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Hello everybody and welcome! The 2021 NFL season is alive and well and that means our new friends over at PrizePicks have a TON of great props we can look to take advantage of. PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win, and on the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
Our partners at PrizePicks offer some of the best and easiest to win NFL DFS games in the industry. There are no large-field tournaments filled with sharks where you have to get lucky just to place. At PrizePicks, you're not playing against other people, you're just playing against the projections, and the guys at PrizePicks have worked hard to give you really attractive opportunities to make some money. With promo code 'BALLER' you can get a 100% match on your deposit up to $100.
PrizePicks has two types of games. The first type of game is known as Fantasy Score, which consists of selecting various players and trying to determine if they will go over or under their projected fantasy points in a game. The second game is known as Single Stat. For NFL, Single Stat consists of quarterback passing yards, running back rushing yards, and wide receiver receiving yards in which you determine if the player in question will go over or under their projected total. You can mix and match players from each type of game in your entry or select all of your plays from the same type of game. Once you have selected your players and props, you can choose the aforementioned flex play or power play option. Today, we will look at some PrizePicks for the Thursday Night Football game between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Philadelphia Eagles.
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Fantasy Score and Single-Stat NFL Totals
Before diving into some solid fantasy score totals this week, we must first cover the PrizePicks scoring format. The format is PPR, which stands for point per reception, meaning every reception is worth one point. Rushing and receiving touchdowns are worth six points and passing touchdowns are worth four points. Each rushing or receiving yard is worth .1, meaning every 10 yards of either is worth one point. Quarterback passing yards are worth .04, which means every 25 passing yards are worth one point. If you ever have questions, you can always click the "scoring chart" option above the player selections for each contest. Now let's get to some solid fantasy score props for this week.
Leonard Fournette over 50.5 rushing yards - Fournette has been given 32 carries over the previous two weeks and appears to be the leading candidate for carries moving forward. He has gone over this total in each of the previous two games while also averaging nearly five yards per carry. The matchup this week is a good one as well against an Eagles' defense that has allowed 496 rushing yards to backs over the previous four weeks, which is ranked third-worst in the league. The Bucs are also 6.5-point favorites in this one, which could lead to additional carries down the stretch.
Chris Godwin over 64.5 receiving yards - While the Eagles have been solid against the pass as noted by the fact they have allowed an average of just 138.5 yards to wideouts over the previous four weeks, they have struggled against slot receivers as they are giving up nearly 17 fantasy points per game. Godwin has seen a solid target share as he has 41 targets through five games and has also hauled in six or more receptions in three of those games. Brady should look his way against a tough Eagles pass defense and continue to take advantage of a defense that has proven struggles against the slot.
DeVonta Smith over 71.5 receiving yards - It is no secret the Bucs struggle against wide receivers. They have allowed an average of nearly 180 receiving yards to the position over the previous four weeks, which is ranked in the bottom 10 of the league. Smith has been a favorite target of quarterback, Jalen Hurts, as he has seen seven or more targets in all but one game this season and has also seen double-digit targets in two games this season. He has managed to go over this total in three games this season and has a solid chance this week as the Eagles enter the game as underdogs.
Jalen Hurts over 280.5 passing yards - In order for the Eagles to be competitive and try to win this game, Jalen Hurts is going to have to put up a solid stat line and this is possible given the fact that the Bucs have allowed an average of over 298 passing yards per game to the quarterback position across the previous four weeks. Hurts has averaged 41 pass attempts per game over the previous three weeks, so the volume is certainly there. He has also gone over this total in two of his last games, both of which came against high-powered offenses (similar to the Bucs) against the Chiefs and Cowboys. This one sets up very similarly and he certainly has a shot to throw for over 300 yards.
Other Recommendations: DaVonta Smith over 13.0 fantasy score, Leonard Fournette over 13.0 fantasy score, Chris Godwin over 5.5 receptions, Tom Brady under 301.5 passing yards
Overall recommendation for this play: FLEX
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