So far, the team has won 20 out of their first 42 series, 20-19-3.
Aaron Nola gets the starting nod for Philadelphia, looking to improve his overall record of 9-11. Currently, Nola's ERA is 3.43. Currently, opponents are batting just .223 against the right-hander. So far, opponents have taken Nola over the fence 17 times across 170 innings pitched. In his previous outings, Nola has a K/BB rate of 8.64, this includes averaging 7.3 K's per appearance.
Philadelphia enters play averaging 4.69 runs per game, placing them 5th in the MLB. The team's total run differential sits at 65. The Phillies are enjoying offensive success as their team batting average ranks 8th, at .254. On average, the team is coming up with 8.66 hits per game. So far, Philadelphia's lineup has also been able to hit for power, as their average of 1.24 home runs per game ranks 7th. To date, the team's barrel rate of 8.5% ranks near the top of the league. Philadelphia's OBP of .317 places them 13th in the league. So far, the team has a walk rate of 7.7%.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Marlins vs. Phillies
Today's matchup between Miami and Philadelphia has the Phillies as the strong favorite. The MLB predictive model shows the Phillies having an edge both at the plate and on the mound. It is recommended to take Philadelphia on the runline.
Recommended Betting Pick: Phillies Runline
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