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Hello everybody and welcome! The 2021 NFL season is finally alive and well and that means our new friends over at PrizePicks have a TON of great props we can look to take advantage of. PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win, and on the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
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PrizePicks has two types of games. The first type of game is known as Fantasy Score, which consists of selecting various players and trying to determine if they will go over or under their projected fantasy points in a game. The second game is known as Single Stat. For NFL, Single Stat consists of quarterback passing yards, running back rushing yards, and wide receiver receiving yards in which you determine if the player in question will go over or under their projected total. You can mix and match players from each type of game in your entry or select all of your plays from the same type of game. Once you have selected your players and props, you can choose the aforementioned flex play or power play option. Today, we will look at some props for Week 6's Monday night contest between the Buffalo Bills and Tennessee Titans.
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Fantasy Score NFL Totals and Single-Stat Totals
Before diving into some solid fantasy score totals this week, we must first cover the PrizePicks scoring format. The format is PPR, which stands for point per reception, meaning every reception is worth one point. Rushing and receiving touchdowns are worth six points and passing touchdowns are worth four points. Each rushing or receiving yard is worth .1, meaning every 10 yards of either is worth one point. Quarterback passing yards are worth .04, which means every 25 passing yards are worth one point. If you ever have questions, you can always click the "scoring chart" option above the player selections for each contest. Now let's get to some solid fantasy score props for this week.
Josh Allen over 294.5 passing yards - Allen has thrown for over this total in two of his previous three games and both came against struggling pass defenses in the Chiefs and Football Team. Now, he gets a matchup vs. the Titans who have allowed quarterbacks to average 277 passing yards per game and have allowed three of the five quarterbacks they have faced to get over this total.
Stefon Diggs over 82.5 receiving yards - As bad as the Titans have been against quarterbacks, they have been even worse against the wide receiver position. Over the previous four weeks, the Titans have allowed an average of 219 receiving yards per game to the positions, which ranks third-worst in the league. Diggs has not been involved as much as he would like to be thus far in 2021, but this is the perfect spot to get him right and I think the Bills will come out and take advantage of this weak secondary and funnel the ball to Diggs. He will also likely be matched up against Kristian Fulton who has allowed 16 fantasy points per game to wide receivers he has faced, which makes Diggs' fantasy score prop something worth taking a look at as well.
Derrick Henry under 96.5 rushing yards - Henry and the Titans will have a tough matchup overall in this one as the Bills defense has been solid thus far. Over the previous four weeks, the Bills have allowed running backs to average just 51 rushing yards per game, which is ranked second-best in the league. ON the season, the most rushing yards they have allowed to any single running back is 45 yards and that came Week 1 against the Steelers' Najee Harris. While they clearly have not faced a back as stout as Henry, this is still a pretty large number considering how strong the defense has been thus far. The Titans are also underdogs in this game, and could be forced to throw more down the stretch.
Ryan Tannehill under 237.5 passing yards - As strong as the bills run defense has been, their pass defense might be even stronger. Over the previous four weeks, the Bills have allowed quarterbacks to throw for just 188 yards per game, which is ranked second-best in the league. Tannehill has gone over this total in just two games this season, both of which came against low-end pass defenses in the Seahawks and Jets.
Other Recommendations: Ryan Tannehill under 18.0 fantasy score, Anthony Firkser over 6.0 fantasy score, Stefon Diggs over 20.0 fantasy score, A.J. Brown under 14.0 fantasy score
Overall recommendation for this play: FLEX
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