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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the New England Patriots vs. Pittsburgh Steelers, another article in our weekly series of free NFL betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NFL betting breakdown article is for Sunday, September 18th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Patriots @ Steelers
The Patriots take on the Steelers on Sunday, September 18th at Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NFL games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: New England Patriots (0-1) vs. Pittsburgh Steelers (1-0)
- Date: Sunday, September 18th, 2022
- Time: 1:00 PM ET
- Venue: Acrisure Stadium
Today's NFL Sportsbook Odds - Patriots @ Steelers
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New England Patriots - NFL Betting Analysis
This week, the Patriots will look to get on track, after falling by a score of 20-7 against their division rival, the Miami Dolphins. Going into last week's matchup, New England was 2.0 point favorites on the spread. With an over-under betting line of 27, the two teams fell below that figure as they combined for 27. The Patriots were not able to make a comeback in last week's game, as they trailed Miami by a score of 20-7 heading into the final quarter.
The Patriots 7 points was a below average figure compared to last year's squad that averaged 27.18 points per game. For the game, New England ran the ball 22 times, finishing with 78 rushing yards. The team's leading rusher was Damien Harris, who finished with just 48 yards and a per attempt average of 5.3. Against Pittsburgh, quarterback Mac Jones threw for a total of 213 yards, and a passer rating of 87.22. Jones was able to find the endzone 1 time through the air. Jakobi Meyers was the team's leader in the passing game, finishing with 55 yards and 4 catches.
Pittsburgh Steelers - NFL Betting Analysis
The Steelers head into week 2, looking for another win, as they picked up 3 point victory over the Cincinnati Bengals (23-20). Going into last week's matchup, Pittsburgh was 7.0 point underdogs on the spread. The team's combined scoring of 43 points fell below the posted betting line of 44. Despite being the 7.0 point underdogs heading into the game, the Steelers held a 3 point lead heading into the 4th quarter.
On offense, the team's 23 point performance, surpassed last year's season average of 20.18 points per game. For the game, Pittsburgh ran the ball 22 times, finishing with 75 rushing yards. The team's leading rusher was Chase Claypool, who finished with just 36 yards and a per attempt average of 6. Quarterback Mitch Trubisky struggled to move the ball in the passing game, finishing with just 194 through the air and a passer rating of 78.18. To finish the game, Trubisky had 1 passing touchdown. Although Pat Freiermuth did not come up with a touchdown grab through the air, he was still productive with 75 yards.
Today's NFL Betting Pick - Patriots vs. Steelers
Looking back at the recent matchups between New England and Pittsburgh, the Steelers have taken 4 of the last 5 contests. The over-under record in these games sits at 1-4, with the average scoring total coming in at 42.0 points. New England and Pittsburgh did not play each other in the 2021-2022 regular season.
The New England Patriots have performed well vs the spread in recent games, going 2-1. On average, the Patriots have averaged 26.6 points per game in the past 5 head-to-head matchups, compared to Pittsburgh at 15.4.
Over their last 3 regular season games, the Patriots have gone 0-3 straight up. In a similar fashion, the team's record vs the spread in these games was just 0-3. Their over-under record in this span was 2-1.
In their last 3 games away from home, the Patriots have a straight up record of 0-3 while going 0-3 vs the spread. The team averaged 16.0 points per game in this stretch.
Through their last 3 games, the Steelers have a record of 2-1. The team has also been excellent vs the spread, going 2-1. Their over-under record in these games was 1-2
Pittsburgh has played well in their previous 3 home games, going 3-0 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 21.67 points per game while allowing 15.33. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-0.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: Patriots -2.0
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Under 40.0
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