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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Kansas City Royals vs. Boston Red Sox, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Saturday September 17th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Royals vs. Red Sox
The Royals take on the Red Sox on Saturday September 17th at Fenway Park, Boston. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Kansas City Royals (57-88) vs. Boston Red Sox (70-74)
- Date: Saturday September 17th, 2022
- Time: 4:10 ET
- Venue: Fenway Park, Boston
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Royals vs. Red Sox
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Kansas City Royals - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
Heading into today's game against Boston, the Royals have a record of just 57-88. This places the team 4th in the AL Central division. This season, playing on the road has been a problem for the Royals as they are just 23-47. In their previous games, the Royals lost by a score of 2-1 to Boston. So far, Kansas City has won less than half of their series, going just 13-30-4.
For Kansas City, Brady Singer gets the start, currently holding a record of 8-4. In his 24 appearances, Singer has an ERA of 3.27. His batting average allowed of .246 compared to other pitchers. So far, opponents have taken Singer over the fence 16 times across 134 innings pitched. Overall, he has notched 131 strikeouts on a strikeout percentage of 24.0%. Brady Singer's per 9 walk average of 2.07 has been a problem for the right.
On offense, Kansas City has struggled to bring runners across the plate, averaging just 3.86 runs per game. When playing on the road, the team has a run differential of -6. Together, the Royals offense has the 17th ranked batting average, at .241. For the season, 31.7% of the team's hits have been in the form of extra bases. So far, home runs have hard to come by for the team, as they are averaging just 0.83 per game (28th). Leading into the game, the team's slugging percentage is just .375. Kansas City's offense currently sits 24th in OBP, coming in at .305. On average, the team generates walks at a rate of 7.7%.
Boston Red Sox - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Boston Red Sox come into this road contest vs Kansas City with a below .500 record (70-74). In the AL East division standings, the team ranks 5th. Heading into play, the Red Sox have won half of their 72 home games, sitting at 36-36. Boston is coming off a winning effort over the Royals by a score of 2-1. To start the year, the team has picked up just 20 series wins, going 20-22-5.
Boston pitcher Rich Hill gets the start, looking to pick up another win, as his current record sits at 7-6. Against the Royals, Hill is hoping to improve on his current ERA of 4.65. Rich Hill has had problems limiting base runners, made evident by a WHIP of 1.33. Compared to other pitchers, he has an elevated batting average allowed (.260). So far, Rich Hill has a SLG% allowed .445, including giving up 12 home runs. For the season, Hill has picked up 86 strikeouts on a K rate of 20.0%.
Boston comes into this game with a strong offensive unit, averaging 4.55 runs per game, good for 8th in the MLB. Throughout the season, the team has been good at getting off to strong starts, ranking 2.08 in runs scored through the first four innings. The Red Sox have enjoyed success at the plate, as their team batting average of .258 ranks 5th. For the season, 36.5% of the team's hits have been in the form of extra bases. Per game, the team is averaging .94 home runs, placing them 21st. For the season, the team has one of the best hard hit rates in the league at 41.2%. Throughout the season, Boston's batters have been excellent at getting on base, posting the 7th best OBP of .320. While the team's wOBA is one of the best in the league at .318.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Royals vs. Red Sox
Heading into today's matchup between Kansas City and Boston, the Red Sox are the heavy favorite at -154 on the moneyline. Boston's implied win probability sits at 60.63%. The MLB predictive model projects this being a closer game than the odds suggest. It is recommended to take the Royals on the runline (+1.5).
Recommended Betting Pick: Royals +1.5 Runline
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