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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Monday September 12th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Pirates vs. Reds
The Pirates take on the Reds on Monday September 12th at Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Pittsburgh Pirates (51-88) vs. Cincinnati Reds (56-82)
- Date: Monday September 12th, 2022
- Time: 6:40 ET
- Venue: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Pirates vs. Reds
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Pittsburgh Pirates - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
Heading into today's game against Cincinnati, the Pirates have a record of just 51-88. This places the team 5th in the NL Central division. On the season, the Pirates have been one of the worst performing road teams, going 23-45. The Pirates will be looking to bounce back after falling to St. Louis by a score of 4-3. So far, Pittsburgh has won less than half of their series, going just 9-29-7.
Pirates starter Bryse Wilson comes into the game with a record of just 2-8. Against the Pirates, Wilson is hoping to improve on his current ERA of 6.11. In today's game, he will look to do a better job limiting base runners, as his batting average allowed sits at .306. So far, home runs have been a problem for Wilson. Through 88 innings of work, he has already given up 1.74 deep shots. For the season, he has picked up 58 strikeouts on a K rate of 15.0%. Bryse Wilson's per 9 walk average of 2.24 has been a problem for the right.
This season, runs have been hard to come by for Pittsburgh, as they are the 28th ranked scoring team, averaging 3.54 runs per game. This includes posting a season-long run differential of -214. So far, the Pirates have combined for a team batting average of just .222, placing them 29th in the league. Over their last three games, the team is hitting .314. Things have been going slightly better in the power department, as Pittsburgh averages .99 per game, placing them 19th in the league. Leading into the game, the team's slugging percentage is just .363. Pittsburgh's offense currently sits 28th in OBP, coming in at .288. On average, the team generates walks at a rate of 7.8%.
Cincinnati Reds - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
Heading into today's game against Pittsburgh, the Reds have a record of just 56-82. This places the team 4th in the NL Central division. The Reds hope to avoid dropping further below .500 at home, as they are currently 29-38 at Great American Ball Park. Cincinnati is hoping to get back on track after dropping their last game to the Brewers by a score of 7-6. So far, the team has won less than half of their series, going just 15-22-7.
The Reds will send Mike Minor to the mound with an overall record of 4-10. With an ERA of 5.70, Minor has had his struggles on the mound. Mike Minor's WHIP of 1.56 comes in as one of the higher marks among MLB starters. Across his previous outings, Minor has a SLG% allowed of .522. In total, he has given up 20 home runs. Overall, Minor has notched 70 strikeouts on a K rate of 17.0%. In his outings, Mike Minor is putting batters on through walks at a rate of 3.2 BB/9.
On offense, Cincinnati comes into the game averaging 4.30 runs per game, placing them in a group of teams near the league average. The team's total run differential sits at -107. Together, the Reds offense has the 17th ranked batting average, at .242. On average, the team is coming up with 8.08 hits per game. So far, the team is the 17th-rated home run hitting team, averaging 1.01 per game. Up to this point, they have one of the lowest hard-hit rates in the MLB at 35.4%. To date, Cincinnati has the MLB's 22nd rated OBP, sitting at .309. So far, the team has a walk rate of 7.5%.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Pirates vs. Reds
Heading into today's matchup between Pittsburgh and Cincinnati, the Reds are the betting favorite at -138 on the moneyline. Cincinnati's implied win probability sits at 57.98%. The MLB predictive model sees the Reds winning by multiple runs, and recommends taking the Reds on the runline.
Recommended Betting Pick: Reds Runline
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