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Hello everybody and welcome! The 2021 NFL season is finally alive and well and that means our new friends over at PrizePicks have a TON of great props we can look to take advantage of. PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win, and on the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
Our partners at PrizePicks offer some of the best and easiest to win NFL DFS games in the industry. There are no large-field tournaments filled with sharks where you have to get lucky just to place. At PrizePicks, you're not playing against other people, you're just playing against the projections, and the guys at PrizePicks have worked hard to give you really attractive opportunities to make some money. With promo code 'BALLER' you can get a 100% match on your deposit up to $100.
PrizePicks has two types of games. The first type of game is known as Fantasy Score, which consists of selecting various players and trying to determine if they will go over or under their projected fantasy points in a game. The second game is known as Single Stat. For NFL, Single Stat consists of quarterback passing yards, running back rushing yards, and wide receiver receiving yards in which you determine if the player in question will go over or under their projected total. You can mix and match players from each type of game in your entry or select all of your plays from the same type of game. Once you have selected your players and props, you can choose the aforementioned flex play or power play option. Today, we will look at some props for Week 5's Monday night contest between the Indianapolis Colts and Baltimore Ravens.
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Fantasy Score NFL Totals and Single-Stat Totals
Before diving into some solid fantasy score totals this week, we must first cover the PrizePicks scoring format. The format is PPR, which stands for point per reception, meaning every reception is worth one point. Rushing and receiving touchdowns are worth six points and passing touchdowns are worth four points. Each rushing or receiving yard is worth .1, meaning every 10 yards of either is worth one point. Quarterback passing yards are worth .04, which means every 25 passing yards are worth one point. If you ever have questions, you can always click the "scoring chart" option above the player selections for each contest. Now let's get to some solid fantasy score props for this week.
Lamar Jackson over 234.5 passing yards - Lamar Jackson has eclipsed this total in each game this season and certainly has the opportunity to do it again this week. The Colts have been solid against the run as they have allowed just over 350 rushing yards to the running back position over the first four games. The fact that Baltimore does not have an established RB1 also lends to the fact that they could be passing a bit more in this game and on the season as a whole Jackson has attempted at least 30 passes in three of the Ravens' first four games, and with volume like this, it is extremely difficult to see him going under the number in this one.
Carson Wentz over 225.5 passing yards - Wentz and the Colts will enter this game as seven-point underdogs, which automatically leads me to the over on this prop as they will be forced to throw the ball to stay in the game. The Ravens have also struggled against quarterbacks this season as they are allowing the ninth-most passing yards per game to the position by allowing over 293 yards per game. Wentz has gone over this total in two of the Colts' first four games and likely would have gone over last week against Miami had the Colts not been able to milk the clock late. Tye likely will not have that luxury this week and he should be able to get over this total.
Marquise Brown over 61.5 receiving yards - Brown is without a doubt the top target for Lamar Jackson as he has been targeted 28 times and hauled in 19 passes for 326 yards and three touchdowns. He enters this contest facing a Colts' defense that has allowed wide receivers to haul in eight touchdowns on the season, which is ranked worst in the NFL. They have also allowed wide receivers to average 161.5 receiving yards per game and have given up a total of 43 receptions on 67 targets. Brown has managed to go over this total in three of the Ravens' first four games and has a solid chance to get over again in this one.
Michael Pittman Jr. over 57.5 receiving yards - Michael Pittman Jr. is the leading target earner in Indy as he has seen 36 targets and hauled in 23 of them for 279 yards. This should bode well for him against a Ravens' defense that has allowed 618 yards and three touchdowns to the wide receiver position in 2021. They have also allowed 44 receptions on 73 targets to the position. If the Colts fall behind as expected, Pittman should also see an increase in volume to help him get over this total, which is also a total he has gone over in each of the Colts' previous three games.
Other Recommendations: Lamar Jackson over 22.5 fantasy score, Marquise Brown over 13.0 fantasy score, Nyheim Hines over 8.5 fantasy score
Overall recommendation for this play: FLEX
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