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Hello everybody and welcome! The 2021 NFL season is alive and well and that means our new friends over at PrizePicks have a TON of great props we can look to take advantage of. PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win, and on the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
Our partners at PrizePicks offer some of the best and easiest to win NFL DFS games in the industry. There are no large-field tournaments filled with sharks where you have to get lucky just to place. At PrizePicks, you're not playing against other people, you're just playing against the projections, and the guys at PrizePicks have worked hard to give you really attractive opportunities to make some money. With promo code 'BALLER' you can get a 100% match on your deposit up to $100.
PrizePicks has two types of games. The first type of game is known as Fantasy Score, which consists of selecting various players and trying to determine if they will go over or under their projected fantasy points in a game. The second game is known as Single Stat. For NFL, Single Stat consists of quarterback passing yards, running back rushing yards, and wide receiver receiving yards in which you determine if the player in question will go over or under their projected total. You can mix and match players from each type of game in your entry or select all of your plays from the same type of game. Once you have selected your players and props, you can choose the aforementioned flex play or power play option. Today, we will look at some PrizePicks for the Thursday Night Football game between the Green Bay Packers and Arizona Cardinals.
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Fantasy Score and Single-Stat NFL Totals
Before diving into some solid fantasy score totals this week, we must first cover the PrizePicks scoring format. The format is PPR, which stands for point per reception, meaning every reception is worth one point. Rushing and receiving touchdowns are worth six points and passing touchdowns are worth four points. Each rushing or receiving yard is worth .1, meaning every 10 yards of either is worth one point. Quarterback passing yards are worth .04, which means every 25 passing yards are worth one point. If you ever have questions, you can always click the "scoring chart" option above the player selections for each contest. Now let's get to some solid fantasy score props for this week.
Aaron Jones over 17.0 fantasy score - The Packers look prime to play without star wide receiver, Davante Adams, and that means that Aaron Jone should be relied upon heavily in this game. The Cardinals have allowed an average of nearly 4.5 yards per carry to the running back position, so the Packers would be wise to get him going early and often. The Cardinals have also been exposed in the passing game by running backs in recent weeks as they have allowed backs to haul in 25 receptions over the previous four weeks, which is ranked sixth-worst in the league. Jones has been targeted 28 times this season and has hauled in 26 receptions, so he figures to be prominent in the passing game on Thursday night as well.
Chase Edmonds over 10.0 fantasy score - It was a tough choice between selecting Edmonds or James Conner here, but Edmonds is fresh off a game in which he earned 15 carries and has also been more involved in the passing game, which is key when playing in a PPR format as PrizePicks has. Over the previous four weeks, the Packers have allowed running backs to average 4.4 yards per carry and 81 rushing yards per game. They have also allowed backs to haul in 21 receptions for 121 yards and a score over that span. Edmonds has seen at least four targets in every game but one this season and is also averaging nearly four receptions per game on the season.
Aaron Rodgers under 250.5 passing yards - This is a number that Rodgers is going to have a tough time trying to hit with his top two receivers in Davante Adams and Allen Lazard missing due to Coivd. This is also a number the Cardinals' defense has not allowed except once all season and that was a 280-yard passing performance by Matthew Stafford in Week 4, and Stafford had a wealth of weapons to throw the ball to. With Adams and Lazard set to miss this one, that means Rodgers will have to heavily rely upon Randall Cobb, which does not bode well for the over.
Robert Tonyan under 8.0 fantasy score - I would love to buy into Tonyan as a solid play in this game with Adams and Lazard not likely to go, but I just cannot do it. Tonyan has caught just 10 balls over the previous FIVE weeks and has failed to reach double-digit receiving yards in three of those five games. He has also failed to reach eight fantasy points in all but two games this season. Aside from this, the Cardinals have allowed tight ends to average just 3.75 catches per game for an average of 27 yards per game over the previous four weeks. They are also allowing just 6.75 fantasy points per game to the position, which ranks third-best in football over the previous four weeks.
Overall recommendation for this play: FLEX
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