Hello everybody and welcome! The 2021 NFL season is alive and well and that means our new friends over at PrizePicks have a TON of great props we can look to take advantage of. PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win, and on the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
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PrizePicks has two types of games. The first type of game is known as Fantasy Score, which consists of selecting various players and trying to determine if they will go over or under their projected fantasy points in a game. The second game is known as Single Stat. For NFL, Single Stat consists of quarterback passing yards, running back rushing yards, and wide receiver receiving yards in which you determine if the player in question will go over or under their projected total. You can mix and match players from each type of game in your entry or select all of your plays from the same type of game. Once you have selected your players and props, you can choose the aforementioned flex play or power play option. Today, we will look at some PrizePicks for the two-game slate on Saturday, December 18th.
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UPDATE: It was announced on Friday afternoon that the Raiders-Browns game has been postponed until Monday due to the COVID-19 outbreak. Stay tuned for any changes with players being active and passing COVID-19 protocols in time for Monday.
Single-Stat NFL Totals
Nick Chubb over 75.5 rushing yards - This is a number we would typically play on Nick Chubb regardless of the situation, but the fact that Kareem Hunt is expected to miss this game against the Raiders makes it an even better play. Chub has gone over this total in six of nine games this season. He will be facing a Raiders defense that has allowed an average of 101 rushing yards per game to running backs over the previous four weeks. They have also allowed the seventh-most rushing yards per game to running backs on the season by allowing nearly 102 yards per game. NOTE: Since this writing, Nick Chubb has been removed from the board likely due to Covid reasons. Keep an eye out as we get closer to game time to see if he is put back up.
Hunter Renfrow over 75.5 receiving yards - We are getting to the point where Renfrow's total cannot be set high enough. He has now gone over 100 receiving yards in three straight games and may not slow down against the Cleveland pass defense. They are fresh off of a game where Roshod Bateman lit them up for over 100 receiving yards and they have also allowed a wide receiver to eclipse this total in four of their five previous games. The Raiders will also enter this contest as six-point underdogs and could be throwing a bit more to stay in the game.
Jakobi Meyers over 40.5 receiving yards - The way to attack the Colts in through the air and that is likely what the Patriots will have to do just one game after Mac Jones threw the ball only three times in a win over the Buffalo Bills. The Colts are allowing running backs to average just 84 yards on the ground over the previous four weeks, but have allowed wide receivers to average over 142 receiving yards per game on the season. This is also a number that Meyers has hit this total in two of his previous three games as well while missing it by just two yards in the third game.
Jonathan Taylor over 89,5 rushing yards - The Colts are almost certainly going to continue to feed Taylor down the stretch as he has averaged 24 carries per game over his previous five games and has gone over this total in four of those five games and had 83 rushing yards in the other. The Patriots have allowed an average of 115 rushing yards per game over the previous four weeks, which ranks seventh-worst in the league over that span. The Colts will enter this game as slight favorites and this game should be close throughout, which means Taylor should see plenty of carries.
Overall recommendation for this play: FLEX
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