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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Toronto Blue Jays vs. Pittsburgh Pirates, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Sunday September 4th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Blue Jays vs. Pirates
The Blue Jays take on the Pirates on Sunday September 4th at PNC Park, Pittsburgh. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Toronto Blue Jays (72-59) vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (49-83)
- Date: Sunday September 4th, 2022
- Time: 12:05 ET
- Venue: PNC Park, Pittsburgh
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Blue Jays vs. Pirates
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Toronto Blue Jays - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Toronto Blue Jays enter play ranked 3rd in the AL East division, with an overall record of 72-59. Through 64 road contests, the Blue Jays come in with a mark of 34-30. The team is hoping to add on another win, as they are coming off a 4-1 win over Pittsburgh. Overall, the team has won over half of their 42 series played, going 21-15-6.
Toronto starter Ross Stripling takes the mound with an overall record of 6-4. In his 26 appearances, Stripling has an ERA of 2.94. The right-hander has a batting average allowed of .231. Across 101 innings pitched, Stripling has allowed just 8 home runs. For the season, Ross Stripling has averaged 5.38 strikeouts for every walk. This has come on a K rate of 21.0%.
Toronto comes into this game with a strong offensive unit, averaging 4.64 runs per game, good for 7th in the MLB. So far, the team's offense has struggled to score late, ranking 24th in runs scored in the 8th and 9th innings. The Blue Jays have been able to drive in runs at an above-average rate as their team batting average of .259 ranks 4th in the league. Over their last three games, the team is hitting .216. So far, Toronto's lineup has also been able to hit for power, as their average of 1.21 home runs per game ranks 9th. For the season, the team has one of the best hard hit rates in the league at 44.3%. Throughout the season, Toronto's batters have been excellent at getting on base, posting the 4th best OBP of .324. On average, the team generates walks at a rate of 8.0%.
Pittsburgh Pirates - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Pittsburgh Pirates come into this road contest vs Toronto with a below .500 record (49-83). In the NL Central division standings, the team ranks 5th. Pittsburgh will be looking to pick at win at home, as they are currently just 26-38 at PNC Park. Pittsburgh will be looking to bounce back after falling to the Blue Jays by a score of 4-1. To start the year, the team has picked up just 9 series wins, going 9-27-7.
JT Brubaker gets the starting nod for Pittsburgh, looking to improve his overall record of 3-11. Compared to other starting pitchers, Brubaker has one of the higher ERA's in the league at 4.39 and a WHIP of 1.43. Currently, opponents have a batting average of .266 against him. Across his previous outings, Brubaker has a SLG% allowed of .418. In total, he has given up 13 home runs. Overall, Brubaker has notched 132 strikeouts on a K rate of 23.0%.
Pittsburgh's offense comes into this game averaging just 3.52, placing them 28th in the MLB. So far, the team has struggled to score early, ranking 29th in runs scored through 4 innings. Through 132 games, the Pirates have the 29th ranked batting average at .220. This includes batting .175 over their last 3 games. So far, the team is the 18th-rated home run hitting team, averaging .97 per game. Leading into the game, the team's slugging percentage is just .360. Pittsburgh's OBP of .286 places them 28th in the league. The team is generating walks at a rate of 7.8%.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Blue Jays vs. Pirates
Heading into today's matchup between Toronto and Pittsburgh, the Blue Jays are the heavy favorite at -215 on the moneyline. Toronto's implied win probability sits at 68.25%. The MLB predictive model shows Toronto having enough of an advantage to take them to cover the runline (-1.5).
Recommended Betting Pick: Blue Jays Runline
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