Hello everybody and welcome! Thanksgiving Day football is here and that means our new friends over at PrizePicks have a TON of great props we can look to take advantage of. PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win, and on the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
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PrizePicks has two types of games. The first type of game is known as Fantasy Score, which consists of selecting various players and trying to determine if they will go over or under their projected fantasy points in a game. The second game is known as Single Stat. For NFL, Single Stat consists of quarterback passing yards, running back rushing yards, and wide receiver receiving yards in which you determine if the player in question will go over or under their projected total. You can mix and match players from each type of game in your entry or select all of your plays from the same type of game. Once you have selected your players and props, you can choose the aforementioned flex play or power play option. Today, we will look at some PrizePicks for the Thursday Night Football game between the New England Patriots and Atlanta Falcons.
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Single-Stat NFL and Fantasy Score Totals
Before diving into some solid fantasy score totals this week, we must first cover the PrizePicks scoring format. The format is PPR, which stands for point per reception, meaning every reception is worth one point. Rushing and receiving touchdowns are worth six points and passing touchdowns are worth four points. Each rushing or receiving yard is worth .1, meaning every 10 yards of either is worth one point. Quarterback passing yards are worth .04, which means every 25 passing yards are worth one point. If you ever have questions, you can always click the "scoring chart" option above the player selections for each contest. Now let's get to some solid fantasy score props for this week.
David Montgomery over 72.5 rushing yards - Montgomery has taken over the lead role since his return from injury as he has carried the rock 27 times in his previous two games for a total of 121 rushing yards. He has a solid matchup in this one against a Lions' defense that has allowed an average of 137 rushing yards per game to running backs over their previous three games. This is also a game where Andy Dalton will be starting as well as the Bears being favored by three contributes to the idea that he could see some additional carries.
Amon-Ra St. Brown over 27.5 receiving yards - The Lions are devastated at the wide receiver position and St. Brown makes a ton of sense in this one as he has seen over six targets per game across his previous six games and has averaged nearly 48 receiving yards per game over that span. He will be facing a Bears defense that has allowed an average of over 176 receiving yards per game to wide receivers over their previous three games. This is also a number that St. Brown has hit in four of his previous six games.
Ezekiel Elliott over 60.5 rushing yards - It would not be Thanksgiving Day football without a Zeke prop, now would it? The Raiders have struggled against running backs as they have allowed an average of 116 rushing yards per game to them over their previous three games. Zeke has been backed off on a bit recently as he has just 25 carries over his previous two games, but we all know he lives for this game and should see a heavy workload in a game that the Cowboys are 7.5-point favorites in.
Darren Waller over 65.5 receiving yards - This is a game where both tight ends could flourish and you will see that below with the Schultz selection, but let's focus on Waller for now. He has gone over this total in two of his previous three games and will be facing a Cowboys defense that has allowed an average of 63 receiving yards to tight ends over their previous four games. Just last week, Travis Kelce caught five balls for 74 yards, and the week before Kyle Pitts hauled in four receptions for 60 yards. Waller has seen 26 targets over his previous three games and should be heavily involved in this one.
Dalton Schultz over 45.5 receiving yards - The Raiders have been a bit worse lately against the tight end position as they have allowed an average of over 63 receiving yards across their previous three games. Schultz has seen a steady diet of targets all season as he has seen at least six in all but three games this season. He has also gone over this total in six of his previous eight games. With the Cowboys expected to be without Amari Cooper and CeeDee Lamb, this is a perfect spot to get Schultz more involved.
Other Recommendations - T.J. Hockenson over 10.0 fantasy score, Amon-Ra St. Brown over 6.5 fantasy score
Overall recommendation for this play: FLEX
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