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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Tuesday August 16th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Phillies vs. Reds
The Phillies take on the Reds on Tuesday August 16th at Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Philadelphia Phillies (64-51) vs. Cincinnati Reds (45-69)
- Date: Tuesday August 16th, 2022
- Time: 6:40 ET
- Venue: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Phillies vs. Reds
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Philadelphia Phillies - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
At 64-51, the Philadelphia Phillies travel to take on the Cincinnati Reds, ranked 3rd in the NL East division. Through 57 road contests, the Phillies come in with a mark of 32-25. The team is hoping to add on another win, as they are coming off a 4-3 win over the Reds. Philadelphia's overall series record is above .500, sitting at 18-16-3.
Philadelphia pitcher Kyle Gibson gets the start, looking to pick up another win, as his current record sits at 7-5. Against the Phillies, Gibson is hoping to improve on his current ERA of 4.29. In his outings, opposing batters are hitting .239 against the right-hander. In his 121 innings of work, Gibson has given up 15 home runs. For the season, Kyle Gibson has averaged 2.68 strikeouts for every walk. This has come on a K rate of 18.0%.
On offense, Philadelphia will look to continue their strong play, as they rank 7th in runs scored, averaging 4.61 runs per game. This includes posting a season-long run differential of 68. Heading into play, the Phillies are the 11th unit in team batting average. Combined, the team is batting .249. Per game, the team is averaging 8.45 hits. So far, Philadelphia's lineup has also been able to hit for power, as their average of 1.29 home runs per game ranks 6th. Up to this point, Philadelphia has been getting on base at a rate of .312, placing them 19th in all of baseball, while the team's wOBA is one of the best in the league at .318.
Cincinnati Reds - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
Heading into today's game against Philadelphia, the Reds have a record of just 45-69. This places the team 4th in the NL Central division. Heading into play, the Reds are well below .500 in their 59 home games, sitting at 25-34. In their previous games, Cincinnati lost by a score of 4-3 to the Phillies. Currently, the team has a below .500 record in their 37 series, coming in at 11-19-7.
Reds starter T.J. Zeuch comes into the game with a record of 0-1. Zeuch will be looking to bring down an ERA of 13.50. Compared to other pitchers, he has an elevated batting average allowed (.375). Opposing batters have been able to hit for power against Zeuch. T.J. Zeuch takes the mound with a K/BB ratio of 2.0 while striking out 19.0% of the batters he's faced.
Cincinnati's offense enters play with the 20th ranked scoring offense, averaging 4.22 runs per game. So far, the Reds have combined for a team batting average of .239, placing them 19th in the league. For the season, 32.3% of the team's hits have been in the form of extra bases. So far, the team is the 20th-rated home run hitting team, averaging .93 per game. Throughout the season, Cincinnati is ranked 21st in OBP (.309). While their wOBA of .303 is one of the lowest figures in the league.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Phillies vs. Reds
Heading into today's matchup between Philadelphia and Cincinnati, the Phillies are the heavy favorite at -180 on the moneyline. Philadelphia's implied win probability sits at 64.29%. However, the MLB predictive model does not show enough value to take Philadelphia on the moneyline. Instead, it's recommended to take the Reds on the runline at +1.5 runs.
Recommended Betting Pick: Reds Runline
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