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Hello everybody and welcome! The 2021 NFL season is finally alive and well and that means our new friends over at PrizePicks have a TON of great props we can look to take advantage of. PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win, and on the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
Our partners at PrizePicks offer some of the best and easiest to win NFL DFS games in the industry. There are no large-field tournaments filled with sharks where you have to get lucky just to place. At PrizePicks, you're not playing against other people, you're just playing against the projections, and the guys at PrizePicks have worked hard to give you really attractive opportunities to make some money. With promo code 'BALLER' you can get a 100% match on your deposit up to $100.
PrizePicks has two types of games. The first type of game is known as Fantasy Score, which consists of selecting various players and trying to determine if they will go over or under their projected fantasy points in a game. The second game is known as Single Stat. For NFL, Single Stat consists of quarterback passing yards, running back rushing yards, and wide receiver receiving yards in which you determine if the player in question will go over or under their projected total. You can mix and match players from each type of game in your entry or select all of your plays from the same type of game. Once you have selected your players and props, you can choose the aforementioned flex play or power play option. Today, we will look at some props for Week 7's Monday night contest between the New Orleans Saints and Seattle Seahawks.
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Fantasy Score NFL Totals and Single-Stat Totals
Before diving into some solid fantasy score totals this week, we must first cover the PrizePicks scoring format. The format is PPR, which stands for point per reception, meaning every reception is worth one point. Rushing and receiving touchdowns are worth six points and passing touchdowns are worth four points. Each rushing or receiving yard is worth .1, meaning every 10 yards of either is worth one point. Quarterback passing yards are worth .04, which means every 25 passing yards are worth one point. If you ever have questions, you can always click the "scoring chart" option above the player selections for each contest. Now let's get to some solid fantasy score props for this week.
Alvin Kamara over 93.5 rushing yards - While this is a number Kamara has hit just once in 2021, the volume has been there as he is averaging nearly 19 carries per game. If he gets close to 19 carries in this game, he should be able to get over this total against a Seahawks defense that is allowing running backs to average over 113 rushing yards per game over the previous four weeks, which is ranked ninth-worst in the league over that span. Given that the Saints are four-point favorites in this game, they may also be inclined to run the ball a bit more in order to salt the game away, which would increase Kamara's volume.
Jameis Winston over 201.5 passing yards - This is a number Winston has gone over in each of his previous two games and both came against subpar defenses, which is exactly what he gets in Seattle on Monday night. Over the previous four weeks, the Seahawks have allowed quarterbacks to throw for an average of nearly 310 passing yards per game, which is ranked third-worst in the league over that span. This is a game that has a total of just 42.5, so the throttle likely will not be pushed down very far, but 207.5 is a number Winston should be able to cruise to, especially against this defense.
Marquez Callaway over 44.5 receiving yards - Since we like the over for Winston, it makes sense to pair him with Callaway in this one. Callaway has seen 15 targets in his previous three games and has gone over this total in two of those three while missing it in the third game by just one yard. The Seahawks have struggled against the wide receiver position and are allowing an average of nearly 214 receiving yards to them over the previous four weeks, which ranks second-worst in the league.
Tyler Lockett over 45.5 receiving yards - Tyler Lockett and the Seahawks are slight underdogs in this game, so they may be forced to pass a bit more, which would increase Lockett's volume. He will likely see more open looks in this game as D.K. Metcalf will likely be covered mostly by Marshon Lattimore. The Saints have also been stout against the run as they are allowing running backs to average just 37.75 rushing yards per game over the previous four weeks, which is ranked best in the league.
Other Recommendations: Marquez Callaway over 10.0 fantasy score, Alex Collins under 10.0 fantasy score, D.K. Metcalf under 14.0 fantasy score
Overall recommendation for this play: FLEX
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